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Club Puebla vs Toluca: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Club Puebla vs Toluca predicted formations

Club Puebla host Toluca at Estadio Cuauhtemoc on Tuesday, September 15 (9:00 PM ET / 8:00 PM CT / 6:00 PM PT).

Club Puebla and Toluca both arrive with clean team sheets — no fresh absences flagged for either side, so both coaches can pick from a full-strength squad at the Cuauhtemoc. Puebla’s threat starts with striker Eduardo Mustre Torres, who has 3 goals and 4 shots on target from 9 attempts in 355 minutes, with attacking midfielder Kevin Andres Velasco Bonilla supplying 18 chances created across 587 minutes. Toluca counter with striker Federico Sebastian Vinas Barboza, also on 3 goals, and attacking midfielder Helio Junio Nunes de Castro, who has produced 16 chances created and 2 goals in 377 minutes.

Toluca have banked 16 points from 7 games this term, with a goal difference of +11 underlining the quality up front, while Puebla have posted 13 points from the same 7 matches and a +1 goal difference — a much tighter margin. Puebla’s most recent outing was a battling 1-0 win away at Necaxa, but Toluca arrive off a 5-2 romp past Atlas FC at home, and that gulf in attacking output points to a low-scoring, cagey night rather than an end-to-end shootout. Expect Puebla to sit in and make it difficult, with Toluca’s control shading a tight contest by the odd goal.

US viewers can watch Club Puebla vs Toluca on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Squawka Signal
Where are you?
Match outcome · who wins
Club PueblaClub Puebla25%mkt 20%Value +5
DrawDraw24%mkt 22%
TolucaToluca51%mkt 60%Our pick

Club Puebla vs Toluca: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Under 2.5 at 39%. Signal says 46%.

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The tips · best bets
MarketMkt %Signal %Read
Correct ScoreClub Puebla 0-1 TolucaPuebla's +1 goal difference from 7 games points to a tight, low-scoring game, and Toluca have shown they can win by a single goal without needing to open up.
10%
Model read
Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoToluca kept a clean sheet in a 0-0 draw at Atlante FC, and Puebla were shut out 2-0 by Club America last month, so a game with both sides scoring is no certainty.
40%
43%
Value
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5Puebla's +1 goal difference from 7 games and a predicted 0-1 scoreline both point to a tight contest short of 3 goals.
39%
46%
Value
Anytime ScorerFederico Sebastian Vinas Barboza to score anytimeFederico Sebastian Vinas Barboza has 3 goals from 18 shots, with 5 on target, in just 276 minutes for Toluca this season.
36%
Model read
Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

Toluca have collected 16 points from 7 games this season, winning 5, drawing 1 and losing 1, with a goal difference of +11. Club Puebla have 13 points from the same 7 matches, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 2, with a difference of +1 — a much tighter margin that hints at a less clinical side going forward.

Liga MX

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toluca27511176+1116
Club Puebla77412109+113
Team News Predicted

Club Puebla vs Toluca Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Club Puebla

4-2-3-1
R. Gutierrez
F. Monarrez
J. Vargas
F. Almada
I. Moreno
S. Sanabria
A. Organista
C. Baltazar
K. Velasco
B. Garnica
O. Moreno

Toluca

4-1-4-1
R. Beltran
J. Gallardo
F. Pereira
B. Mendez
D. Barbosa
F. Romero
A. Vega
J. Angulo
N. Castro
Helinho
F. Vinas
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Eduardo Mustre Torres (Club Puebla): 3 goals and 4 shots on target from 9 attempts in 355 minutes make him Puebla’s most direct route to goal.
    • Federico Sebastian Vinas Barboza (Toluca): 3 goals from 18 shots, with 5 on target, in 276 minutes shows a striker in sharp form for Toluca.
    • Helio Junio Nunes de Castro (Toluca): 16 chances created and 2 goals in 377 minutes make him the creative hub behind Toluca’s front line.

    Recent Form

    Club Puebla: D W W L W

    • 2026-09-12: Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla (W, away)
    • 2026-08-29: Club America 2-0 Club Puebla (L, away)
    • 2026-08-22: Club Puebla 3-2 Santos Laguna (W, home)
    • 2026-08-17: Pachuca 2-3 Club Puebla (W, away)
    • 2026-07-31: Club Puebla 1-1 Chivas (D, home)

    Puebla’s last 5 games read D W W L W, finishing with a 1-0 win away at Necaxa on September 12.

    Toluca: W D W W W

    • 2026-09-13: Toluca 5-2 Atlas FC (W, home)
    • 2026-08-30: Toluca 4-0 FC Juarez (W, home)
    • 2026-08-21: Queretaro FC 1-2 Toluca (W, away)
    • 2026-08-15: Atlante FC 0-0 Toluca (D, away)
    • 2026-08-02: Toluca 3-1 Necaxa (W, home)

    Toluca’s last 5 games read W D W W W, most recently a 5-2 win over Atlas FC on September 13.

    Club Puebla vs Toluca Prediction

    This looks tight and low-scoring rather than open. Toluca’s +11 goal difference and 16 points from 7 games mark them out as the more clinical side, while Puebla’s +1 difference and 13 points from 7 games suggest a side built more on resilience than firepower. Signal has this finishing 0-1 to Toluca, and that reads right — Puebla dig in and limit clear sights of goal, but Toluca’s edge up front settles it with a single strike.

    Squawka Signal

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