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Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa predicted formations

Tom Dutton
3 hours ago

Atletico San Luis host Necaxa at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramirez on Saturday, September 19 (7:00 PM ET / 6:00 PM CT / 4:00 PM PT).

No fresh fitness concerns have been flagged for either side coming into this one. Atletico San Luis lean on Rafael Nicolas Llorente Sanz up top, with 3 goals from 19 shots (8 on target) in 515 minutes this term, while Sebastien Antoine Luc Salles-Lamonge has been the side’s chief creator, setting up a team-high 18 chances from his 630 minutes. David Rodriguez Uribe adds a further goal threat from midfield with 2 goals of his own. Necaxa’s picture centers on Julian Simon Carranza, who has scored 4 times from 22 shots and remains the visitors’ most reliable outlet in front of goal.

Neither side arrives with much rhythm. Atletico San Luis have alternated between the sublime and the chastening — a 3-1 win at Monterrey sandwiched by a 0-3 home defeat to Chivas — while Necaxa have gone 5 matches without tasting victory, their form reading L D L D L. That inconsistency points to a cagey, low-scoring affair rather than an open shootout: expect Atletico San Luis to squeeze out the sort of narrow win Llorente Sanz has made his trademark, with Necaxa’s toothless finishing keeping the game snug on Saturday.

US viewers can watch Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa on ViX, TUDN or Fox.

Squawka Signal

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Match outcome · who wins

Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis48%mkt 41%Our pick

DrawDraw24%mkt 28%

NecaxaNecaxa27%mkt 32%

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa: Best Bets & Predictions

The market prices Both teams: No at 26%. Signal says 43%.

+17points of value · both teams to score

Trade Both teams: No on Kalshi Back Both teams: No with bet365

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The tips · best bets

MarketMkt %Signal %Read

Correct ScoreAtletico San Luis 1-0 NecaxaLlorente Sanz's return of 3 goals from 19 shots points to a home goal, while Necaxa's run of 5 matches without a win points to a shutout at the other end.

—

10%

Model read

›

Both Teams to ScoreBoth teams: NoAtletico San Luis kept a clean sheet in their 0-0 draw with Club Tijuana, and Necaxa have scored more than once in none of their last five matches, tilting this toward a one-sided scoreline.

26%

43%

Strong value

›

Over / Under 2.5Under 2.53 of Necaxa's last 5 matches have finished with 2 or fewer total goals, and with neither side prolific in front of goal, the under is the sharper side of the total.

40%

47%

Value

›

Anytime ScorerRafael Nicolas Llorente SanzLlorente Sanz leads Atletico San Luis with 3 goals from 19 shots (8 on target) in 515 minutes, making him the obvious source for the opener.

—

46%

Model read

Signal edge callsRecord building · settles at full-time

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Season Form & Standings

League position is still taking shape early in the Apertura season for both clubs, so this one is best read through form and underlying numbers rather than the table. Atletico San Luis’s form line reads D L D W L, while Necaxa’s reads L D L D L — a stretch that has yielded zero wins for the visitors.

Liga MX

Team	Pos	GP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
Atletico San Luis	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Necaxa	10	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Team News Predicted

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Atletico San Luis

5-4-1

A. Sanchez

A. Duarte

E. Aguila

Miguel Garcia

Robson Bambu

R. Torres

S. Salles-Lamonge

O. Macias

J. Caicedo

D. Rodriguez

Rafa Llorente

Necaxa

3-4-2-1

L. Jimenez

A. Oliveros

Kaiky Naves

R. Martinez

M. Zaleta

L. Faravelli

P. Pedraza

O. Gonzalez

J. Ruiz

M. Espindola

J. Carranza

Squawka · Team News

Potential Match-Winners

Rafael Nicolas Llorente Sanz (Atletico San Luis): Leads Atletico San Luis in front of goal with 3 goals from 19 shots (8 on target), and has created 7 chances for others in 515 minutes.
Sebastien Antoine Luc Salles-Lamonge (Atletico San Luis): Team-high 18 chances created from his 630 minutes, adding a goal and 15 shots of his own.
Julian Simon Carranza (Necaxa): Necaxa’s spearhead: 4 goals and 9 shots on target from 22 attempts across 585 minutes.

Recent Form

Atletico San Luis: D L D W L

2026-09-05: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Chivas (L, home)
2026-08-30: Monterrey 1-3 Atletico San Luis (W, away)
2026-08-23: Atletico San Luis 1-1 Pachuca (D, home)
2026-08-16: Club America 3-0 Atletico San Luis (L, away)
2026-07-31: Atletico San Luis 0-0 Club Tijuana (D, home)

Atletico San Luis have gone D L D W L across their last 5, a run capped by a 0-3 loss to Chivas at home.

Necaxa: L D L D L

2026-09-12: Necaxa 0-1 Club Puebla (L, home)
2026-09-05: Tigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa (D, away)
2026-08-28: Necaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul (L, home)
2026-08-23: Pumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa (D, away)
2026-08-17: Necaxa 1-2 Club Leon (L, home)

Necaxa’s L D L D L sequence remains without a win, their most recent outing a 0-1 defeat to Club Puebla at home.

Atletico San Luis vs Necaxa Prediction

Expect a scrap rather than a shootout. Atletico San Luis have the greater firepower through Rafael Nicolas Llorente Sanz, and with Necaxa without a win in this sample and short on identity on the road, the value points to a scrappy 1-0 win for the hosts — Under 2.5 goals, with no need for goals at both ends.

Squawka Signal

Our model rates every Liga MX fixture — see the numbers behind Atletico San Luis v Necaxa.

Liga MX AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our model Over 2.5 Goals predictionsThis week’s picks across the league

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