San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

San Jose Earthquakes host Houston Dynamo at PayPal Park on Saturday, September 12 (10:30 PM ET / 9:30 PM CT / 7:30 PM PT).

No fresh absences have been flagged for either side ahead of this one, so both managers should have their key men available at PayPal Park. San Jose’s attack still runs through Preston Judd, who has scored 11 goals in 1,617 minutes this season, with Timo Werner (30 chances created in 901 minutes) and Ousseni Bouda (5 goals, 29 chances created) offering support in the final third. Houston travels with Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos in similarly rich form, the Dynamo’s 12-goal top scorer, alongside Mateusz Bogusz, who has created 22 chances from midfield this season.

US viewers can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo: Best Bets & Predictions

Cagey Bay Area Battle Looms as Earthquakes Host High-Flying Dynamo

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

San Jose EarthquakesTop pickPreston Judd's 11 goals give San Jose a proven route to goal, and that edge plus home advantage should be enough to get past a Dynamo side already held scoreless by San Jose this season.

42%win prob.opening soon @ bet365

1-0 San Jose EarthquakesThis exact fixture finished scoreless on August 30. Neither side's front line looks sharp enough right now to suggest more than one goal will settle it.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

NoHouston kept a clean sheet in that scoreless draw with San Jose on August 30, and a defense that disciplined should keep the shutout going at the other end too.

48%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Under 2.5The reverse fixture between these sides finished 0-0, and with Preston Judd likely supplying San Jose's goal, a tight finish under 2.5 goals fits the pattern.

53%chanceopening soon @ bet365

Preston Judd – Anytime GoalscorerJudd leads the Earthquakes with 11 goals from 64 shots this season, making him the clearest source of a goal in front of the PayPal Park crowd.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh underlying output — goals, chances created, recent head-to-head — over raw conference position, and our Signal model favors a tight, low-scoring home win at PayPal Park.

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Season Form & Standings

Houston Dynamo sit second in the Western Conference, firmly in the playoff picture. They arrive on 40 points from 23 games — 12 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses — with a +4 goal difference. San Jose Earthquakes, by contrast, sit sixth in the West, still inside the conference picture but with far less cushion.

Western Conference

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Potential Match-Winners

• Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): Leads San Jose’s attack with 11 goals in 1,617 minutes this season, the shortest route to a home breakthrough.
• Timo Werner (San Jose Earthquakes): Has created 30 chances in just 901 minutes since arriving, the clearest source of service in San Jose’s final third.
• Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos (Houston Dynamo): Houston’s talisman has scored 12 goals and created 45 chances in 1,856 minutes, the most productive numbers on either roster.

Recent Form

San Jose Earthquakes: L L L D D

• 2026-09-06: Austin FC 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)
• 2026-08-30: Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)
• 2026-08-23: San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United (L, home)
• 2026-08-20: LA Galaxy 1-0 San Jose Earthquakes (L, away)
• 2026-08-16: San Jose Earthquakes 1-3 St. Louis City SC (L, home)

San Jose’s form reads L L L D D across their last five matches. Losses gave way to back-to-back draws, including a scoreless trip to Houston on August 30.

Houston Dynamo: W W L D D

• 2026-09-06: Charlotte FC 0-0 Houston Dynamo (D, away)
• 2026-08-30: Houston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose Earthquakes (D, home)
• 2026-08-23: St. Louis City SC 2-1 Houston Dynamo (L, away)
• 2026-08-20: Vancouver Whitecaps 0-1 Houston Dynamo (W, away)
• 2026-08-16: Houston Dynamo 1-0 LA Galaxy (W, home)

Houston’s form reads W W L D D across their last five matches. Their most recent results were both draws — scoreless with San Jose on August 30 and scoreless again away to Charlotte FC on September 6.

San Jose Earthquakes vs Houston Dynamo Prediction

Houston Dynamo sit second in the West with a real shot at a high playoff seed. But this fixture already showed its hand when the sides played out a scoreless draw at Houston on August 30. San Jose Earthquakes, sixth in the West, get the benefit of home advantage and a proven finisher in Preston Judd, whose 11 goals lead the roster. Expect another tight game at PayPal Park, with the Earthquakes edging it 1-0.