Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Real Salt Lake host NYCFC at America First Field on Saturday, September 12 (9:30 PM ET / 8:30 PM CT / 6:30 PM PT).

Real Salt Lake have no fresh availability concerns to report, and that means Sergi Solans Ormo — their leading scorer with 9 goals from 46 shots this season — should lead the line again alongside Diego Ángel Luna, whose 43 chances created make him the most creative outlet in the squad. NYCFC arrive with a clean bill of health too, built around Nicolás Fernández Mercau, who has scored 14 goals and landed 32 shots on target, with Axel Ojeda offering a second scoring threat off 5 goals and 33 chances created.

US viewers can watch Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

Signal model backs Real Salt Lake to edge a share-the-goals night at America First Field.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Real Salt LakeTop pickReal Salt Lake, 10th in the West on 29 points, have Sergi Solans Ormo's 9 goals and Diego Ángel Luna's 43 chances created to call on at America First Field against a NYCFC side placed seventh in the East.

43%win prob.-126 @ bet365

2-1 Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake's 2 most recent home matches produced 3-4 and 2-2 scorelines, so a tight 2-1 finish fits a side with a +1 goal difference across the season.

12%chance750 @ bet365

YesSergi Solans Ormo's 9 goals for Real Salt Lake and Nicolás Fernández Mercau's 14 for NYCFC give both sides a reliable route to goal.

59%chance-175 @ bet365

Over 2.5

57%chance-163 @ bet365

Nicolás Fernández Mercau to scoreNicolás Fernández Mercau leads both squads with 14 goals from 56 shots and 32 on target, making him the most direct route to a goal in this fixture.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh conference standings, verified recent form and top-player output into the Signal model, which locks the Result, Correct Score, BTTS and Over/Under picks below before we add the stat-backed reasoning.

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Season Form & Standings

Real Salt Lake sit 10th in the Western Conference on 29 points from 22 games, with a goal difference of +1, as they push for one of the West’s final playoff spots. NYCFC are seventh in the Eastern Conference, still well placed in the race for the postseason.

Western Conference

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Potential Match-Winners

• Sergi Solans Ormo (Real Salt Lake): 9 goals and 19 shots on target from 46 attempts make him Real Salt Lake’s most direct route to goal.
• Diego Ángel Luna (Real Salt Lake): 43 chances created is the highest creative tally in this preview, underlining his influence for Real Salt Lake.
• Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC): 14 goals, 56 shots and 32 on target make him NYCFC’s most productive attacker by some distance.

Recent Form

Real Salt Lake: D L L L D

• 2026-09-06: Real Salt Lake 2-2 LAFC (D, home)
• 2026-08-30: Colorado Rapids 1-0 Real Salt Lake (L, away)
• 2026-08-23: Orlando City 2-1 Real Salt Lake (L, away)
• 2026-08-20: Real Salt Lake 3-4 FC Dallas (L, home)
• 2026-08-16: Real Salt Lake 1-1 Minnesota United (D, home)

Real Salt Lake’s form reads D L L L D, with a 3-4 home defeat to FC Dallas sandwiched between two draws, including the 2-2 with LAFC most recently.

NYCFC: L L D D D

• 2026-09-05: NYCFC 0-0 Nashville SC (D, home)
• 2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)
• 2026-08-23: New England Revolution 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)
• 2026-08-20: FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
• 2026-08-16: NYCFC 2-3 Philadelphia Union (L, home)

NYCFC’s form reads L L D D D, with defeats to Philadelphia (2-3) and Cincinnati (2-1) surrounding 3 draws, the most recent a 0-0 with Nashville.

Real Salt Lake vs NYCFC Prediction

Real Salt Lake, 10th in the West, have the firepower up top to make home advantage count against a NYCFC side placed seventh in the East, and with Sergi Solans Ormo and Diego Ángel Luna pulling the strings, the Signal model has this finishing 2-1 to Real Salt Lake, with Nicolás Fernández Mercau’s quality enough to get NYCFC on the scoresheet too.