Leeds vs Newcastle: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Leeds host Newcastle at Elland Road on Monday, September 14 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

Out for Leeds are forward Mateo Joseph (knee) and defender Joe Rodon (thigh), with Ilia Gruev a doubt (knee). Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Anton Stach and Jayden Bogle have all scored already this season and are the players most likely to shape Leeds’ afternoon at Elland Road. Out for Newcastle are defender Dan Burn (ankle/foot), forward William Osula (ankle/foot) and Joelinton Apolinario de Lira (thigh), with Ewen Jaouen a doubt (ankle/foot). Anthony Elanga, Yoane Wissa and Harvey Barnes carry the visitors’ attacking threat.

Both sides arrive on 5 points from 3 games, Leeds level with Newcastle despite a slightly lower goal difference, and neither has lost yet this season. That kind of parity, built on draws as much as wins, points toward a tense, low-scoring afternoon rather than an end-to-end shootout. Newcastle have shown they can trade goals, drawing 2-2 with both Bournemouth and Liverpool, but Leeds’ own results have been built on fine margins, and Elland Road should provide just enough of an edge for a single goal to settle it.

US viewers can watch Leeds vs Newcastle on NBC and Peacock.

Leeds vs Newcastle: Best Bets & Predictions

Leeds host Newcastle with both unbeaten through 3 games and little to separate them on paper

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.

🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Leeds to winTop pickLeeds sit level with Newcastle on 5 points from 3 games, and home advantage should be enough to break a stalemate other teams have found hard to crack.

43%win prob.130 @ bet365

1-0 LeedsA 1-0 scoreline fits a fixture where both sides have drawn twice in their last 3 outings, pointing to fine margins rather than goals.

9%chance1000 @ bet365

NoNewcastle's defense has shipped goals in draws with Bournemouth and Liverpool, but Leeds' own low-scoring recent form points to only one side finding the net here.

45%chance120 @ bet365

Under 2.5 goalsTwo draws apiece in the last three rounds for both sides points to a tight, low-scoring game rather than an open one.

50%chance100 @ bet365

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to scoreCalvert-Lewin already has 1 goal from 6 shots, 3 of them on target, making him the most direct route to a Leeds goal in a tight game.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: weigh the current form, the confirmed absentees and each side's stat leaders against the market, rather than lean on gut feel alone.

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Season Form & Standings

Leeds and Newcastle both arrive on 5 points from 3 games, Leeds carrying a +1 goal difference and Newcastle +2, with both sides having drawn twice already this season.

Premier League

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Potential Match-Winners

• Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds): The forward has 1 goal from 6 shots, 3 of them on target, the clearest source of a Leeds goal in this game.
• Anton Stach (Leeds): 1 goal and 2 chances created across 270 minutes shows Stach’s growing influence in the middle of the park.
• Anthony Elanga (Newcastle): 2 goals from 4 shots, 3 on target and 4 chances created in 235 minutes make him Newcastle’s most direct attacking threat.

Recent Form

Leeds: D W W D D

• 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, away)
• 2026-08-30: Leeds 1-1 Brentford (D, home)
• 2026-08-22: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds (W, away)
• 2026-05-17: Leeds 1-0 Brighton (W, home)
• 2026-05-11: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds (D, away)

Leeds have drawn 1-1 away at Brighton, drawn 1-1 at home to Brentford, and won 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest in their last 3 games.

Newcastle: D W D W D

• 2026-09-05: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (D, home)
• 2026-08-29: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
• 2026-08-23: Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (D, home)
• 2026-05-17: Newcastle 3-1 West Ham (W, home)
• 2026-05-10: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle (D, away)

Newcastle have drawn 2-2 at home to Bournemouth, won 2-0 away at Tottenham, and drawn 2-2 at home to Liverpool in their last 3 games.

Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

Signal sees this finishing 1-0 to Leeds, a tight, low-event game settled by margins rather than fireworks. Both sides have shown they can go toe-to-toe without conceding heavily, and with Newcastle already missing key defensive personnel, Leeds’ home platform edges it.