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Home » News » MLS » Cincinnati vs DC United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Starting Lineups

Cincinnati vs DC United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Starting Lineups

FC Cincinnati vs DC United predicted formations

FC Cincinnati host DC United at TQL Stadium on Saturday, September 5 (7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT).

Team news is thin on the ground for this one — neither FC Cincinnati nor DC United have any fitness concerns to report, so both sides can pick from a full deck at TQL Stadium. That means Evander da Silva Ferreira starts front and center for the hosts, the Brazilian up to 13 goals and 64 chances created in 1,738 minutes this season, with Ahoueke Steeve Kévin Denkey (11 goals, 22 shots on target) alongside him up top and Pavel Bucha (5 goals, 18 chances created) driving things from midfield. For DC United, Tai Baribo remains the focal point on 12 goals from 1,374 minutes, with Louis Munteanu (6 goals, 54 shots) and João Gabriel Martins Peglow, who has created 36 chances this season, the players most likely to carry the visitors’ threat.

US viewers can watch FC Cincinnati vs DC United on Apple TV’s MLS Season Pass.

FC Cincinnati vs DC United: Best Bets & Predictions

FC Cincinnati look to protect their playoff spot against a struggling DC United at TQL Stadium.

Where are you following from? Odds & offers below update to match.
FC CincinnatiTop pickFC Cincinnati sit sixth in the East on 31 points to DC United's 25 from 11th, and a much healthier -2 goal difference against the visitors' -8 points to the extra quality at this end of the field.
64%win prob.-238 @ bet365
2-1 FC CincinnatiWith Evander (13 goals) and Denkey (11 goals) leading a home attack that outguns a DC United defense sitting on a -8 goal difference, 2-1 fits both sides finding the net with the hosts edging it.
12%chance750 @ bet365
YesBaribo has 12 goals for DC United and Evander plus Denkey have combined for 24 for FC Cincinnati, against two defenses with negative goal differences of -two and -eight.
66%chance-200 @ bet365
Over 2.5Two attacks capable of scoring – Evander's 13 goals, Denkey's 11 and Baribo's 12 – facing two defenses with negative goal differences (-two for FC Cincinnati, -eight for DC United) points to goals flowing at both ends.
72%chance-275 @ bet365
Evander da Silva Ferreira to ScoreEvander leads every player named in this preview with 13 goals in 1,738 minutes this season, making him the clearest source-of-goals bet on the field.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we lean on standings context, recent form and underlying attacking numbers — goals, shots on target, chances created — to shape every pick below, not just the scoreline.

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Squawka predictions

Our model rates every MLS fixture — see the numbers behind FC Cincinnati v DC United.

MLS AI PredictorEvery match this week rated by our modelOver 2.5 Goals predictionsThis week’s picks across the league

Season Form & Standings

FC Cincinnati sit sixth in the East with 31 points from 22 games, firmly in the playoff picture and eager to build a cushion. DC United are 11th on 25 points from the same number of games, adrift of the top of the conference and needing results to force their way back into contention.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
FC Cincinnati6228774951-231
DC United112251072836-825
Shop the matchFC Cincinnati v DC UnitedOfficial kits via Fanatics
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Team News Confirmed

Cincinnati vs DC United Confirmed Starting Lineups

Cincinnati

3-5-2
R. Celentano
A. Chirila
M. Robinson
K. Smith
E. Echenique
G. Valenzuela
Evander
O. Nwobodo
P. Bucha
K. Denkey
A. Jabbari

DC United

4-3-3
S. Johnson
K. Kurokawa
A. Dozzell
L. Bartlett
K. Nono
Peglow
M. Peltola
B. Servania
N. Ordaz
J. Hopkins
L. Munteanu
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Evander da Silva Ferreira (FC Cincinnati): 13 goals and 64 chances created this season – Evander is the single biggest reason FC Cincinnati remain in the playoff mix.
    • Ahoueke Steeve Kévin Denkey (FC Cincinnati): 11 goals from 47 shots, with 22 of those on target, give the hosts a second reliable scoring outlet up top.
    • Tai Baribo (DC United): 12 goals in 1,374 minutes this season – Baribo remains DC United’s most reliable route to goal even as results have dried up around him.

    Recent Form

    FC Cincinnati: W D W D L

    • 2026-08-30: Nashville SC 4-0 FC Cincinnati (L, away)
    • 2026-08-23: FC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle Sounders (D, home)
    • 2026-08-20: FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC (W, home)
    • 2026-08-16: Orlando City 1-1 FC Cincinnati (D, away)
    • 2026-08-02: FC Cincinnati 4-2 San Jose Earthquakes (W, home)

    FC Cincinnati’s form reads W D W D L: a 4-2 win over San Jose Earthquakes, a 1-1 draw at Orlando City, a 2-1 win over NYCFC, a 1-1 draw with Seattle Sounders, and a chastening 4-0 defeat at Nashville SC last time out.

    DC United: D D L L D

    • 2026-08-30: DC United 0-0 LAFC (D, home)
    • 2026-08-23: Charlotte FC 3-1 DC United (L, away)
    • 2026-08-20: DC United 0-3 New England Revolution (L, home)
    • 2026-08-16: CF Montreal 1-1 DC United (D, away)
    • 2026-08-02: DC United 2-2 Nashville SC (D, home)

    DC United’s form reads D D L L D: a 2-2 draw with Nashville SC, a 1-1 draw at CF Montreal, back-to-back defeats to New England Revolution (0-3) and Charlotte FC (3-1), and most recently a 0-0 stalemate with LAFC at home.

    Squawka Signal MLS · Model vs Market

    FC Cincinnati vs DC United: our model vs the market

    Our model’s win probability for this match against the live market — and where we see value. Switch region for the market you can use.

    ResultSignalKalshi
    FC Cincinnati61%61%▬ Fair
    Draw19%20%▬ Fair
    DC United20%18%▬ Fair

    Signal makes FC Cincinnati the pick at 61% — Kalshi has 61%. ▬ Fair

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    ResultSignalbet365
    FC Cincinnati61%60%▬ Fair
    Draw19%22%▬ Fair
    DC United20%18%▬ Fair

    Signal makes FC Cincinnati the pick at 61% — bet365 has 60%. ▬ Fair

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    Signal is our data model’s read vs the live market. For analysis and entertainment — not financial advice. 21+ where applicable; eligibility varies by US state.

    FC Cincinnati vs DC United Prediction

    Our Signal model has this finishing 2-1 to FC Cincinnati. Evander and Denkey have enough craft between them to break down a DC United defense that has shipped goals in bunches, while Baribo’s finishing keeps the visitors in the contest without quite forcing a point. FC Cincinnati stay sixth in the East; DC United’s wait for a foothold in the race goes on.