Hull City vs Aston Villa: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Hull City host Aston Villa at Kingston Communications Stadium on Saturday, September 5 (12:30 PM ET / 11:30 AM CT / 9:30 AM PT).

Hull City will be without the sidelined Eliot Matazo (knee), Darko Gyabi (groin/hip/pelvic), Jack Butland (arm/elbow), Charlie Hughes (groin/hip/pelvic), Oscar Zambrano (thigh), and Matt Crooks (thigh), with Joe Gelhardt (ankle/foot) and Matty Jacob (groin/hip/pelvic) doubtful. Oliver McBurnie, Regan Slater, and Nobel Mendy have all had a hand in Hull’s early-season goals and look set to lead the line again. Aston Villa are missing the suspended Joao Gomes, the injured Amadou Onana (knee), Johan Manzambi (knee), Brian Madjo (ankle/foot), and Leon Bailey (other), with Tammy Abraham (groin/hip/pelvic) a doubt up top — leaving Ross Barkley and Emiliano Buendía to carry the creative load.

US viewers can watch Hull City vs Aston Villa on NBC and Peacock.

Hull City vs Aston Villa: Best Bets & Predictions

Hull City chase a third straight win as Aston Villa search for their first points

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🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Hull City to winTop pickHull City have won both matches played this season for 6 points and a +3 goal difference, while Aston Villa have lost their only match for 0 points and a -4 goal difference.

25%win prob.300 @ bet365

1-0 Hull CityHull's 2 wins so far have come by 2-0 and 1-0, a pattern of tight, single-goal control that points to a repeat 1-0 scoreline at home.

8%chance1200 @ bet365

Both Teams to Score – NoHull City kept clean sheets in both their 2-0 win over Manchester United and 1-0 win at Coventry City, while Aston Villa were shut out 4-0 at Brighton and 1-0 at Fulham in 2 of their last 5 matches, both trends pointing to only 1 side finding the net.

50%chance100 @ bet365

Under 2.5 GoalsHull's 2 wins this season have produced just 3 goals in total (2-0 and 1-0), a tidy, low-event tempo set against a Villa side who were shut out 1-0 at Fulham and 4-0 at Brighton in their own recent matches, both trends favoring a low-scoring finish.

50%chance100 @ bet365

Nobel Mendy to score anytimeMendy scored from 2 shots, both on target, in 123 minutes, the most efficient return among Hull's early scorers.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh league position, points, goal difference, and recent form against our Signal model's data-driven picks to land on the most probable scoreline and market angles.

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Season Form & Standings

Hull City have 6 points from 2 games and a +3 goal difference, while Aston Villa have 0 points from 1 match played and a -4 goal difference after a heavy defeat at Brighton.

Premier League

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Potential Match-Winners

• Oliver McBurnie (Hull City): McBurnie has created 3 chances from 2 shots, both on target, across 180 minutes, giving Hull a focal point to build attacks around.
• Regan Slater (Hull City): Slater has provided 1 assist and created 1 chance in 180 minutes, underlining his influence in central midfield.
• Ross Barkley (Aston Villa): Barkley created 2 chances and had 1 shot in 74 minutes, making him Villa’s likeliest source of a final ball if they’re to find a way through.

Recent Form

Hull City: W W

• 2026-08-29: Coventry City 0-1 Hull City (W, away)
• 2026-08-22: Hull City 2-0 Manchester United (W, home)

Hull City’s form reads W W: a 1-0 win away at Coventry City followed a 2-0 home win over Manchester United.

Aston Villa: L L D W L

• 2026-08-23: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (L, away)
• 2026-05-15: Aston Villa 4-2 Liverpool (W, home)
• 2026-05-10: Burnley 2-2 Aston Villa (D, away)
• 2026-05-03: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham (L, home)
• 2026-04-25: Fulham 1-0 Aston Villa (L, away)

Aston Villa’s form reads L L D W L: a 4-0 loss at Brighton, a 4-2 win over Liverpool, a 2-2 draw at Burnley, a 1-2 loss to Tottenham, and a 1-0 loss at Fulham.

Hull City vs Aston Villa Prediction

Hull City’s early-season control — 6 points from 2 games and a +3 goal difference — should be enough to see off an Aston Villa side still searching for its first points after a 4-0 defeat at Brighton. Expect another tight, low-scoring afternoon, with the pick landing on a 1-0 home win for Hull City.