Brighton vs Leeds: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Brighton host Leeds at The American Express Community Stadium on Saturday, September 5 (10:00 AM ET / 9:00 AM CT / 7:00 AM PT).

Brighton will again be without injured trio Yankuba Minteh Moat, Stefanos Tzimas and Evan Ferguson, and out midfielder Jack Hinshelwood is also unavailable, though doubtful pair Georginio Rutter and Kaoru Mitoma could yet be fit. That leaves Diego Gómez Amarilla and Pascal Groß to carry the creative load, while Maxim De Cuyper should again push forward from left-back after scoring in the opening-day rout of Aston Villa. Leeds, for their part, are missing out forward Mateo Joseph, with doubtful trio Wilfried Gnonto, Gabriel Gudmundsson and Ilia Gruev also under checks, leaving Anton Stach and Ethan Ampadu to lead things from midfield after their opening win at Nottingham Forest.

Both sides sit level on 3 points from their opening match, though Brighton’s +4 goal difference outstrips Leeds’s +1 after that 4-0 statement over Aston Villa. Leeds arrive full of confidence after grinding out a 1-0 win at Forest, but that performance was built on control rather than chances created, and this looks set to be a tighter, low-event afternoon at the Amex. Brighton’s home threat, led by Groß’s playmaking and De Cuyper’s overlaps, should be enough to nick the single goal that separates two form lines still finding their level this early in the season.

US viewers can watch Brighton vs Leeds on NBC and Peacock.

Brighton vs Leeds: Best Bets & Predictions

Brighton's fast start meets Leeds's away resilience in a cagey Amex low-scorer.

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🇺🇸 United StatesTrade on Kalshi 🌎 Outside the USOdds via bet365

Brighton to WinTop pickBrighton's +4 goal difference from a 4-0 opening-day win dwarfs Leeds's +1, and that firepower should tell at the Amex.

56%win prob.-125 @ bet365

1-0 BrightonLeeds kept a clean sheet in a 1-0 win at Forest, but Brighton's superior firepower from that 4-0 opening statement should be enough to nick the single goal Signal projects here.

12%chance700 @ bet365

BTTS – NoLeeds's front line badly misfired on opening day, with Dominic Calvert-Lewin firing 3 shots without hitting the target, suggesting the goalscoring here should stay lopsided in Brighton's favor.

51%chance-106 @ bet365

Under 2.5 GoalsLeeds have already shown they can grind out a low-event away performance, winning 1-0 at Forest, and a similarly disciplined display could keep this one under two.5 goals.

53%chance-111 @ bet365

Maxim De Cuyper to ScoreDe Cuyper's left boot already produced a goal from 4 shots on opening day, and he looks primed for another sight of goal in this low-scoring test at the Amex.

⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: Squawka's Signal model weighs early-season form, goal difference and matchup data to land on a tight 1-0 to Brighton, with the goals arriving at just a single end.

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Season Form & Standings

Brighton have 3 points from their opening match, with a +4 goal difference the early standout; Leeds also sit on 3 points but with a +1 difference after their 1-0 win at Forest.

Premier League

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Potential Match-Winners

• Maxim De Cuyper (Brighton): Scored the clincher in Brighton’s 4-0 win over Aston Villa, chipping in 4 shots, 1 on target and 3 chances created from left-back.
• Diego Gómez Amarilla (Brighton): Set up a goal in that Villa rout, backing it up with 3 shots, 2 on target and 2 chances created in 86 minutes.
• Anton Stach (Leeds): Scored the winner at Forest, striking 3 shots including 1 on target across a full 90 minutes.

Recent Form

Brighton: W L W L W

• 2026-08-23: Brighton 4-0 Aston Villa (W, home)
• 2026-05-17: Leeds 1-0 Brighton (L, away)
• 2026-05-09: Brighton 3-0 Wolves (W, home)
• 2026-05-02: Newcastle 3-1 Brighton (L, away)
• 2026-04-21: Brighton 3-0 Chelsea (W, home)

Brighton’s last 5 results read W L W L W, including a 4-0 win over Aston Villa and a 3-0 win over Chelsea.

Leeds: D W D W W

• 2026-08-22: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds (W, away)
• 2026-05-17: Leeds 1-0 Brighton (W, home)
• 2026-05-11: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds (D, away)
• 2026-05-01: Leeds 3-1 Burnley (W, home)
• 2026-04-22: Bournemouth 2-2 Leeds (D, away)

Leeds’s last 5 results read D W D W W, capped by a 1-0 win at Nottingham Forest and a 3-1 win over Burnley.

Brighton vs Leeds Prediction

Expect a tense, low-scoring afternoon at the Amex where Brighton’s greater firepower – evident in that 4-0 opening statement – just about outweighs Leeds’s well-organized away form. Squawka’s Signal has this finishing 1-0 to Brighton, with De Cuyper or Gómez Amarilla the likeliest source of the game’s only goal.