Two European giants collide as Paris Saint-Germain welcome Liverpool for a mouth-watering Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Parc des Princes.
Kick-off is set for 3:00 PM ET on Tuesday. Liverpool arrive bruised after a 4-0 FA Cup hammering at Manchester City, while PSG come in on the back of four straight wins including a dominant 8-2 aggregate victory over Chelsea in the last round.
Best Bets & Predictions
Based on PSG’s strong home form and Liverpool’s recent struggles, our top picks focus on the hosts’ advantage and Kvaratskhelia’s shooting volume. We’re particularly confident in PSG to win, given Liverpool’s poor away record and defensive frailties.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Bookmaker | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG to Win | -137 @ Bet365 (57.9%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | Liverpool will be lacking confidence after being hammered 4-0 at Manchester City. PSG beat Chelsea 8-2 on aggregate in the last round and have had more time to prepare, rotating in their previous league game. PSG are unbeaten in seven matches against English sides in the Champions League. |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Over 1.5 Shots on Target | +190 @ Bet365 (34.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Kvaratskhelia looks poised to cause serious problems for a struggling Liverpool defence. He’s achieved two or more shots on target in four of his last six appearances, even managing it during a brief cameo against Chelsea where he only played part of the match. |
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Match Result Odds
| Outcome | Moneyline Odds |
|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain | -125 @ Bet365 |
| Draw | +320 @ Bet365 |
| Liverpool | +350 @ Bet365 |
How Both Teams Go Into PSG vs Liverpool
The international break did little to help Liverpool. Erling Haaland scored a stunning hat trick and Antoine Semenyo added a clever finish as Manchester City cruised to a 4-0 FA Cup win. Virgil van Dijk admitted the team gave up, which has only increased pressure on manager Arne Slot. Results have been poor under Slot, with 15 defeats this season — the club’s worst run since Brendan Rodgers was in charge. Liverpool have just one win in their last five games, although they did beat Galatasaray in the Champions League. Away form is a major concern, with four losses in their last five trips.
The hosts come into this game in strong form after a 3-1 win over Toulouse FC, with Ousmane Dembélé scoring twice. That result made it four straight wins in all competitions for Paris Saint-Germain, including two comfortable victories over Chelsea under Luis Enrique. PSG have also been very consistent in Europe, progressing from each of their last four Champions League quarter-finals. They are unbeaten in seven matches against English sides in the competition, winning five of them.
Head-to-Head: Last 4 Meetings
These sides have been inseparable recently, splitting their last four encounters with two wins apiece and identical goal tallies. The balance of power could tip either way in Paris.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| 11/03/25 | Liverpool 0-1 PSG (1-4p) | Champions League |
| 05/03/25 | PSG 0-1 Liverpool | Champions League |
| 28/11/18 | PSG 2-1 Liverpool | Champions League |
| 18/09/18 | Liverpool 3-2 PSG | Champions League |
Can Liverpool Turn Things Around in Paris?
Things could go from bad to worse for Liverpool. After being dumped out of the FA Cup, they face a tricky test in Paris against a PSG side high on confidence. PSG to win at -137 @ Bet365 is our standout pick, while Kvaratskhelia at +190 for two or more shots on target offers strong value.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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