Pachuca arrive at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field as 52% favorites to hand Columbus Crew their second Phase One defeat on home turf.
Kalshi prices the Liga MX visitors at 52% to win, with the Crew at 40% and a draw-to-penalties scenario at 8%. That margin reflects Pachuca’s quality despite the road assignment, and with no regulation draws in this format, the pressure lands on Columbus to avoid back-to-back losses in their three-game Phase One slate. This is the Crew’s second encounter in a group where only the top four from each league advance. Kickoff at ScottsMiracle-Gro Field is set for 7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT on Friday, August 7.
Columbus Crew vs Pachuca: Best Bets & Predictions
The market leans Mexican despite home soil, and the knockout format amplifies every mistake.
Our approach: back the road favorite in a format that rewards execution over caution.
Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.
Odds shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+/21+) and T&Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.
How Leagues Cup Phase One works
Every club in the Leagues Cup plays three cross-league games, MLS against Liga MX. There are no draws. If the score is level after 90 minutes, the game goes straight to a penalty shootout, and the winner banks two points while the loser takes one. The top four MLS teams and the top four Liga MX teams then advance to the knockout rounds.
Columbus Crew vs Pachuca Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Columbus Crew
4-4-2Pachuca
4-2-3-1Columbus Crew vs Pachuca prediction
Columbus will push for points at home, but the format and the market read both point away. Prediction: Pachuca to win, 2-1.
21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Odds approximate at time of writing