Home » News » Fulham vs Burnley prediction: Odds, picks & stats

Fulham vs Burnley prediction: Odds, picks & stats

Craven Cottage sets the stage for a high-stakes Premier League clash as Fulham host Burnley on Saturday, March 22, 2026, with kickoff at 11:00 AM ET.

Both teams enter this encounter with vastly different ambitions: Fulham aim to consolidate a mid-table finish and build on their attacking momentum, while Burnley are desperate for points as they fight for survival near the foot of the table. With Fulham’s possession-based style facing Burnley’s direct counter-attacking threat, expect a tactical battle where every goal could influence the trajectory of both clubs’ seasons.

Best Bets & Predictions

Based on the 2025/26 Premier League stats, here are our top betting recommendations for this match. We’re particularly confident in Fulham to win at home, given their dominant attacking metrics and Burnley’s struggles on the road. Here’s where the strongest value lies:

Our PredictionOdds & SportsbookConfidenceWhy We’re Backing It
Fulham to Win-188 @ Bet365
(65.7%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐Backing because Fulham boast a 40% win rate, Burnley have just 4 wins all season.
Over 2.5 Goals-125 @ Bet365
(55.6%)
⭐⭐⭐Value here due to both teams averaging 2+ goals scored/conceded per game.
Both Teams to Score: Yes-111 @ Bet365
(52.9%)
⭐⭐⭐Strong trend shows both defenses leak—Fulham concede 1.43, Burnley 1.93 per game.
Draw No Bet: Fulham-550 @ Bet365
(84.6%)
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐Lock in Fulham protection—Burnley winless in 26 of 30 matches.

Our approach: Start with Fulham to win, add Over 2.5 Goals for parlay potential.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

Season Form & Standings

Fulham enter this fixture 11th in the 2025/26 Premier League Standings, reflecting a season of attacking promise and mid-table consistency. The Cottagers’ 40 goals show their intent, but defensive frailties remain with 43 conceded. Burnley, meanwhile, sit 19th with relegation danger looming, having managed only four wins and the league’s second-worst goal difference. This is a matchup where Fulham can pull further clear of the lower reaches, while Burnley are running out of time to escape the drop zone.

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Fulham1130125134043-341
Burnley193048183258-2620

Potential Match-Winners

  • Harry Wilson (Fulham): Nine goals, six assists, 3.63 shots on target per game, 43.3% shot accuracy (2025/26). Key creator with 29 key passes and 29 big chance assists.
  • Raul Jimenez (Fulham): Eight goals from 61 shots, averaging two shots per game. Provides goal threat and physicality in the box.
  • Jaidon Anthony (Burnley): Seven goals, one assist, 40% shot accuracy, and 29 key passes for Burnley this season. Burnley’s spark in direct attacks.

All player stats from the 2025/26 Premier League campaign.

Head-to-Head

Recent meetings have slightly favored Burnley, who have four wins from the last eight encounters, but Fulham have grown more competitive in the last two years. Expect another open contest based on recent scorelines.

DateScoreCompetition
Dec 13, 2025Fulham 2-3 BurnleyPremier League
Feb 3, 2024Fulham 2-2 BurnleyPremier League
Dec 23, 2023Burnley 0-2 FulhamPremier League
May 10, 2021Burnley 0-2 FulhamPremier League
Feb 17, 2021Fulham 1-1 BurnleyPremier League
Jan 24, 2021Burnley 0-3 FulhamFA Cup
Jan 12, 2019Fulham 2-1 BurnleyPremier League
Aug 26, 2018Burnley 4-2 FulhamPremier League

Fulham vs Burnley Prediction

Expect Fulham’s attacking edge and home comfort to prove decisive against a Burnley side low on confidence and struggling for goals away from Turf Moor. With Harry Wilson and Raul Jimenez driving Fulham’s forward play, the Cottagers should create enough to secure all three points. Our top selection is Fulham to win at -188 @ Bet365 (65.7% implied probability), which looks a strong play considering the gulf in quality and form.

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.

More Premier League stats: EPL standings | Top scorers | Assist leaders | Full EPL stats hub