Home » News » World Cup 2026 » Switzerland vs Colombia: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats

Switzerland vs Colombia: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats

Switzerland vs Colombia World Cup 2026 round of 16 preview

Switzerland meet Colombia in the World Cup round of 16 at BC Place in Vancouver on Tuesday, July 7, kicking off at 4:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM CT / 2:00 PM MT / 1:00 PM PT. A quarter-final place is on the line, with extra time and penalties waiting if the tie is level after 90 minutes.

Our Switzerland vs Colombia prediction begins with two organized, hard-to-beat sides who have both reached the last 16 without losing. Colombia, driven by Luis Diaz, came through a tight round-of-32 tie; Switzerland have gone quietly about their work, a draw with Qatar the only smudge on their record at World Cup 2026.

bet365 make Colombia narrow favourites at +125, with Switzerland out at +250 and the draw at +210. Our model leans the same way, handing Colombia a slim 52% edge in what looks like the closest tie of the round.

Switzerland vs Colombia: Best Bets & Predictions

Two well-organised sides in a tight knockout — Colombia edge it on their sharper attack, with Luis Diaz the likeliest difference-maker.

Squawka World Cup record 71% hit rate 102 predictions settled See our Signal model verdict ↓
Colombia to WinTop pickFavourites with both the sportsbook and our 52% model, unbeaten across the tournament and carrying the sharper attack through Luis Diaz. The pick in a tight one.
Luis Diaz to score anytimeColombia’s most dangerous runner, off an xG of 1.87. The anytime scorer market tends to post closer to kickoff.
Under 2.5 GoalsTwo miserly defences and a knockout tie that should tighten further. It is the market’s lean, and ours.
Both Teams to Score: NoGoals have been scarce at both ends. One side being kept quiet is the percentage call.
Correct Score: Switzerland 0-1 ColombiaColombia settling a cagey game by a single goal, the way they saw off Ghana.

Our approach: anchor on Colombia to win, pair it with the Under, and add Luis Diaz anytime once that scorer market posts.

Back these with bet365Odds shown in American format for illustration — your local price and offer are served on click.
Bet with bet365 →

Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB & QC). Please play responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, help is available — ConnexOntario 1-866-531-2600.

World Cup Form & Route to the Round of 16

Colombia reached the last 16 unbeaten: a 3-1 win over Uzbekistan, a 1-0 win over Congo DR and a goalless draw with Portugal in the group, then a 1-0 win over Ghana in the round of 32. Controlled, patient and effective.

Switzerland were just as assured, drawing with Qatar before beating Bosnia-Herzegovina 4-1, Canada 2-1 and Algeria 2-0 in the last 32. You can weigh both sides’ longer-term chances against the World Cup 2026 outright odds, which favour Colombia to go through.

Recent Form

Switzerland: D W W W

  • Jul 2, 2026: Switzerland 2-0 Algeria (W)
  • Jun 24, 2026: Switzerland 2-1 Canada (W)
  • Jun 18, 2026: Switzerland 4-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina (W)
  • Jun 13, 2026: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland (D)

Three straight wins since the Qatar draw, the 4-1 over Bosnia-Herzegovina the pick of them. Solid rather than spectacular, and awkward to break down.

Colombia: W W D W

  • Jul 3, 2026: Colombia 1-0 Ghana (W)
  • Jun 27, 2026: Colombia 0-0 Portugal (D)
  • Jun 23, 2026: Colombia 1-0 Congo DR (W)
  • Jun 17, 2026: Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia (W)

Colombia have conceded just once all tournament and keep grinding out the results that count, holding Portugal and edging Ghana. Diaz remains the spark.

Team News Predicted

Switzerland vs Colombia Predicted Lineups

Based on the XI each side started in their last match.

Switzerland

Switzerland

4-2-2-1
G. Kobel
R. Rodriguez
M. Akanji
N. Elvedi
D. Zakaria
G. Xhaka
R. Freuler
R. Vargas
D. Ndoye
B. Embolo
Colombia

Colombia

4-3-3
C. Vargas
J. Mojica
J. Lucumi
D. Sanchez
D. Munoz
J. Arias
J. Lerma
G. Puerta
L. Diaz
J. Cordoba
J. Rodriguez
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Luis Diaz (Colombia): one goal off an xG of 1.87, Colombia’s sharpest runner and their likeliest match-winner.
    • Daniel Munoz (Colombia): two goals from full-back, the attacking outlet Colombia keep leaning on down the right.
    • Breel Embolo (Switzerland): two goals off a team-high xG of 2.81, Switzerland’s focal point and chief aerial threat.
    • Johan Manzambi (Switzerland): the young forward has caught fire with three goals, Switzerland’s leading scorer at the tournament.
    Squawka Signal Data model

    Switzerland vs Colombia: the model read

    Squawka Signal — win probability, tournament outlook & Golden Boot watch. Updated daily.

    Switzerland Colombia
    48%
    52%

    Single-match win probability (draws split on penalties)

    Switzerland
    8%
    Reach final
    3%
    Win it
    Colombia
    10%
    Reach final
    4%
    Win it
    Golden Boot watch
    Johan Manzambi 3

    Switzerland vs Colombia Prediction

    This shapes as the tightest tie of the round, two organized sides who give little away. Switzerland will make it uncomfortable, but Colombia carry the greater threat, and both the market and our 52% model lean their way. We are going Colombia to win at +125 with bet365, with the Under and a Luis Diaz scorer angle as the supporting plays, in a game that could easily turn on a single goal or spill into extra time. The bet365 review has the current terms, and the World Cup 2026 hub rounds up the rest of the last-16 ties. Kickoff is 4:00 PM ET at BC Place, Vancouver.

    Odds correct at the time of writing. Please play responsibly.

    What time does Switzerland vs Colombia kick off?

    Switzerland vs Colombia kicks off at 4:00 PM ET / 3:00 PM CT / 2:00 PM MT / 1:00 PM PT on Tuesday, July 7, 2026 at BC Place in Vancouver, in the World Cup round of 16.

    What happens if Switzerland vs Colombia is a draw?

    It is a knockout tie, so a draw after 90 minutes goes to 30 minutes of extra time, and to a penalty shootout if the sides are still level.

    What are the bet365 odds for Switzerland vs Colombia?

    bet365 price Colombia at +125 to win, the draw at +210 and Switzerland at +250. Colombia are our pick, with a Luis Diaz anytime scorer angle once that market opens.

    19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON)