Newcastle host Aston Villa at St. James’ Park on Saturday, October 17 (12:30 PM ET / 11:30 AM CT / 9:30 AM PT).
Newcastle check on a cluster of doubts before this one, with Anthony Elanga, Dan Burn, Amar Dedic, Lewis Miley and William Osula all carrying issues into the week, while out Ewen Jaouen and out Valentino Livramento are not involved at all. Joseph Willock and Harvey Barnes look set to carry Newcastle’s attacking load regardless, Barnes having created ten chances and set up two goals in his appearances so far this season. Aston Villa travel without out Amadou Onana, out Ian Maatsen, out Modou Cisse, out Leon Goretzka and out Matteo Ruggeri, a heavy list that leaves John McGinn and Nicolas Jackson to carry the visitors forward, Jackson arriving with two goals from twelve shots in his six appearances.
Newcastle have eight points from six league matches, with two wins and two draws offsetting two losses, while Aston Villa have taken five points from the same number of games, winning once and drawing twice against three defeats. Both defences have shipped more than they’d like this season, Newcastle’s minus three goal difference and Villa’s minus five telling a similar story at each end of the pitch. With Newcastle scoring regularly at St James’ Park and Villa capable of hitting back through Jackson or McGinn, this has the look of a game with goals in it rather than a stalemate.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa: Best Bets & Predictions
Newcastle's home comforts against a leaky Aston Villa back line at St James' Park.
Our approach: we weigh points totals, recent results and the underlying player numbers above to land on one scoreline and four supporting markets, all grounded in the facts rather than narrative.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Season Form & Standings
Newcastle have eight points from six league matches, with two wins and two draws offsetting two losses, while Aston Villa have taken five points from the same number of games, winning once and drawing twice against three defeats.
Premier League
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 8 |
| Aston Villa | 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 5 |
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Newcastle
4-2-3-1Aston Villa
4-2-3-1Potential Match-Winners
- Harvey Barnes (Newcastle): The attacking midfielder has created ten chances and claimed two assists through Newcastle’s six league games, their chief creative outlet in the final third.
- Joseph Willock (Newcastle): The defensive midfielder leads the squad with two goals and fifteen shots, adding a goal threat from deeper positions.
- Nicolas Jackson (Aston Villa): The striker has two goals from twelve shots in his six matches, the focal point of Villa’s attack up front.
Recent Form
Newcastle: D W D L W
- 2026-09-19: Newcastle 2-1 Hull City (W, home)
- 2026-09-14: Leeds 4-1 Newcastle (L, away)
- 2026-09-05: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (D, home)
- 2026-08-29: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
- 2026-08-23: Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (D, home)
Newcastle’s last five in the league have gone D, W, D, L, W: a 2-2 draw with Liverpool, a 2-0 win at Tottenham, a 2-2 draw with Bournemouth, a 4-1 defeat at Leeds, and a 2-1 win over Hull City.
Aston Villa: L D L W D
- 2026-10-10: Aston Villa 2-2 Brentford (D, home)
- 2026-09-19: Tottenham 2-3 Aston Villa (W, away)
- 2026-09-12: Aston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest (L, home)
- 2026-09-05: Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa (D, away)
- 2026-08-31: Aston Villa 0-1 Arsenal (L, home)
Aston Villa’s run reads L, D, L, W, D: a 0-1 loss to Arsenal, a 0-0 draw at Hull City, a 1-2 loss to Nottingham Forest, a 3-2 win at Tottenham, and a 2-2 draw with Brentford last time out.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction
Newcastle’s extra points on the board and a day at St James’ Park should be enough to see this one through. We’ll take a 2-1 win for the home side, with goals at both ends but Newcastle edging it in front of their own fans.