Everton host Chelsea at Hill Dickinson Stadium on Saturday, October 17 (7:30 AM ET / 6:30 AM CT / 4:30 AM PT).
Everton have a doubt over Vitalii Mykolenko, but the bigger storylines are already up front. Striker Thierno Mamadou Barry has 3 goals from 22 shots this season, and attacking midfielder Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall has created 15 chances to go with 2 goals, with both expected to lead the home attack. Chelsea arrive without injured Jamie Gittens, sidelined Reece James and sidelined Emmanuel Emegha, but striker João Pedro leads their line with 5 goals, while attacking midfielders Morgan Rogers and Cole Palmer add further threat with 4 and 2 goals respectively.
Everton have not lost all season, with four draws from six games built on a defence that has not been cracked often, and Hill Dickinson Stadium has been a tough watch rather than an open one. Chelsea’s form on the road has been patchier, with defeats at Brentford and Arsenal mixed into their 10-point return, but their attacking depth — João Pedro, Rogers and Palmer all among the goals — should give them the edge even in a tight contest, with the Signal model landing on a narrow 1-2 win for the visitors.
Everton vs Chelsea: Best Bets & Predictions
Chelsea head to Merseyside as the pick to win, but Everton's unbeaten record makes them the value side at Hill Dickinson Stadium.
Our approach: we weigh league standings, recent form, underlying player data and injury news together, then flag anywhere the betting markets look out of step with what the numbers say.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Season Form & Standings
Everton have taken 10 points from 6 games this season, unbeaten with 2 wins and 4 draws yielding a +3 goal difference. Chelsea match that tally with 10 points from 6 matches, built on 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses for a +2 goal difference.
Premier League
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 5 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 10 |
| Chelsea | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 10 |
Everton vs Chelsea Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Everton
4-2-3-1Chelsea
3-4-2-1Potential Match-Winners
- Thierno Mamadou Barry (Everton): 3 goals from 22 shots in 505 minutes, with 8 of those on target.
- João Pedro (Chelsea): 5 goals and 3 assists in just 432 minutes, the sharpest finisher on the pitch.
- Morgan Rogers (Chelsea): 4 goals and 11 chances created in 523 minutes, Chelsea’s other major goal threat.
Recent Form
Everton: D D D W D
- 2026-10-11: Hull City 2-2 Everton (D, away)
- 2026-09-19: Everton 1-0 Ipswich Town (W, home)
- 2026-09-12: Tottenham 0-0 Everton (D, away)
- 2026-09-06: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (D, home)
- 2026-08-29: Bournemouth 1-1 Everton (D, away)
Everton’s past 5 matches have produced 4 draws and 1 win: a 2-2 draw at Hull City on October 11, a 1-0 home win over Ipswich Town, a 0-0 draw at Tottenham, a 2-2 home draw with Manchester United and a 1-1 draw at Bournemouth.
Chelsea: W L D L W
- 2026-10-10: Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth (W, home)
- 2026-09-18: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (L, away)
- 2026-09-12: Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (D, home)
- 2026-09-06: Arsenal 2-1 Chelsea (L, away)
- 2026-08-30: Chelsea 4-3 Brighton (W, home)
Chelsea’s past 5 outings read 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, including a 5-1 home win over Bournemouth most recently on October 10, before that a 3-0 loss at Brentford, a 2-2 home draw with Hull City, a 2-1 loss at Arsenal and a 4-3 home win over Brighton.
Everton vs Chelsea Prediction
The Signal model expects a tight, low-event game rather than a shootout, with Chelsea’s attacking options — João Pedro’s 5 goals chief among them — edging it 1-2 at Hill Dickinson Stadium. Everton’s unbeaten record and +3 goal difference suggest the market may be underrating their chances of taking something from this one, which is why Everton look the value side even with Chelsea tipped to leave Merseyside with the win.