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Chelsea vs Manchester United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Chelsea vs Manchester United predicted formations

Chelsea host Manchester United at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, October 31 (8:30 AM ET / 7:30 AM CT / 5:30 AM PT).

Chelsea’s team news is bleak: the suspended Cole Palmer misses out, while the sidelined João Pedro (knee), Reece James (knee), Jamie Gittens (ankle/foot), Emiliano Martinez (head/face) and Emmanuel Emegha are all out, with Pep Chavarria a doubt. That leaves Morgan Rogers (4 goals, 20 shots, 14 chances created this season) and Pedro Neto (3 goals, 10 shots on target, 12 chances created) to carry Chelsea’s attacking threat, with Jordan Henderson (2 goals in 360 minutes) also in the mix. Manchester United have no fresh absences to report, so Bryan Mbeumo (4 goals, 24 shots, 10 on target) and Bruno Fernandes (3 goals, 16 chances created) should both start.

Chelsea vs Manchester United: Best Bets & Predictions

Chelsea sit on 13 points from 8 games as Manchester United arrive on 7 points from 7, with a full house of fit attackers for the visitors and a thin front line for the hosts.

Chelsea to winTop pickChelsea have taken 13 points from 8 games (4-1-3) at home, well clear of Manchester United's 7 points from 7.
Chelsea 2-1 Manchester UnitedA 2-1 scoreline fits a game where Chelsea have 4 wins from 8 and Manchester United have won just 1 of 7, with goals likely at both ends.
Both teams to scoreBoth sides have shown goals at both ends this season — Bryan Mbeumo has 4 goals for United and Morgan Rogers has 4 goals for Chelsea.
Over 2.5 goalsChelsea's 5-1 win over Bournemouth and Manchester United's 4 draws in 7 games both point to goals, with the sides combining for an expected 3-goal total here.
Morgan Rogers to score anytimeMorgan Rogers leads Chelsea's available forwards with 4 goals and 20 shots this season, with João Pedro and Cole Palmer both missing.
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Our approach: we weigh season-long squad availability, Chelsea's 13-point haul from 8 games against Manchester United's 7 from 7, and each side's top performers by goals, shots and chances created to land on a Chelsea win, both teams scoring and a 2-1 scoreline.

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Season Form & Standings

Chelsea have taken 13 points from their 8 Premier League games this season — 4 wins, a draw and 3 defeats, a goal difference of +2 — while Manchester United have 7 points from 7 matches: 1 win, 4 draws and 2 losses, a goal difference of 0.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Chelsea484131715+213
Manchester United157142101007
Team News Predicted

Chelsea vs Manchester United Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Chelsea

3-4-2-1
M. Penders
L. Colwill
M. Lacroix
J. Acheampong
J. Hato
J. Henderson
M. Caicedo
Pedro Neto
Geovany Quenda
C. Palmer
M. Rogers

Manchester United

4-2-3-1
S. Lammens
Diogo Dalot
L. Martinez
H. Maguire
L. Yoro
C. Baleba
Andrey Santos
Bruno Fernandes
Y. Tielemans
A. Diallo
B. Mbeumo
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Morgan Rogers (Chelsea): 4 goals and 20 shots this season, with 14 chances created in 703 minutes — Chelsea’s most productive attacking outlet with João Pedro and Cole Palmer both missing.
    • Pedro Neto (Chelsea): 3 goals and 10 shots on target this season, creating 12 chances in 596 minutes — a reliable outlet in behind Chelsea’s injury-hit front line.
    • Bryan Mbeumo (Manchester United): 4 goals from 24 shots (10 on target) and 11 chances created in 630 minutes make him United’s most direct threat heading into Stamford Bridge.

    Recent Form

    Chelsea: D L W W L

    • 2026-10-24: Chelsea 0-2 Tottenham (L, home)
    • 2026-10-17: Everton 0-2 Chelsea (W, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Chelsea 5-1 Bournemouth (W, home)
    • 2026-09-18: Brentford 3-0 Chelsea (L, away)
    • 2026-09-12: Chelsea 2-2 Hull City (D, home)

    Chelsea’s last 5 league matches have gone D L W W L: a 2-2 draw with Hull City, a 3-0 defeat at Brentford, a 5-1 win over Bournemouth, a 2-0 victory at Everton and a 0-2 home loss to Tottenham.

    Manchester United: D L D D D

    • 2026-10-18: Leeds 1-1 Manchester United (D, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Manchester United 1-1 Tottenham (D, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Fulham 1-1 Manchester United (D, away)
    • 2026-09-13: Manchester United 0-1 Manchester City (L, home)
    • 2026-09-06: Everton 2-2 Manchester United (D, away)

    Manchester United’s last 5 league matches have gone D L D D D: a 2-2 draw at Everton, a 0-1 home defeat to Manchester City, a 1-1 draw with Fulham, a 1-1 draw with Tottenham and a 1-1 draw at Leeds.

    Chelsea vs Manchester United Prediction

    Our Signal model fancies Chelsea to win this 2-1, with goals at both ends fitting the pattern of two sides who have a +2 goal difference from 8 games (Chelsea) and 1 win from seven (Manchester United) this season. Expect Rogers or Neto among the scorers as Chelsea see it through 2-1 at Stamford Bridge.