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Nuggets vs Pelicans: Prediction, Team News and a Rematch After 141-135

Denver Nuggets vs New Orleans Pelicans prediction and picks

Denver and New Orleans met on Saturday and needed overtime. Jamal Murray scored 42 with eight threes, and Nikola Jokic had 35 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists in a 141-135 win. Four days later the Nuggets vs Pelicans rematch moves to New Orleans, with the Pelicans still looking for a first win.

Denver is 1-2 after losing at home to Golden State on Monday. New Orleans is 0-3, and all three defeats were by six points or fewer.

Our best bet
Nuggets to win
Score predictionNuggets 122-115
SpreadNuggets at -5.5 or shorter
TotalOver at 234.5 or lower
Player propAaron Gordon under 16.5 points
Watch in CanadaNo Canadian listing (NBA League Pass)
Prop line checked on Covers’ NBA prop board at 6:55 a.m. ET on 28 October. Lines move, so check yours before you bet. Picks are opinion, not advice. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC).

How to watch Nuggets vs Pelicans in Canada

Detail
GameDenver Nuggets at New Orleans Pelicans
DateWednesday 28 October 2026
Tip-off8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT
VenueSmoothie King Center, New Orleans
RecordsDenver 1-2, New Orleans 0-3
RestDenver with 1 day off, New Orleans with 3 days off, then a back-to-back

No Canadian network had listed this game when we checked. If it isn’t on TV where you are, our how to watch the NBA in Canada page covers the streaming route.

Nuggets vs Pelicans odds

This game hadn’t been priced by a Canadian book at the time of writing. A US number may not match what you’ll see here, so we’ve left the odds out. See our NBA betting in Canada page for the licensed options by province.

Denver has scored 141 and 84 in the same week

The Nuggets opened with a 96-84 loss in Oklahoma City, where Murray went 2-of-11. Then came the overtime win, then a 134-114 home loss to the Warriors. Murray answered with 19 points and eight assists, and DeMar DeRozan led them with 21.

Put those three results side by side and you get a club that can still beat anyone when Murray and Jokic both find a rhythm, and one that looks ordinary when either of them is off. That’s the Nuggets so far.

Cameron Johnson is doubtful with an ankle problem. Julian Strawther has a knee sprain and will be re-evaluated in six weeks.

How they compare

2025-26Denver NuggetsNew Orleans Pelicans
Record54-2826-56
Net rating+5.1-4.4
Offensive rating120.3112.1
Defensive rating115.2116.5
Pace101.5103.0
Three-point %39.6%34.7%

Last season’s rates. Denver’s net rating was 9.5 points per 100 possessions better, and New Orleans played the faster game.

New Orleans keeps losing close games

The Pelicans lost 123-120 to Indiana, 120-119 in Utah and 141-135 in Denver. That’s three defeats by a combined 10 points.

Trey Murphy III scored 26 on Saturday. Zion Williamson has 22, 23 and 17, and Dejounte Murray has passed 20 twice. Yves Missi is out for an extended spell with a bone bruise in his left knee. Bennedict Mathurin, one of the Canadians in this game, has come off the bench for 15 to 20 minutes a night. Murray and Ryan Nembhard make it three.

The Pelicans also play Sacramento at home on Thursday, the second half of a back-to-back.

Denver has won the last four meetings

DateResultVenue
24 Oct 2026Denver 141-135 (OT)Ball Arena
13 Jan 2026Denver 122-116Smoothie King Center
19 Nov 2025Denver 125-118Smoothie King Center
29 Oct 2025Denver 122-88Ball Arena

Three of those four were decided by single digits or overtime. The odd one out was a 34-point Denver win a year ago.

Recent form

Denver NuggetsLast 3: 1-2LWL
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Mon 26 Octvs Golden StateL 114-134DeMar DeRozan 21
Sat 24 Octvs New OrleansW 141-135 (OT)Jamal Murray 42
Thu 22 Octat Oklahoma CityL 84-96Aaron Gordon 20
New Orleans PelicansLast 3: 0-3LLL
DateOpponentResultTop scorer
Sat 24 Octat DenverL 135-141 (OT)Trey Murphy III 26
Fri 23 Octat UtahL 119-120Zion Williamson 23
Wed 21 Octvs IndianaL 120-123Dejounte Murray 23

Team news

ClubPlayerStatusLatest
DenverAlpha DialloOut, personalOut for this game (27 Oct)
DenverJulian StrawtherOut, kneeRe-evaluation in six weeks, reported on 16 Oct
DenverSpencer JonesOut, hamstringOut for this game (27 Oct)
DenverCameron JohnsonDay to day, ankleDoubtful for this game (27 Oct)
New OrleansYves MissiOut, kneeNo timetable
New OrleansJordan PooleDay to day, illnessProbable for this game (27 Oct)

Johnson’s status is the one to watch. The official NBA injury report will settle it before tip-off.

For the other 28 clubs, our NBA injury report has the full list.

Probable starting fives

Denver NuggetsStarted Mon 26 Oct vs Golden State
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
FAaron Gordon7 pts, 4 reb, 2 astAvailable
FBryce Hopkins13 pts, 3 reb, 1 astAvailable
CNikola Jokic19 pts, 7 reb, 11 astAvailable
GJamal Murray19 pts, 6 reb, 8 astAvailable
GChristian Braun9 pts, 4 reb, 2 astAvailable
New Orleans PelicansStarted Sat 24 Oct at Denver
PosPlayerThat gameStatus
FZion Williamson17 pts, 1 reb, 2 astAvailable
FTrey Murphy III26 pts, 6 reb, 4 astAvailable
CDeAndre Jordan9 pts, 9 reb, 2 astAvailable
GDejounte Murray22 pts, 6 reb, 6 astAvailable
GJeremiah Fears10 pts, 6 reb, 2 astAvailable
Each club’s most recent starting five, checked against today’s injury list. A starter marked out has no named replacement yet: clubs confirm their starters about 30 minutes before tip-off.

Players to watch

Jamal Murray, Denver. The Kitchener, Ontario native has gone 6, 42 and 19. The 42 came against this defence.

Trey Murphy III, New Orleans. Ten-of-17 shooting on Saturday, and the Pelicans’ best answer when Jokic draws the help.

Score prediction

Nuggets 122-115 Pelicans. Last season’s ratings put Denver two to three points ahead on the road, with a total in the high 230s. We add a little for Denver, because New Orleans plays again tomorrow.

Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction

Saturday showed how close this can be. It also showed the Pelicans haven’t found a way to stop Murray and Jokic together.

Our pick: Denver to win, the Nuggets at -5.5 or shorter, and the over if the total sits at 234.5 or lower. Saturday’s game reached 276 with overtime.

Our player prop is Aaron Gordon under 16.5 points. He scored 20 on opening night, then seven in each of the last two. Most books on Covers’ NBA prop board had 16.5 at 6:55 a.m. ET.

Check the NBA games tonight board for the rest of Wednesday’s games. It is rebuilt every day.

What time is Nuggets vs Pelicans?

Tip-off is 8:00pm ET / 7:00pm CT on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans.

Where can I watch Nuggets vs Pelicans in Canada?

No Canadian network listed this game when we checked. NBA League Pass covers out-of-market games that no Canadian broadcaster holds.

Is Cameron Johnson playing against New Orleans?

He’s listed doubtful with an ankle problem. Check the official injury report before tip-off.

Who won the last Nuggets vs Pelicans game?

Denver won 141-135 in overtime on Saturday 24 October, with Jamal Murray scoring 42.

What is our Nuggets vs Pelicans prediction?

Nuggets 122-115. We back Denver to win, at -5.5 or shorter, and the over at 234.5 or lower.

19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Picks are opinion, not advice, and odds change constantly. Availability varies by province. Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 for Ontario residents; see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.