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NYCFC vs New England Revolution: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

NYCFC vs New England Revolution predicted formations

NYCFC host New England Revolution at Citi Field on Wednesday, September 9 (8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CT / 5:00 PM PT).

New England Revolution arrive with the same front three expected to lead their line: Carles Gil pulling the strings through midfield, Dor Turgeman leading the press and Alhassan Yusuf offering the legs to break beyond him. NYCFC counter with their own headline act in Nicolás Fernández Mercau, whose fourteen goals make him the most productive player on either team sheet, with Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf offering further goal threat in support.

NYCFC sit seventh in the East and need results to close the gap, while New England arrive fourth with thirty-seven points and a plus-nine goal difference that speaks to the control they’ve shown in games this season. The visitors’ recent run of L L W D W includes wins either side of a draw with this very opponent, while NYCFC’s D L L D D stretch has been a case of games staying tight rather than getting away from either side. Expect Fernández Mercau and Gil to shape the key moments, with a narrow finish tilting NYCFC’s way at home.

NYCFC vs New England Revolution: Best Bets & Predictions

NYCFC look to close the gap on a Revolution side already sitting in the playoff picture.

NYCFCTop pickHome advantage and Fernández Mercau's fourteen goals give NYCFC the edge to close the gap on a Revolution side placed above them in the East.
42%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
2-1 NYCFCA tight finish fits both sides' underlying numbers, with NYCFC's attack edging it 2-1 at home.
YesCarles Gil and Dor Turgeman have contributed fourteen combined goals for New England, while Fernández Mercau's fourteen alone lead an NYCFC attack fully capable of finding the net too.
Over 2.5New England's plus-nine goal difference from thirty-seven points across twenty-two games shows goals flow at both ends of their fixtures, backing an open scoreline here.
Fernández Mercau to score anytimeHis fourteen goals from fifty-four shots make him the most clinical player in this fixture, with thirty-two efforts on target underlining the volume behind that tally.
⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh conference standings, recent form and underlying player numbers — shots, chances created, minutes — to land on a single, stat-backed selection for each market, then check it holds up against the matchup's individual threats.

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Season Form & Standings

New England Revolution sit fourth in the East on thirty-seven points, firmly in the playoff picture, while NYCFC occupy seventh, still in the mix but with work to do to close that gap.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
New England Revolution42211473627+937
Team News Predicted

NYCFC vs New England Revolution Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

NYCFC

4-3-3
M. Freese
N. Cavallo
J. Sands
Thiago Martins
M. Ilenic
A. Perea
K. Parks
N. Fernandez
B. Traore
Luighi Hanri
A. Ojeda

New England Revolution

4-1-4-1
M. Turner
W. Sands
M. Fofana
E. Kohler
M. Polster
B. Raines
P. Miller
A. Yusuf
Carles Gil
J. Harrison
D. Turgeman
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC): Fourteen goals from fifty-four shots headline his season, with thirty-two of those on target — the most productive output on either roster.
    • Carles Gil (New England Revolution): Sixty-two chances created — the most of any player in this fixture — layered with eight goals of his own makes him the game’s most creative threat.
    • Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution): Six goals from fifty shots, with twenty on target, makes him a live threat to add to that tally.

    Recent Form

    NYCFC: D L L D D

    • 2026-08-30: Toronto FC 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-08-23: New England Revolution 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-08-20: FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
    • 2026-08-16: NYCFC 2-3 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
    • 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, home)

    NYCFC’s last five reads D L L D D — a 1-1 draw at Toronto FC most recently, preceded by a 1-1 draw away to this same New England Revolution side and a 2-1 defeat away at FC Cincinnati, either side of a 2-3 home loss to Philadelphia Union and a 1-1 home draw with Toronto FC.

    New England Revolution: L L W D W

    • 2026-08-30: Columbus Crew 1-3 New England Revolution (W, away)
    • 2026-08-23: New England Revolution 1-1 NYCFC (D, home)
    • 2026-08-20: DC United 0-3 New England Revolution (W, away)
    • 2026-08-16: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution (L, away)
    • 2026-08-08: New England Revolution 0-2 Houston Dynamo (L, home)

    New England’s last five reads L L W D W — a 3-1 win at Columbus Crew most recently, preceded by a 1-1 home draw with NYCFC and a 3-0 win away at DC United, either side of an away defeat at Toronto FC and a home loss to Houston Dynamo earlier in the run.

    NYCFC vs New England Revolution Prediction

    New England’s away form and standing above NYCFC in the East make them no pushover, but Fernández Mercau’s goal threat gives the hosts an edge in front of their own fans. Our Signal model lands on a 2-1 win for NYCFC, with goals at both ends fitting a fixture between two sides still jostling for position in a crowded Eastern Conference.