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NYCFC vs CF Montreal: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

NYCFC vs CF Montreal predicted formations

NYCFC host CF Montreal at Citi Field on Saturday, October 31 (2:00 PM ET / 1:00 PM CT / 11:00 AM PT).

There’s no fresh injury news to report for either side ahead of this one, so expect NYCFC to lean on Nicolás Fernández Mercau, their midfield’s chief creator and source of fifteen goals this season, alongside strikers Hannes Wolf and Axel Ojeda up top. CF Montreal will again look to Prince Owusu, who has matched Fernández Mercau’s tally with fifteen goals of his own, to lead the attack, with Daniel Ríos Calderón and Wikelman Carmona offering support in behind.

NYCFC sit twelfth in the Eastern Conference and haven’t won in their last five league games (L D L L D), but a run like that at home against a side shipping goals at CF Montreal’s rate is exactly the kind of fixture that should snap it. CF Montreal are 15th with a goal difference of -26 across 31 games, and that defensive record, more than their own patchy form (W L L D L), is what points toward goals at both ends. Expect NYCFC’s quality in the final third, led by Fernández Mercau, with Owusu good enough to get Montreal on the scoresheet too, to make the difference — a tight edge rather than a rout, with the hosts getting there 2-1.

NYCFC vs CF Montreal: Best Bets & Predictions

NYCFC's firepower looks too much for a leaky CF Montreal side in the East playoff race.

NYCFCTop pickCF Montreal have shipped goals at an alarming rate this season, sitting 15th in the East with a goal difference of -26, and NYCFC have the firepower at home to take advantage.
58%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
NYCFC 2-1 CF MontrealFernández Mercau's fifteen goals from midfield give NYCFC the cutting edge to nose it, while Owusu's own return of fifteen for Montreal means the visitors should have a say in the scoreline too.
10%chanceopening soon @ bet365
YesBoth teams have attackers in form — Fernández Mercau has forty-three shots on target this season and Owusu thirty-three — making it likely both sides find the net.
57%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Over 2.5CF Montreal have been involved in end-to-end, goal-heavy matches all season, as reflected in a goal difference of -26 across 31 games, and NYCFC's attacking options make a high-scoring afternoon likely.
59%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Fernández Mercau to score anytimeFernández Mercau leads NYCFC with fifteen goals and sixty-nine chances created, underlining his influence in the final third.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh conference standings, recent form and the underlying player data for both sides to land on a single, stat-backed scoreline rather than a hedge.

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Season Form & Standings

NYCFC sit 12th in the Eastern Conference, still within sight of the playoff picture, while CF Montreal are 15th with 25 points from 31 games and a goal difference of -26 that leaves them firmly on the outside looking in.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
CF Montreal153167183662-2625
Team News Predicted

NYCFC vs CF Montreal Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

NYCFC

4-3-3
M. Freese
K. O'Toole
J. Sands
Thiago Martins
T. Gray
A. Perea
A. O'Neill
N. Fernandez
H. Wolf
A. Martinez
A. Ojeda

CF Montreal

4-2-3-1
S. Keita
V. Radojevic
B. Vera
E. Morales
D. Bugaj
D. Pereira
S. Piette
D. Sealy
O. Escobar
H. Synchuk
A. Sanchez
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Nicolás Fernández Mercau (NYCFC): Fernández Mercau anchors NYCFC’s attack from midfield, with fifteen goals and sixty-nine chances created the clearest sign of his influence in the final third.
    • Axel Ojeda (NYCFC): Ojeda has racked up forty-five chances created alongside five goals this season, and his movement up top gives NYCFC’s attack a focal point.
    • Prince Owusu (CF Montreal): Owusu’s fifteen goals make him the division’s most dangerous attacker and the one CF Montreal player capable of hurting NYCFC on the counter.

    Recent Form

    NYCFC: L D L L D

    • 2026-10-18: NYCFC 1-1 LAFC (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: Inter Miami 2-0 NYCFC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-10: Chicago Fire 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Atlanta United 2-2 NYCFC (D, away)
    • 2026-09-19: NYCFC 0-1 New York Red Bulls (L, home)

    NYCFC head into this one on a run of L D L L D, salvaging a 1-1 draw against LAFC last time out after back-to-back defeats to Inter Miami and Chicago Fire.

    CF Montreal: W L L D L

    • 2026-10-24: CF Montreal 0-2 Nashville SC (L, home)
    • 2026-10-18: Seattle Sounders 1-1 CF Montreal (D, away)
    • 2026-10-15: CF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United (L, home)
    • 2026-10-10: Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal (L, away)
    • 2026-09-27: CF Montreal 3-1 FC Cincinnati (W, home)

    CF Montreal’s own form reads W L L D L, and the slide has continued with a 0-2 home defeat to Nashville SC in their most recent outing.

    NYCFC vs CF Montreal Prediction

    This looks a game NYCFC should edge. CF Montreal’s -26 goal difference and 15th-place standing in the East point to a side that will offer chances at the other end. NYCFC, 12th themselves, still have something to play for in the conference race. Fernández Mercau’s quality and Owusu’s threat on the counter should combine for goals at both ends, but NYCFC do just enough at home: NYCFC 2-1 CF Montreal.