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FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes predicted formations

FC Dallas host San Jose Earthquakes at Toyota Stadium on Saturday, October 24 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).

FC Dallas go into this one with their attacking options intact. Petar Musa leads the line on 20 goals from 86 shots this season, 43 of them on target, and Logan Farrington offers another scoring threat with 10 goals of his own. Kaick and Santiago Moreno supply the service from midfield — Moreno has created 36 chances despite just 1,174 minutes on the pitch. San Jose Earthquakes will again turn to Preston Judd, who has 16 goals from 78 shots, with Ousseni Bouda and Timo Werner rotating around him and Nikolas Tsakiris, who leads the Earthquakes for chances created with 50, dictating from deeper.

FC Dallas sit third in the Western Conference with 51 points from 30 games, firmly inside the playoff places, while San Jose Earthquakes occupy fourth in the same conference and are just as firmly in the race. Neither side has strung together a run of results lately. Dallas have drawn, won, lost, won and drawn across their last five, and San Jose have drawn four of their own last five, with just the one win, over Portland Timbers, breaking up the sequence. That points to a cagey night at Toyota Stadium, with goals likely to come from moments rather than an open, end-to-end contest.

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes: Best Bets & Predictions

FC Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes meet at Toyota Stadium with both sides deep in the Western Conference playoff picture.

FC DallasTop pickFC Dallas sit third in the Western Conference on 51 points from 30 games, with a +8 goal difference putting them ahead of fourth-placed San Jose Earthquakes in the race.
49%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
FC Dallas 2-1 San Jose EarthquakesPetar Musa's 20 goals this season give Dallas the clearer edge in front of goal, while San Jose's goal threats across the pitch make a reply likely, landing this at 2-1 to the hosts.
9%chanceopening soon @ bet365
YesMusa has 20 goals for Dallas and Preston Judd has 16 for San Jose, and both attacks have found the net in enough matches this season to make goals at both ends the likelier outcome.
65%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Over 2.5With Musa's 20 goals and Judd's 16 leading two lineups that both create regularly — Moreno has 36 chances created, Tsakiris 50 — the goals tally should clear two.5.
64%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Petar Musa to Score AnytimeMusa leads all players in this preview on 20 goals from 86 shots, with 43 on target, making him the obvious choice to find the net again.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: Signal weighs standings position, points totals and underlying attacking numbers — shots, shots on target, chances created — across both squads to build a scoreline rather than a vague favourite tag, which is how a narrow FC Dallas win with goals at both ends emerges as the call here.

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Season Form & Standings

FC Dallas head into this one third in the Western Conference, firmly in the playoff picture on 51 points from 30 games — 14 wins, 9 draws and 7 losses, with a +8 goal difference. San Jose Earthquakes sit fourth in the same conference, firmly inside the same playoff picture.

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
FC Dallas33014975547+851
Team News Predicted

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

FC Dallas

3-4-2-1
Daniel
N. Norris
S. Ibeagha
S. Moore
B. Kamungo
C. Cappis
Ramiro
H. Johansson
D. Job
P. Delgado
P. Musa

San Jose Earthquakes

5-3-2
A. Gunn
J. Ricketts
R. Roberts
D. Romney
D. Munie
J. Jasinski
E. Lowen
Ronaldo Vieira
B. Leroux
T. Werner
P. Judd
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Petar Musa (FC Dallas): Petar Musa has scored 20 goals from 86 shots this season, with 43 landing on target — comfortably the most productive forward in this preview.
    • Logan Farrington (FC Dallas): Logan Farrington adds a second scoring outlet up top, with 10 goals and 20 shots on target from 1,436 minutes.
    • Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes): Preston Judd carries San Jose’s attack with 16 goals from 78 shots, 39 of them on target.

    Recent Form

    FC Dallas: D W L W D

    • 2026-10-18: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Dallas (D, away)
    • 2026-10-15: FC Dallas 1-0 Seattle Sounders (W, home)
    • 2026-10-11: Charlotte FC 3-2 FC Dallas (L, away)
    • 2026-09-27: FC Dallas 1-0 LAFC (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: FC Dallas 0-0 Austin FC (D, home)

    FC Dallas’s last five league matches read draw, win, loss, win, draw. That sequence included a 2-2 draw away at Houston Dynamo, a 1-0 win over Seattle Sounders, a 3-2 loss at Charlotte FC, a 1-0 win over LAFC and a 0-0 draw with Austin FC.

    San Jose Earthquakes: D W D D D

    • 2026-10-18: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Nashville SC (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: Real Salt Lake 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Colorado Rapids 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)
    • 2026-09-27: San Jose Earthquakes 3-1 Portland Timbers (W, home)
    • 2026-09-20: San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 LAFC (D, home)

    San Jose Earthquakes’s last five read draw, win, draw, draw, draw. That stretch featured a 2-2 draw with LAFC, a 3-1 win over Portland Timbers, a 1-1 draw at Colorado Rapids, a 1-1 draw away at Real Salt Lake and a 1-1 draw with Nashville SC at home.

    FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

    This looks tight. FC Dallas sit third in the Western Conference with 51 points from 30 games, a position San Jose Earthquakes are chasing from fourth in the same conference, and neither side’s recent form points to an avalanche of goals. Dallas’s class in front of goal — led by Musa’s 20 for the season — should be enough to nose it, but San Jose’s scoring threat is spread across both midfield and attack, from Judd’s 16 to contributions in behind him, meaning a reply is likely. We’re backing a narrow 2-1 win for FC Dallas at Toyota Stadium.