Sabah host Borussia Dortmund at Bakı Olimpiya Stadionu on Tuesday, October 20 (12:45 PM ET / 11:45 AM CT / 9:45 AM PT).
No fresh fitness concerns have emerged on either side heading into this one. Sabah should still lean on Veljko Simić pulling the strings behind Joy-Lance Mickels — the pair carry 6 and 5 goals respectively this season — while Patrick Mbina and Umarali Rakhmonaliev add extra steel in behind them. Borussia Dortmund arrive with Serhou Guirassy expected to lead the line after scoring 2 goals in his only runout, and Marcel Sabitzer pulling strings through the middle having already created 4 chances.
Sabah sit on 3 points from 2 games, with 1 win sandwiched by 2 defeats that have left them with a -2 goal difference, including a 4-0 beating at Manchester United. Dortmund, by contrast, have banked the same 3 points from just 1 outing, a 3-2 home win over Villarreal that nudged their goal difference to +1. The market rates Dortmund as clear favourites here, and our numbers agree that a narrow win for the visitors is the likeliest outcome — but the value sits with Sabah, who look underrated given how competitive they’ve been despite the record.
Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund: Best Bets & Predictions
Our Signal model sees Borussia Dortmund edging a tight one, with Sabah flagged as this fixture's value play.
Our approach: we weigh points totals, goal difference and underlying player data against the market price to flag picks like Sabah's value that the raw result market hasn't fully accounted for.
Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).
Season Form & Standings
Sabah sit on 3 points from 2 games, with 1 win and 1 loss leaving them a -2 goal difference, while Borussia Dortmund have matched that 3-point haul from just 1 game, their +1 goal difference underlining the small but tidy sample so far.
Champions League
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 3 |
| Sabah | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund Predicted Lineups
Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.
Sabah
4-2-3-1Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Potential Match-Winners
- Veljko Simić (Sabah): The attacking midfielder has 6 goals and 6 chances created in 863 minutes, Sabah’s clearest creative spark.
- Joy-Lance Mickels (Sabah): 5 goals from 26 shots, with 9 on target across 904 minutes — the volume shooter Sabah lean on up front.
- Serhou Guirassy (Borussia Dortmund): 2 goals and 3 shots on target from his only 90 minutes so far, enough early signal to make him the visitors’ likeliest scorer.
Recent Form
Sabah: L W L W L
- 2026-09-10: Manchester United 4-0 Sabah (L, away)
- 2026-08-25: Sabah 5-2 Hapoel Be’er Sheva (W, AET, home)
- 2026-08-19: Hapoel Be’er Sheva 2-1 Sabah (L, away)
- 2026-08-11: Sabah 4-0 AGF (W, home)
- 2026-08-05: AGF 2-1 Sabah (L, away)
Sabah’s last 5 have read L-W-L-W-L: a 4-0 loss at Manchester United, an extra-time 5-2 win over Hapoel Be’er Sheva, a 2-1 defeat away to the same opponents, a 4-0 home win over AGF, and a 2-1 loss at AGF.
Borussia Dortmund: W
- 2026-09-08: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal (W, home)
Dortmund’s only match on file is a 3-2 home win over Villarreal, in keeping with the +1 goal difference and 3 points they’ve taken from that 1 game.
Sabah vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Our Signal model has this finishing 1-2 to Borussia Dortmund, with Serhou Guirassy supplying the decisive moment against a Sabah side sitting on 3 points from 2 games. It’s tight rather than open, but the visitors’ +1 goal difference from their 1 outing edges it — even if Sabah, on this reading, look like the value side the market is underpricing.