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Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich predicted formations

Atletico Madrid host Bayern Munich at Estadio Wanda Metropolitano on Tuesday, November 3 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

Atletico Madrid have no fresh fitness concerns to report, with Julián Alvarez and Ademola Lookman both in contention up top after each scored and created 2 chances apiece already this season. Pablo Barrios, who has created 5 chances in 215 minutes, looks the deepest-lying creative threat through midfield, while Alejandro Grimaldo has supplied 6 chances created from left back. Bayern Munich have everybody available too, with Harry Kane leading the line on 4 goals from 15 shots in 270 minutes, and Michael Olise, who has created 11 chances in just 163 minutes, their most dangerous attacking midfielder.

Atletico Madrid sit on 4 points from 3 games, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss and a +1 goal difference, a solid platform built on defensive control at home. Bayern Munich have scored freely on the road but leak goals too, drawing 2-2 with Arsenal and 3-3 with Viking in recent weeks. That combination points to a tighter night than Bayern’s recent scorelines suggest, with Atletico Madrid well equipped to make it uncomfortable this time.

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich: Best Bets & Predictions

Control at the back could decide this one as Atletico Madrid host a leaky Bayern Munich side.

Atletico MadridTop pickAtletico Madrid have lost just 1 of their 3 games this season and own a +1 goal difference, enough of a platform to edge a Bayern Munich side still shipping goals at the back.
72%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
Atletico Madrid 2-0 Bayern MunichAtletico Madrid have 4 different players on 1 goal each this season, while Bayern Munich have conceded in their last 2 outings — a platform for a 2-0 home win.
NoAtletico Madrid's +1 goal difference points to tight margins, and a home shutout fits a side that has lost just 1 of 3 games so far this season.
Under 2.5A 2-0 scoreline fits the Under 2.5 price, with Atletico Madrid's control built around limiting opportunities rather than an end-to-end shootout.
Julián Alvarez to score anytimeJulián Alvarez has scored 1 goal and created 2 chances from 8 shots, 4 of them on target, in 239 minutes, making him the most likely Atletico Madrid player to add his name to the scoresheet.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: Squawka's Signal model weighs current-season output, shot data and underlying chance creation to settle on the most probable scoreline, not just the overall winner.

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Season Form & Standings

Atletico Madrid have taken four points from three games this season, with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss and a +1 goal difference, while Bayern Munich head into this one on the back of a W D D run that has brought goals at both ends.

Champions League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Atletico Madrid16311143+14
Team News Predicted

Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Atletico Madrid

4-4-2
J. Oblak
Alejandro Grimaldo
D. Hancko
Marc Pubill
Marcos Llorente
Alex Baena
M. Hjulmand
Pablo Barrios
G. Simeone
J. Alvarez
J. David

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
M. Neuer
J. Stanisic
Kim Min-Jae
D. Upamecano
K. Laimer
A. Pavlovic
T. Bischof
A. Davies
I. Saibari
S. Gnabry
H. Kane
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Julián Alvarez (Atletico Madrid): Julián Alvarez has scored 1 goal and created 2 chances from 8 shots, 4 of them on target, in 239 minutes this season — he remains the focal point of the Atletico Madrid attack.
    • Pablo Barrios (Atletico Madrid): Pablo Barrios has created 5 chances from just 2 shots in 215 minutes, with 1 goal already on the board, the clearest sign of his influence through midfield.
    • Harry Kane (Bayern Munich): Harry Kane leads the way with 4 goals from 15 shots, 7 on target, and 6 chances created in 270 minutes, comfortably Bayern Munich’s most productive attacker this season.

    Recent Form

    Atletico Madrid: L W D

    • 2026-10-20: Stuttgart 1-1 Atletico Madrid (D, away)
    • 2026-10-13: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Manchester United (W, home)
    • 2026-09-09: Liverpool 2-1 Atletico Madrid (L, away)

    Atletico Madrid’s last 3 matches have gone L W D: a 2-1 loss at Liverpool, a 2-0 win over Manchester United, and most recently a 1-1 draw at Stuttgart.

    Bayern Munich: W D D

    • 2026-10-21: Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal (D, home)
    • 2026-10-13: Viking 3-3 Bayern Munich (D, away)
    • 2026-09-10: Bayern Munich 5-0 Bodø / Glimt (W, home)

    Bayern Munich’s last 3 matches have gone W D D: a 5-0 win over Bodø/Glimt, a 3-3 draw away at Viking, and most recently a 2-2 draw at home to Arsenal.

    Atletico Madrid vs Bayern Munich Prediction

    Expect Atletico Madrid, sitting on 4 points from 3 games with a +1 goal difference, to find enough control to see off a Bayern Munich side still searching for defensive solidity on the road. Julián Alvarez edges it in behind a double from the home side’s spread of goalscorers, and the Signal model’s call of a 2-0 Atletico Madrid win looks the shape of the night — tight, controlled, and short on chances for the away side.