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New England Revolution vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats

New England Revolution vs NYCFC predicted formations

New England Revolution host NYCFC at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, August 23 (4:30 PM ET / 3:30 PM CT / 1:30 PM PT).

With no fresh absences flagged for either club, the team news here is about personnel rather than what’s missing. New England Revolution’s attack still flows through Carles Gil, who has racked up 7 goals and a team-high 50 chances created this season, with Dor Turgeman (4 goals, 41 shots) and Peyton Miller (4 goals in 1,077 minutes) expected to lead the line alongside him. NYCFC will lean on Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf, level on 5 goals each, while Keaton Parks and Tayvon Gray look to supply the final ball from deeper.

Expect this one to stay tight. Revolution have shown they can score in bunches, hammering Atlanta United 4-1 last time out at Gillette Stadium, but they’ve also gone quiet in defeats to Houston Dynamo and Toronto FC, and NYCFC have matched that inconsistency with wins either side of back-to-back losses. With both defences capable of shutting a game down and neither attack fully firing on the road, the shape of this fixture points to a low-scoring, closely fought contest rather than an end-to-end shootout, with home advantage the difference.

New England Revolution vs NYCFC: Best Bets & Predictions

New England Revolution vs NYCFC prediction: Gillette Stadium set for a tight, low-scoring afternoon.

New England RevolutionTop pickCarles Gil has produced 7 goals and a team-high 50 chances created this season, form that should carry New England Revolution to a home win.
1-0 New England RevolutionA 1-0 scoreline fits a game we expect to stay cagey, with NYCFC's joint-top scorers Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf, level on 5 goals apiece, kept quiet.
NoAxel Ojeda has needed 29 shots to reach 5 goals this season, and that conversion rate makes a blank on the road plausible for NYCFC.
Under 2.5With Signal settling on a 1-0 finish, the total stays comfortably under the 2.5 mark in what should be a tight afternoon at Gillette Stadium.
Carles Gil to score anytimeCarles Gil leads New England Revolution's scoring column with 7 goals from 36 shots this season, making him the obvious source for the game's only goal.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: Signal weighs current form, underlying player output and the shape of recent results to land on one clear call for the result, correct score, both teams to score and total goals — no hedging, just the game state we expect.

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Season Form & Standings

Both sides play their trade in a crowded Eastern Conference, where every fixture from here carries added weight for the playoff picture.

Potential Match-Winners

  • Carles Gil (New England Revolution): 7 goals and a team-high 50 chances created make Gil the creative and clinical focal point for New England Revolution this season.
  • Dor Turgeman (New England Revolution): Turgeman has fired 41 shots for 4 goals, giving Revolution a willing runner to stretch NYCFC’s back line.
  • Axel Ojeda (NYCFC): Ojeda’s 5 goals and 27 chances created make him NYCFC’s most involved attacker, though his side will need him firing to trouble a well-set Revolution defence.

Recent Form

New England Revolution: W D L L W

  • 2026-08-20: DC United 0-3 New England Revolution (W, away)
  • 2026-08-16: Toronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution (L, away)
  • 2026-08-08: New England Revolution 0-2 Houston Dynamo (L, home)
  • 2026-08-02: CF Montreal 2-2 New England Revolution (D, away)
  • 2026-07-26: New England Revolution 4-1 Atlanta United (W, home)

New England Revolution head into this one on the back of a 3-0 win at DC United, though that follows back-to-back defeats to Toronto FC and Houston Dynamo and a draw at CF Montreal — a stop-start month either side of a 4-1 home rout of Atlanta United.

NYCFC: W W D L L

  • 2026-08-20: FC Cincinnati 2-1 NYCFC (L, away)
  • 2026-08-16: NYCFC 2-3 Philadelphia Union (L, home)
  • 2026-08-01: NYCFC 1-1 Toronto FC (D, home)
  • 2026-07-26: NYCFC 3-1 Chicago Fire (W, home)
  • 2026-07-23: Columbus Crew 1-2 NYCFC (W, away)

NYCFC arrive off a 2-1 defeat at FC Cincinnati and a 2-3 home loss to Philadelphia Union, either side of a draw with Toronto FC and wins over Chicago Fire and Columbus Crew that had briefly steadied the ship.

New England Revolution vs NYCFC Prediction

This looks set to be a tight, low-event afternoon at Gillette Stadium, and we’re backing Signal’s call of a 1-0 win for New England Revolution. Carles Gil has created a team-high 50 chances and NYCFC’s Axel Ojeda and Hannes Wolf are level on five goals each, but neither attack looks likely to find much space in a game that could hinge on one moment — and with both clubs jostling for position in a congested Eastern Conference, a cagey, single-goal margin fits the stakes.