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Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain predicted formations

Villarreal host Paris Saint-Germain at Estadio de la Cerámica on Tuesday, November 3 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

Villarreal and Paris Saint-Germain both arrive with clean bills of health, so there are no injury worries shaping the teamsheets here — expect both sides to pick from a full-strength pool. Marcelino can build around Georges Mikautadze through the middle, the striker already up to two goals and three chances created in three matches, with defender Álvaro Mouriño also a threat at set pieces after reaching two goals of his own. PSG’s attack runs through Ousmane Dembélé and Ferran Torres, level on three goals apiece, while midfielder Fabián Ruiz has chipped in with two goals and five chances created of his own.

This has the look of a game that stays tight before breaking open. Villarreal have shown they can trade goals at both ends — just look at the four they shipped, and the three they scored, away at Liverpool — while PSG have carried their attacking numbers into every result so far. Expect chances and goals at both ends, with the home side’s cutting edge enough to get over the line late on.

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain: Best Bets & Predictions

Mikautadze and Villarreal look to disrupt PSG's free-scoring front line at home.

VillarrealTop pickVillarreal have had three different players reach two goals already this season — Mikautadze, Mouriño and Oluwaseyi — giving the hosts enough attacking variety to edge this.
Villarreal 2-1 Paris Saint-GermainA tight contest fits both teams' numbers — Villarreal conceded four goals away at Liverpool last time out, but PSG's Dembélé and Torres carry three goals apiece into this one, pointing to goals at both ends and a one-goal margin for the hosts.
YesVillarreal have conceded four goals in a single match this season, while Dembélé, Torres and Doué have scored eight goals between them for PSG — the firepower needed for goals at both ends.
Over 2.5PSG's main attackers have scored twelve goals between them already this season, and Villarreal have spread seven among four of their own key players — the kind of firepower that tends to produce games with over two.5 goals.
Georges Mikautadze to score anytimeMikautadze already has two goals from five shots in Villarreal colours this season, with three chances created on top — the kind of all-around output that makes him Villarreal's clearest route to a goal.
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Our approach: we build every pick from verified season stats and league data rather than narrative guesswork, letting our model set the headline result, scoreline, BTTS and total-goals calls before we name the player most likely to find the net.

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Season Form & Standings

Villarreal have one win and two losses from three matches, good for three points and a goal difference of zero. Paris Saint-Germain head to Spain off the back of three consecutive wins. That run includes a 4-2 win over Barcelona, a 4-2 victory at Manchester City and a 6-1 win over Slovan Bratislava.

Champions League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Villarreal1931028803
Team News Predicted

Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
P. Gulacsi
Sergi Cardona
Renato Veiga
Pau Navarro
S. Mourino
P. Gueye
Santi Comesana
Alberto Moleiro
N. Saliba
T. Buchanan
G. Mikautadze

Paris Saint-Germain

4-3-3
M. Safonov
L. Hernandez
W. Pacho
Marquinhos
A. Hakimi
Fabian Ruiz
Vitinha
Joao Neves
K. Kvaratskhelia
O. Dembele
D. Doue
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Georges Mikautadze (Villarreal): Two goals from five shots already this season, plus three chances created — Mikautadze is Villarreal’s most direct route to goal.
    • Álvaro Mouriño (Villarreal): The defender has matched that tally with two goals of his own, three shots and three on target, making him a genuine set-piece threat from the back.
    • Ousmane Dembélé (Paris Saint-Germain): Three goals, three assists and nine chances created from just 160 minutes — Dembélé is as involved as anyone on either team sheet.

    Recent Form

    Villarreal: L W L

    • 2026-10-20: Liverpool 4-3 Villarreal (L, away)
    • 2026-10-13: Villarreal 3-1 Napoli (W, home)
    • 2026-09-08: Borussia Dortmund 3-2 Villarreal (L, away)

    Villarreal’s last three in the competition: a 4-3 loss away at Liverpool, a 3-1 home win over Napoli, and a 3-2 loss away at Borussia Dortmund.

    Paris Saint-Germain: W W W

    • 2026-10-20: Paris Saint-Germain 4-2 Barcelona (W, home)
    • 2026-10-14: Manchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain (W, away)
    • 2026-09-09: Paris Saint-Germain 6-1 Slovan Bratislava (W, home)

    Paris Saint-Germain’s last three: a 4-2 home win over Barcelona, a 4-2 away win at Manchester City, and a 6-1 home win over Slovan Bratislava.

    Villarreal vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction

    Signal’s model has this finishing 2-1 to Villarreal, with Mikautadze or Mouriño giving the hosts the edge in front of goal while Dembélé or Torres get PSG back into it before Villarreal’s efficiency sees them home. Expect goals at both ends, but just enough quality from the home side to get over the line.