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Atlanta United vs Toronto FC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC predicted formations

Atlanta United host Toronto FC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sunday, November 1 (4:30 PM ET / 3:30 PM CT / 1:30 PM PT).

Mercedes-Benz Stadium’s lineup conversation centres on the attacking numbers both sides can call upon. Atlanta United lean on Miguel Almirón and Aleksey Miranchuk, who have scored six goals apiece this season, with Tristan Muyumba and Tomás Jacob also chipping in from midfield and defence. Toronto FC counter with Dániel Sallói and Joshua Sargent, who have scored nine and eight goals respectively, while Derrick Etienne Jr and Đorđe Mihailović add craft through the middle of the park.

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC: Best Bets & Predictions

Atlanta look to end a rough home run against a Toronto FC side still chasing a late playoff push.

Atlanta UnitedTop pickAtlanta United's home advantage and attacking depth in Almirón and Miranchuk — six goals apiece — gives them the edge despite sitting below Toronto FC in the standings.
40%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
Atlanta United 2-1 Toronto FCSignal's model lands on a 2-1 scoreline, reflecting Atlanta's attacking threat against a Toronto FC defence with a -11 goal difference.
9%chanceopening soon @ bet365
YesAtlanta United have scored and conceded regularly this season, and with Toronto FC carrying a -11 goal difference of their own, both teams finding the net is the likely outcome.
59%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Over 2.5Atlanta's -15 goal difference and Toronto's -11 both point to leaky defences, supporting a high-scoring outcome over 2.5 goals.
56%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Miguel Almirón to score anytimeMiguel Almirón leads Atlanta's forward line with six goals from sixty-three shots and twenty-four on target, making him the obvious shout to score against Toronto FC.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh underlying standings, goal difference and recent results over reputation, then let the data point us to a result, a scoreline, a both-teams-to-score call, a total-goals call and the player most likely to find the net.

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Season Form & Standings

Atlanta United sit fourteenth in the Eastern Conference with thirty points from thirty-one games (eight wins, six draws, seventeen losses) and a goal difference of minus fifteen, firmly outside this year’s playoff picture. Toronto FC are eleventh in the East on thirty-six points (eight wins, twelve draws, eleven losses, minus eleven goal difference), still within sight of a playoff spot.

Eastern Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Toronto FC1131812114859-1136
Atlanta United143186173954-1530
Team News Predicted

Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Atlanta United

4-3-3
L. Hoyos
E. Baez
J. Alonso
P. Diaz
T. Jacob
G. Galoppo
M. Amaro
J. Fortune
M. Almiron
B. Embolo
A. Miranchuk

Toronto FC

4-3-3
L. Gavran
Matheus Pereira
Z. Monlouis
B. Kuscevic
R. Laryea
J. Osorio
D. Mihailovic
N. Dorsch
L. Morgan
J. Sargent
T. Corbeanu
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Miguel Almirón (Atlanta United): Six goals, sixty-three shots and fifty-five chances created make Miguel Almirón Atlanta’s most involved attacker, and he is the pick as anytime scorer in this one.
    • Dániel Sallói (Toronto FC): Dániel Sallói leads Toronto FC with nine goals from fifty-six shots, twenty-five of them on target, the kind of volume that makes him the away side’s clearest threat.
    • Joshua Sargent (Toronto FC): Joshua Sargent sits just behind with eight goals and fifty-seven shots of his own, giving Toronto two genuine frontline outlets to call on.

    Recent Form

    Atlanta United: D L W L L

    • 2026-10-25: Atlanta United 2-3 Chicago Fire (L, home)
    • 2026-10-18: Atlanta United 1-3 Inter Miami (L, home)
    • 2026-10-15: CF Montreal 0-3 Atlanta United (W, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Atlanta United 1-3 FC Cincinnati (L, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Atlanta United 2-2 NYCFC (D, home)

    Atlanta United have won one of their last five matches, with a win on the road at CF Montreal the highlight of that stretch. They were beaten 2-3 at home by Chicago Fire in their most recent outing, with a 1-3 home loss to Inter Miami the game before that.

    Toronto FC: L W D W L

    • 2026-10-24: Columbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FC (L, away)
    • 2026-10-18: New York Red Bulls 0-2 Toronto FC (W, away)
    • 2026-10-15: Toronto FC 3-3 Orlando City (D, home)
    • 2026-10-10: Toronto FC 2-1 CF Montreal (W, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Nashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC (L, away)

    Toronto FC have won two of their last five matches. They beat CF Montreal 2-1 at home and New York Red Bulls 2-0 away either side of a 3-3 draw with Orlando City, before being beaten 4-2 at Columbus Crew in their most recent outing.

    Atlanta United vs Toronto FC Prediction

    Atlanta United occupy fourteenth in the Eastern Conference and have little left to play for in the playoff race, while Toronto FC sit eleventh and still carry an outside interest in a late push, but home advantage and the attacking output of Almirón and Miranchuk should be enough to get Atlanta over the line. Expect goals at both ends given how porous both defences have been, with Atlanta United winning two-one.