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Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United predicted formations

Houston Dynamo host Minnesota United at Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday, October 24 (8:30 PM ET / 7:30 PM CT / 5:30 PM PT).

No fresh absences are flagged for either side heading into this one, so both managers should have close to full books to choose from. Houston Dynamo will lean on attacking midfielder Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos, who leads the team with 16 goals and 65 chances created, alongside fellow attacking midfielder Mateusz Bogusz, who has fired 91 shots and landed 34 on target this season. Minnesota United’s threat starts with striker Kelvin Yeboah, who has scored 17 goals from 75 shots, supported by midfielder Anthony Markanich, who has added 8 goals and a team-high 36 chances created.

Houston sit fifth in the Western Conference with 47 points from 30 games and a plus-2 goal difference, a position that keeps them inside the playoff picture as the regular season winds down. Minnesota United are 13th in the same conference on 34 points and a minus-8 goal difference, well off the pace but capable of frustrating a better side, as shown by their 2-2 draw at Houston on October 11 and their 3-2 win over St. Louis City SC last time out. Shell Energy Stadium has rarely produced a clean sheet for either side this season, and with Yeboah and Guilherme both finding the net regularly, that pattern of shared goals should hold up.

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United: Best Bets & Predictions

Houston's playoff push continues at home, but Minnesota have found some goals of their own lately.

Houston DynamoTop pickHouston's plus-2 goal difference and 47 points from 30 games have them fifth in the Western Conference playoff picture, comfortably clear of a Minnesota side 13th on 34 points with a minus-8 goal difference.
47%win prob.opening soon @ bet365
Houston Dynamo 2-1 Minnesota UnitedGuilherme's 16 goals and 65 chances created give Houston's attack the edge, while Minnesota's minus-8 goal difference points to them conceding at least once on the road.
9%chanceopening soon @ bet365
YesHouston have conceded in every one of their last five matches, while Minnesota have scored 2 or more goals in four of their last five, including a 3-2 win over St. Louis City SC.
60%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Over 2.54 of Houston's last 5 matches have produced at least 4 goals, and Minnesota have reached 4 or more goals in each of their last 5 outings too, with Yeboah (17 goals) and Guilherme (16 goals) both among the scorers this season.
57%chanceopening soon @ bet365
Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos to Score AnytimeGuilherme leads Houston with 16 goals from 85 shots, 35 of them on target, in 2469 minutes this season.
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐chanceopening soon @ bet365

Our approach: we weigh underlying shot and chance-creation numbers alongside conference standings to separate the sides, then build our picks around the goalscorers and chances most likely to decide it.

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Season Form & Standings

Houston Dynamo sit fifth in the Western Conference with 47 points from 13 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses, a plus-2 goal difference keeping them in the playoff picture. Minnesota United are 13th in the West on 34 points from 8 wins, 10 draws and 12 losses, with a minus-8 goal difference leaving them on the outside looking in.

Western Conference

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Houston Dynamo53013894139+247
Minnesota United1330810124755-834
Team News Predicted

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Houston Dynamo

4-2-3-1
J. Bond
F. Negri
A. Resch
Lucas Halter
L. Ennali
Artur
H. Herrera
Guilherme
D. Samassekou
M. Bogusz
L. Foster

Minnesota United

3-4-3
D. Callender
M. Duggan
J. Diaz
C. Valerius
A. Markanich
W. Trapp
N. Triantis
B. Hlongwane
M. Gonzalez
K. Yeboah
A. Jackson
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Guilherme Augusto Vieira dos Santos (Houston Dynamo): The attacking midfielder leads Houston with 16 goals from 85 shots (35 on target) and has created 65 chances in 2469 minutes, making him the most complete threat on the pitch.
    • Mateusz Bogusz (Houston Dynamo): Bogusz has fired 91 shots this season, the most of anyone involved here, converting 8 of them while adding 29 chances created.
    • Kelvin Yeboah (Minnesota United): Yeboah is the leading scorer in this fixture with 17 goals from 75 shots (33 on target) in 2197 minutes, and he’s the obvious outlet for Minnesota to find a way back into games.

    Recent Form

    Houston Dynamo: D L D D D

    • 2026-10-18: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Dallas (D, home)
    • 2026-10-15: San Diego FC 3-3 Houston Dynamo (D, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Minnesota United 2-2 Houston Dynamo (D, away)
    • 2026-09-27: Houston Dynamo 0-2 Sporting KC (L, home)
    • 2026-09-20: Houston Dynamo 2-2 FC Cincinnati (D, home)

    Houston have drawn 4 of their last 5 league matches, most recently a 2-2 result against FC Dallas, with a 3-3 road draw at San Diego FC and a 2-2 draw at Minnesota sandwiched around a 0-2 home loss to Sporting KC.

    Minnesota United: L L D D W

    • 2026-10-17: Minnesota United 3-2 St. Louis City SC (W, home)
    • 2026-10-15: Colorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United (D, away)
    • 2026-10-11: Minnesota United 2-2 Houston Dynamo (D, home)
    • 2026-09-27: Seattle Sounders 3-1 Minnesota United (L, away)
    • 2026-09-20: Minnesota United 2-3 LA Galaxy (L, home)

    Minnesota have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 5 matches, closing with a 3-2 win over St. Louis City SC and back-to-back 2-2 draws against Houston and Colorado Rapids, either side of a 2-3 home loss to LA Galaxy and a 3-1 road loss at Seattle Sounders.

    Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United Prediction

    Houston arrive fifth in the Western Conference and still in the thick of the playoff picture, while Minnesota sit 13th on 34 points with work to do just to stay in touch. Houston have shipped goals in every one of their last five matches, but Guilherme’s 16 goals and 65 chances created, plus Bogusz’s 91 shots, should be enough to see off a Minnesota side who will get their own look through Yeboah’s 17 goals. We’re backing Houston Dynamo to edge it 2-1.