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Leeds vs Newcastle: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Lineups

Leeds vs Newcastle predicted formations

Leeds host Newcastle at Elland Road on Monday, September 14 (3:00 PM ET / 2:00 PM CT / 12:00 PM PT).

Leeds will be missing forward Mateo Joseph (knee) and defender Joe Rodon (thigh), with midfielder Ilia Gruev a doubt through a knee issue, leaving Anton Levi Stach, Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Jayden Bogle as the men expected to carry the attacking load. Newcastle arrive without defender Dan Burn, forward William Osula and Joelinton, all sidelined through ankle/foot and thigh problems, with doubtful Ewen Jaouen also managing an ankle injury, so the visitors will lean on Anthony Elanga, Yoane Wissa and Harvey Barnes to create chances at Elland Road.

Both sides sit level on 5 points from 3 games, with Newcastle’s +2 goal difference just shading Leeds’ +1, and neither has lost yet this season. That balance favours a cagey afternoon rather than an end-to-end shootout — Leeds have found their goals in tight, low-scoring matches so far, and a similar pattern at Elland Road would suit the hosts more than a helter-skelter chase for goals.

Leeds vs Newcastle: Best Bets & Predictions

Tight margins expected as Leeds and Newcastle meet level on points at Elland Road.

Leeds to winTop pickLeeds have already scored through 3 different players this season (Stach, Calvert-Lewin and Bogle) and get the extra shove of home advantage against a Newcastle side missing Burn, Osula and Joelinton.
1-0 LeedsA 1-0 scoreline fits two sides who have each drawn two of their three league games so far, with Calvert-Lewin's three shots on target in 253 minutes marking him as the game's most likely difference-maker.
Both Teams to Score – NoNewcastle travel without forward William Osula alongside Burn and Joelinton, thinning their attacking options, while Leeds have not lost this season — the ingredients for a game where only one side finds the net.
Under 2.5 GoalsWith both teams drawing 2 of their opening 3 league games, goals have come at a premium, and this fixture profiles as another tight, low-scoring afternoon in front of goal.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin to score anytimeCalvert-Lewin already has 1 goal from 6 shots, 3 of them on target, across 253 minutes this season, the clearest home route to goal in this pick.
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Our approach: we weigh this season's form, underlying shot and chance-creation numbers, and confirmed team news to land on the result, scoreline and prop picks below.

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Season Form & Standings

Leeds and Newcastle go into this one level on five points from 3 games apiece, Newcastle’s +2 goal difference just nosing ahead of Leeds’ +1 — both unbeaten in the league so far this season.

Premier League

TeamPosGPWDLGFGAGDPts
Newcastle7312064+25
Leeds9312032+15
Team News Predicted

Leeds vs Newcastle Predicted Lineups

Predicted XI — updated for the latest team news.

Leeds

3-5-2
J. Trafford
T. Muharemovic
N. Elvedi
J. Justin
G. Gudmundsson
A. Tanaka
E. Ampadu
A. Stach
J. Bogle
N. Okafor
D. Calvert-Lewin

Newcastle

4-2-3-1
L. Hornicek
L. Hall
S. Botman
M. Thiaw
A. Dedic
L. Miley
Nico Gonzalez
H. Barnes
J. Willock
A. Elanga
Y. Wissa
    Squawka · Team News

    Potential Match-Winners

    • Anton Levi Stach (Leeds): Stach already has 1 goal and 2 chances created from his 270 minutes this season, offering a threat from midfield.
    • Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds): Calvert-Lewin leads Leeds’ shot count with 6 attempts and 3 on target, converting 1 of them already this season.
    • Anthony Elanga (Newcastle): Elanga is Newcastle’s most direct outlet with 2 goals from 4 shots, 3 on target, and 4 chances created in 235 minutes.

    Recent Form

    Leeds: D W W D D

    • 2026-09-05: Brighton 1-1 Leeds (D, away)
    • 2026-08-30: Leeds 1-1 Brentford (D, home)
    • 2026-08-22: Nottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds (W, away)
    • 2026-05-17: Leeds 1-0 Brighton (W, home)
    • 2026-05-11: Tottenham 1-1 Leeds (D, away)

    Leeds have taken 5 points from 3 league games, winning 1-0 away at Nottingham Forest before drawing 1-1 at home to Brentford and 1-1 away at Brighton.

    Newcastle: D W D W D

    • 2026-09-05: Newcastle 2-2 Bournemouth (D, home)
    • 2026-08-29: Tottenham 0-2 Newcastle (W, away)
    • 2026-08-23: Newcastle 2-2 Liverpool (D, home)
    • 2026-05-17: Newcastle 3-1 West Ham (W, home)
    • 2026-05-10: Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle (D, away)

    Newcastle have also collected 5 points from 3 games, winning 2-0 at Tottenham either side of home draws against Liverpool (2-2) and Bournemouth (2-2).

    Leeds vs Newcastle Prediction

    Expect goals to be scarce. Leeds should have enough in front of their own supporters to edge a 1-0 win, with Calvert-Lewin or Bogle the likeliest source of the only goal, while Newcastle’s threat through Elanga and Wissa is kept at arm’s length by a well-organized Leeds defence protecting a slim lead. Final score: 1-0 Leeds.