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Senators vs Flyers: Prediction, Team News and a Series of One-Goal Games

Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators prediction and picks

Philadelphia was beaten 7-0 on opening night, then lost twice in overtime, 3-2 in New Jersey and 3-2 at home to the Stanley Cup champions, before losing in Tampa Bay on Monday. Four defeats, two points.

Senators vs Flyers has a habit of finishing inside a goal. All three meetings last season ended with one between them, Ottawa taking every one, and two went to extra time.

DetailValue
GamePhiladelphia Flyers at Ottawa Senators
DateThursday 8 October 2026
Puck drop7:00pm ET · 6:00pm CT · 5:00pm MT · 4:00pm PT
VenueCanadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
2025-26 head to headOttawa won all three, 7-4
2025-26 finishOttawa 9th (99 pts), Philadelphia 11th (98 pts)
RestPhiladelphia with 2 days off, Ottawa with 1 day off

How to watch

RegionBroadcast
CanadaTSN5, RDSI
United StatesNBCSP

TSN5 and RDSI have it in Canada. Regional coverage can differ from the national listing, and our how to watch the NHL in Canada page has the full picture.

Senators vs Flyers odds

No Canadian price was up on 5 October. Boards land on our NHL odds page as they post.

Philadelphia is still looking for its first win

That 7-0 defeat to Pittsburgh was as bad as a score gets, and nothing since has matched it. The Flyers took the champions to overtime and lost a one-goal game in New Jersey, then went down 4-1 in Tampa Bay on Monday.

Joseph Woll made 37 saves against Carolina. Toronto traded him to Philadelphia in June and he has already given the Flyers two of the better goaltending performances of their week. Dan Vladar, who went 29-14-7 at 2.42 and .906 last season, is the other option.

Travis Konecny led the scoring last season on 68 points at plus 14. Trevor Zegras added 67, Owen Tippett scored 28 goals and Matvei Michkov reached 51 points in his second season. Noah Cates finished at plus 26, the best figure on the roster.

Philadelphia finished 11th on 98 points, one behind Ottawa. The table said these were the same team.

How they compare

2025-26Philadelphia FlyersOttawa Senators
Record43-27-1244-27-11
Points9899
Goals for per game2.933.35
Goals against per game2.912.99
Power play15.7%24.0%
Penalty kill77.6%75.7%

One point apart last season. Ottawa scored 35 more goals; Philadelphia conceded six fewer.

Ottawa has a new captain and the same problem

Brady Tkachuk went to Florida in June for two first-round picks, a conditional first and a second. Thomas Chabot wears the C now, and he scored in the 3-2 win in Toronto on Saturday.

Tim Stützle carries the scoring. Eighty-three points last season on 34 goals, with Drake Batherson on 71 and Dylan Cozens on 59. Claude Giroux, who spent nine seasons in Philadelphia, added 49 points at plus 20 at the age of 38.

Linus Ullmark went 28-12-8 at 2.73 with three shutouts last season and made 27 saves in Toronto, but he left Monday’s win in Boston after two periods following a collision in the crease and is listed day to day.

Jake Sanderson is the concern. Fifty-four points from defence at plus 16 last season, and he was ruled out of the back-to-back in Boston and Detroit with a lower-body injury after going home for tests. The Senators also played in Boston on Monday and play in Detroit on Tuesday before this, so the schedule is unkind.

Three meetings, three one-goal games

DateResultVenueDecided in
2025-10-23Ottawa 2-1 PhiladelphiaOttawa–
2025-11-08Ottawa 3-2 PhiladelphiaPhiladelphiaOT
2026-02-05Ottawa 2-1 PhiladelphiaPhiladelphiaOT

Seven goals to four across the three, two of them settled in overtime, and none of the three reaching six goals in total. This is about as tight as a season series gets.

Team news

PlayerClubStatusLatest
Denver BarkeyPhiladelphiaInjured Reserve, Lower BodyNo timetable
Helge GransPhiladelphiaInjured Reserve, Lower BodyNo timetable
Rasmus RistolainenPhiladelphiaOut, undisclosedNo timetable
Nikita GrebenkinPhiladelphiaInjured Reserve, Upper BodyNo timetable
Jake SandersonOttawaOut, lower bodyRuled out in Boston and Detroit
Linus UllmarkOttawaDay to day, undisclosedLeft Monday’s game after two periods
Artem ZubOttawaInjured Reserve, KneeNo timetable
Kurtis MacDermidOttawaInjured Reserve, Upper BodyNo timetable

Four Philadelphia names and four Ottawa ones, with Sanderson and Ullmark the heaviest of them. League-wide availability is on our NHL injury report.

Players to watch

Claude Giroux. Nine seasons and a captaincy in Philadelphia, and he is still producing at 38.

Joseph Woll. Thirty-seven saves against the champions, having been traded out of Toronto in the summer.

Tim Stützle. Eighty-three points and the first name on Ottawa’s sheet now Tkachuk has gone.

Matvei Michkov. Fifty-one points in his second season, and the reason Philadelphia thinks the window is opening.

Score prediction

Philadelphia Flyers 2-3 Ottawa Senators. The Senators took all three of these last season without ever winning by more than one. Philadelphia keeps coming close.

Senators vs Flyers prediction

One point separated these clubs last season and three one-goal games followed. There is no reason to expect anything different.

Ottawa holds the edge at the top of the lineup, where Stützle sits. In goal it is closer than the names suggest: Vladar’s .906 last season beat Ullmark’s .891, and Ullmark is day to day. Philadelphia’s case is that two of its four games went to overtime and it is overdue.

The schedule favours the visitors. Ottawa plays Monday and Tuesday before this; Philadelphia has longer to prepare.

Our lean: Ottawa, and the under if the total sits at 6 or higher. None of the three meetings last season reached six goals, and Philadelphia has scored two or fewer in all four of its games. Where both sit against the other 30 is on our NHL power rankings.

What time is Senators vs Flyers?

Puck drop is 7:00pm ET on Thursday 8 October 2026 at the Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa. That is 6:00pm CT, 5:00pm MT and 4:00pm PT.

Who won between Ottawa and Philadelphia last season?

The Senators took all three, never by more than one goal, and two went to overtime. Seven goals to four across the series.

Does Joseph Woll play for Philadelphia?

Yes. Toronto traded him to the Flyers in June. He made 37 saves in the overtime loss to Carolina on Saturday.

Is Jake Sanderson playing?

He was ruled out of Ottawa’s games in Boston on Monday and Detroit on Tuesday with a lower-body injury and went home for tests. Check his status closer to Thursday.

How have both teams started?

Philadelphia is 0-2-2, with two of its four defeats coming in overtime. Ottawa won 3-2 in Toronto and 4-1 in Boston, and plays in Detroit on Tuesday.

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