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USA vs Mexico: Prediction, Best Bets & How to Watch

Our USA vs Mexico prediction, best bets and odds for Saturday’s friendly in Glendale — the last look at the United States before they host Canada three days later.

Kick-off in Glendale, Arizona is 10:00 PM ET on Saturday, October 3. Canada visit the same opponent at Allianz Field on Tuesday.

USA vs Mexico: Best Bets & Predictions

Form says the United States comfortably. The price says a coin flip. We will take the side of that disagreement.

USA to winTop pickThe United States have won both games of this window 4-1 and 4-2. Mexico have drawn both of theirs 1-1. The market has them close to level, which is pricing the rivalry rather than the form.
+148best price
Both teams to score: YesPochettino has conceded in both games even while scoring eight, and Mexico have found the net in each of their two under Rafael Márquez. Neither back line has looked settled.
-149best price
USA & both teams to scoreThe value expression of the first two picks. A home win that is not a clean sheet is the single most likely shape of this game and it pays close to four to one.
+375best price

Our approach: back the United States, but take the version of it that expects Mexico to score.

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Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds may vary. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON).

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Where to watch USA vs Mexico

USA vs Mexico kicks off at 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT on Saturday, October 3, at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

No Canadian broadcaster had been confirmed for this friendly at the time of writing — the announced coverage is US-only, on TNT and HBO Max in English and Telemundo, Universo and Peacock in Spanish. Canadian viewers should check local listings closer to kick-off.

USA vs Mexico: what’s at stake?

For a Canadian audience this is a scouting assignment more than a rivalry. Canada visit the United States at Allianz Field on Tuesday, and this is the last chance to see what Mauricio Pochettino’s side look like before they do.

What they look like, so far, is dangerous. The United States have won both games of this window, beating Peru 4-1 and Chile 4-2, eight goals in six days from a heavily rotated squad. They have also conceded in both, which is the part Canada will have noted.

Mexico arrive in a different state entirely. Rafael Márquez has drawn both of his first two games in charge 1-1, against Colombia and Peru, and his side have scored twice in two outings.

Team news and talking points

Both coaches have said this window is about looking at players, and both have rotated heavily. For Canada the useful detail is not the result but the shape: the United States have scored eight in two games and conceded three, which is a side playing with freedom and leaving room behind. Jesse Marsch’s squad get their look at it on Tuesday at Allianz Field. The rest of the window is in our international coverage.

USA vs Mexico prediction

Mexico are the better name and, right now, the lesser team. Márquez has not had long enough to impose much and his forwards have two goals in two games against opposition the United States put eight past. Both should score, because neither defence has convinced — and that is the detail Canada will take into Tuesday. Prediction: USA 2-1.

USA vs Mexico FAQ

What time is USA vs Mexico?

USA vs Mexico kicks off at 10:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM PT on Saturday, October 3.

What channel is USA vs Mexico on in Canada?

No Canadian broadcaster had been confirmed at the time of writing. The announced coverage is US-only: TNT and HBO Max in English, Telemundo, Universo and Peacock in Spanish.

Where is USA vs Mexico being played?

USA vs Mexico is being played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.

Who will win USA vs Mexico?

Our prediction is USA 2-1. Our top pick is USA to win at +148.

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