The mid-table calm settles over Selhurst Park on Sunday, with two clubs who have stabilised their seasons preparing to play out a match in which the points cost neither of them very much.
Crystal Palace host Everton on Sunday, May 10 at 9:00 AM ET / 8:00 AM CT / 6:00 AM PT in a Premier League fixture where the wider table has already done most of its work.
The Eagles sit 15th on 43 points with a game in hand on most of the division. The maths still requires a sentence or two of caution — Palace are not yet mathematically clear of every drop scenario — but with Burnley and Wolves already relegated and a healthy cushion to West Ham and Tottenham, this is a settled, comfortable mid-table side rather than a stressed one. Their nearest neighbours below are not pushing them.
Everton, 10th on 48 points, are mathematically safe. James Tarkowski and Jordan Pickford have anchored a defense that has conceded 44 goals across 35 matches, and the Toffees have stitched together enough late-season points to remove any concern about the bottom three. With three games left, this is essentially pride football for both sides — and the market reads it that way too.
Best Bets & Predictions
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Goals | +100 @ bet365 (50%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | A 1-2 away win lands here at three goals, and Everton have hit over 2.5 in eight of their last 10 league outings — Palace’s defensive home record is the only counter. |
| Both Teams to Score: Yes | -134 @ bet365 (57%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Everton have scored in eight of their last 10 league matches; Palace have scored in their last two at home. |
| Match Result: Everton | +162 @ bet365 (38%) | ⭐⭐ | The Toffees have won the last three league meetings between these clubs, including 2-1 at Goodison earlier this season. |
| Anytime Goalscorer: Jean-Philippe Mateta | +140 @ bet365 (42%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Palace’s lead striker has 10 league goals from 7.87 xG and a shot-on-target every 70 minutes — comfortably the favorite from the home squad. |
| Correct Score: 1-2 Everton | +1000 @ bet365 (9%) | ⭐⭐ | Mirrors the visiting form line — Everton edging it by one with both sides on the scoresheet, and Mateta the obvious Palace marker. |
Our preferred approach is Everton on the Match Result with a small saver on Mateta to score anytime — Everton’s recent edge in this fixture is doing the directional work, but Palace’s lead striker has been the most reliable shot source on either roster.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Kalshi and Polymarket both have this priced tight, with a marginal home lean. Both clubs sit comfortably mid-table with similar absence lists, and the prediction markets are reflecting that. Goals markets lean modestly under, matching the sportsbook book. The widget below combines both venues’ Match Result reads; provider toggle is useful when one venue prices a piece of team news before the other.
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Season Form & Standings
Five points separate the two clubs heading into the weekend, with Everton’s higher position reflecting a slightly more even season at both ends of the pitch.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 10 | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 44 | 0 | 48 |
| Crystal Palace | 15 | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): 10 league goals from 7.87 xG, with 30 shots on target across 2,095 minutes — Palace’s most consistent goal source and the bookmaker’s favorite to score anytime.
- Ismaïla Sarr (Crystal Palace): 7 goals and 5.92 xG from 1,922 minutes — adds direct running into the channels and is the most likely Palace player to break out of a low-event game.
- Iliman Ndiaye (Everton): 6 goals and 3 assists from 2,516 minutes; 62 successful dribbles is the highest count in either squad and gives Everton a creator on the road.
- Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (Everton): 8 goals and 4 assists from 2,372 minutes — the season’s most productive Everton player on a per-90 basis and the away side’s likeliest source of a set-piece-or-second-phase goal.
Head-to-Head
Everton hold a clear edge in this fixture, with six wins from the last 10 league meetings and three of the last four, including a 2-1 victory at Goodison earlier this season.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| October 5, 2025 | Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| February 15, 2025 | Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton | Premier League |
| September 28, 2024 | Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| February 19, 2024 | Everton 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| November 11, 2023 | Crystal Palace 2-3 Everton | Premier League |
Recent Form
Crystal Palace — D W D L L
- March 15, 2026: Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United (Draw, home)
- April 12, 2026: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United (Win, home)
- April 20, 2026: Crystal Palace 0-0 West Ham United (Draw, home)
- April 25, 2026: Liverpool 3-1 Crystal Palace (Loss, away)
- May 3, 2026: AFC Bournemouth 3-0 Crystal Palace (Loss, away)
The Eagles look very different at home than on the road — three of their last five at Selhurst have ended scoreless or 1-0 results, while their last two away days have been three-goal defeats. Cheick Doucouré (knee) is out and Eddie Nketiah is missing for the season, which thins the bench but leaves Oliver Glasner’s preferred attacking quartet of Mateta, Sarr, Daichi Kamada and Yeremy Pino intact.
Everton — W D L L D
- March 21, 2026: Everton 3-0 Chelsea (Win, home)
- April 11, 2026: Brentford 2-2 Everton (Draw, away)
- April 19, 2026: Everton 1-2 Liverpool (Loss, home)
- April 25, 2026: West Ham United 2-1 Everton (Loss, away)
- May 4, 2026: Everton 3-3 Manchester City (Draw, home)
The Toffees have only one league win in their last five, but the 3-3 draw with Manchester City showed there is still plenty of attacking life in the side. Jarrad Branthwaite and Jack Grealish are out for the season, with Idrissa Gueye a 75% doubt — meaning more reliance on the Iliman Ndiaye, Beto and Dwight McNeil trio that has carried Everton’s road performances.
Crystal Palace vs Everton Prediction
Two settled mid-table sides with nothing material on the line tend to produce cagey, low-tempo afternoons, and Selhurst has trended firmly under 2.5 in 2026. Everton’s H2H record argues for the away side, but Palace’s home tightness and Mateta’s goal threat make this look more like a game decided by one or two moments than a free-flowing affair. The Under 2.5 at -125 with bet365 is the cleanest read, with Mateta to score anytime as the secondary play. Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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