Haiti opened the 2026 World Cup with a 1-0 defeat to Scotland at the Gillette Stadium. With two group matches still to play, Haiti will need a result in their next fixture to keep their tournament path open.
Haiti to win World Cup 2026 odds centre on whether Haiti can turn a favourable tournament path into a genuine run at the trophy. The Haiti profile below tracks the group-stage picture, futures market context and the squad factors that matter most before the knockout rounds, with broader tournament details available via the official FIFA World Cup hub.
Haiti have a deep World Cup history relative to the contender band, but recent cycles have not produced the breakthroughs the market would price them above their current odds for.
Group C and the route through the knockouts are mapped on the 2026 World Cup schedule page, with full bracket detail at FIFA’s official 2026 World Cup site.
Haiti’s World Cup 2026 path
| Round | Date | Opponent | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| MD1 | 2026-06-14 | Scotland | L 1-0 |
Win Probability & Tournament Outlook
Traders price them at 15% to qualify from Group C.
Kalshi’s stage-of-elimination market prices Haiti’s tournament arc as:
| Country | Group Exit | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Runner-up | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti | 86% | 11% | 2% | 55% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid/last). Markets move — not financial advice. 21+. T&Cs apply.
Haiti to win World Cup 2026 odds
Okay – well in terms of winning the trophy itself we can perhaps write the Haitians off. Indeed, they are the longest price of any team that has confirmed qualification at the time of writing, with several teams who still have to go through a qualifying play-off process considered more likely to lift the trophy.
If the Red and Blues were to achieve the unthinkable this summer, it would be one of the biggest shocks not only in World Cup history, but in the history of sport. As a result, it’s perhaps no surprise that they’re priced at a huge 3000/1 with some outlets to win the trophy.
Their record in qualifying was strong in the final stage but Sebastien Migne’s men still suffered some bad results over the course of qualifying, including a 5-1 defeat to Curacao and a 3-0 loss away to Honduras, showing this is a side that still has work to do to be able to compete against the better sides at this tournament.
Reality is that a goal would be enough to send the Haiti wild – never mind a point or even a victory in what is likely to be a very tough group for this team.
Haiti odds to win Group C
Haiti arrive as the long-odds outsiders of Group C, drawn against Brazil, Morocco, and Scotland. The market does not price them topping the group, but the expanded knockout format keeps qualification in play.
The Polymarket market in the widget below has Haiti priced as clear underdogs. The realistic ceiling is a third-place finish and a path through to the Round of 32 via one of the third-place qualification spots.
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Haiti group stage qualification odds
Hugely popular bookmaker bet365 are offering odds on each team’s stage of elimination, but given the huge odds against Haiti even qualifying from the group, the market is slightly different here and they are simply offering odds for them qualifying from the group as if they do manage to get through, they will be huge underdogs against whichever team they go up against in the Round of 32. The price of 1/16 on a group stage exit tell the story of a side with all the odds stacked against them this summer.
| Market | Latest odds |
|---|---|
| To be knocked out in the group stage | -1600 |
| To qualify from the group | +900 |
Haiti World Cup top goalscorer odds
No Haiti players are considered to be in the running for the top goalscorer award at this summer’s tournament. Although they have some players with excellent goalscoring records at international level, the majority of those players’ caps have come against much weaker fellow Concacaf nations. What’s more, with the team only expected to play three games, it’s highly unlikely that any one player will score enough goals for the Red & Blues to really trouble the Golden Boot rankings this summer.
You can find full World Cup Top Goalscorer odds here
Haiti at the 2026 World Cup: FAQs
Haiti are in Group C alongside Argentina, Algeria and Austria. The draw was made in Las Vegas on 5 December 2025.
Haiti play three group-stage matches between 11 June and 27 June 2026, with venues confirmed by FIFA across the United States, Mexico and Canada. The round of 32 follows from 28 June to 3 July, the round of 16 from 4 to 7 July, and the quarterfinals from 9 to 11 July.
Sébastien Migné is French and took charge in 2024 after spells leading Kenya and Equatorial Guinea.
Haiti’s odds to win the 2026 World Cup are around +200000 at leading US sportsbooks, an implied probability of about 0.05%. Haiti sit at the bottom of the outright market, aligned with Concacaf sides without deep modern qualifying pedigree. For full market context see our World Cup 2026 winner odds page.
Haiti lost all three group games at West Germany 1974, their only previous World Cup, though Manno Sanon’s goal against Dino Zoff remains a famous moment. Winning their first World Cup match would be a historic milestone after a 52-year wait.