Monday night football returns to Selhurst Park on April 20, with Crystal Palace hosting West Ham at 3:00 PM ET in a London derby that looks tighter on the market than the table suggests.
Our Crystal Palace vs West Ham prediction starts with the recent pattern between these two. Palace sit 13th on 42 points from 31 matches; West Ham are 17th on 32 from 32. Ten points of table separation, but Palace have won four of the last five league meetings, and the reverse fixture in September ended 2-1 to the Eagles at the London Stadium.
bet365 makes the Eagles narrow home favourites at +137, with West Ham priced at +210 and the draw at +220. A competitive line, and fairly so. Both sides arrive off wins in their last outings.
Crystal Palace vs West Ham: Best Bets & Predictions
Our preferred approach leans into Palace’s home record and the goals that have come with recent meetings between these two. The player props on both sides’ top scorers offer the cleaner numbers.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Both Teams To Score: Yes | -150 @ bet365 (60.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐⭐ | West Ham have shipped 57 league goals, the third worst in the division; Palace’s front line has a 10-goal striker and a seven-goal winger in form. |
| Crystal Palace to win | +137 @ bet365 (42.2%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Palace have won four of the last five Premier League meetings, including the reverse fixture at the London Stadium in September. |
| Jean-Philippe Mateta anytime scorer | +120 @ bet365 (45.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Palace’s leading scorer on 10 league goals, with 28 shots on target and an xG of 7.28 across 25 matches. |
| Jarrod Bowen anytime scorer | +225 @ bet365 (30.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Eight goals and eight assists from 32 starts, with 11 big chances created; the Hammers run through him and will again. |
| Over 2.5 goals | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐ | Three of the last five meetings between these sides have hit four goals or more; West Ham concede 1.8 per game. |
Our approach: Build the core around BTTS Yes and Mateta anytime, with Palace on the moneyline as the value lean. Bowen anytime is the natural West Ham leg if you want balance.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability
Note for US readers: Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. Kalshi, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.
Match-specific prediction market pricing for the Monday night London derby has not yet surfaced at time of writing, with traders on both Kalshi and Polymarket routing most of their Premier League attention to the earlier weekend card. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match.
Season Form & Standings
Ten points separate the two sides on the Premier League standings table, but both arrive at Selhurst Park off wins. Palace sit one game behind West Ham on matches played, with their minus-one goal difference flattering a side that has won or drawn 20 of 31 fixtures. West Ham’s minus-17 tells the truer story: too many goals conceded and too many defeats away from home.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Palace | 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 42 |
| West Ham United | 17 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 |
Potential Match-Winners
- Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace): Palace’s leading scorer on 10 league goals from 25 matches, with 28 shots on target and an xG of 7.28; the most reliable finisher in south London.
- Ismaila Sarr (Crystal Palace): Seven goals and 14 shots on target across 21 matches, with an xG of 5.15; pace and directness that has caused West Ham’s defence trouble before.
- Jarrod Bowen (West Ham United): Eight goals, eight assists and 11 big chances created in 32 starts; an xG of 6.06 and xA of 3.59 mark him out as the Hammers’ most complete attacker.
- Crysencio Summerville (West Ham United): Five league goals, 15 shots on target and an xG of 5.12 from 23 starts; the pace and shot volume to hurt Palace on the counter.
Head-to-Head
Palace have the recent edge in this fixture, with four wins from the last five Premier League meetings and the reverse fixture in September finishing 2-1 to the Eagles at the London Stadium.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | West Ham 1-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | West Ham 0-2 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Crystal Palace 0-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Crystal Palace 5-2 West Ham | Premier League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | West Ham 1-1 Crystal Palace | Premier League |
Recent Form
Crystal Palace: W D W L W
- Apr 12: Crystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle (W, home)
- Mar 15: Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds (D, home)
- Mar 5: Tottenham 1-3 Crystal Palace (W, away)
- Mar 1: Manchester United 2-1 Crystal Palace (L, away)
- Feb 22: Crystal Palace 1-0 Wolves (W, home)
Two wins from five and a scoreless draw in there, but the Newcastle result is the one to weigh heaviest. Selhurst Park is where Palace have done their best work this season.
West Ham United: L W D L W
- Apr 10: West Ham 4-0 Wolves (W, home)
- Mar 22: Aston Villa 2-0 West Ham (L, away)
- Mar 14: West Ham 1-1 Manchester City (D, home)
- Mar 4: Fulham 0-1 West Ham (W, away)
- Feb 28: Liverpool 5-2 West Ham (L, away)
Two wins from five and the 4-0 demolition of Wolves last time out is a useful form note. Away from home remains a different story: West Ham have taken eight points on the road all season.
Crystal Palace vs West Ham Prediction
This one feels like a Palace home win with goals, and the markets are pricing it close enough to justify backing both sides of that thesis. The Eagles are the form team at Selhurst Park and the side with the better H2H record. BTTS Yes with bet365 is the headline play at -150; Mateta anytime at +120 is the stronger standalone pick. Kick-off is 3:00 PM ET at Selhurst Park, and a home win should see Palace push the gap over West Ham into double figures.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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