The USA carry home advantage into the round of 32 as they meet Bosnia and Herzegovina at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara on Wednesday, July 1 at 8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CT / 5:00 PM PT, with a place in the last 16 and a knockout’s worth of tension on the line.
For the host nation, this is where the tournament gets serious. The USA won Group D and arrive as clear favorites, roared on by a home crowd. Captain Christian Pulisic — eased through the group stage — is the man they will look to step up. Bosnia and Herzegovina are here the hard way, squeezing into the World Cup 2026 knockouts as one of the best third-placed teams.
The talent gap is real. The USA have goals through Folarin Balogun and creativity through Weston McKennie and Pulisic. Bosnia have leaned on the experience of veteran striker Edin Dzeko without consistently finding the net. On home soil, with the deeper squad, the hosts should have enough.
bet365 make the USA strong favorites at -223, with Bosnia and Herzegovina out at +650 and the draw at +333. The USA World Cup 2026 odds have shortened on the back of a group-winning campaign and the lift of home advantage.
USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina: Best Bets & Predictions
The slate leans on the hosts’ quality and a low-scoring, controlled win against a Bosnia side that has struggled in front of goal.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA to Win | -223 @ bet365 (69.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The deeper, more talented squad with home advantage, fresh off winning Group D. Bosnia scraped through as a best third-placed team. |
| Folarin Balogun to score anytime | +130 @ bet365 (43.5%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The hosts’ main striker scored twice in the group stage off an xG of 0.88 and three shots on target, and is the shortest-priced scorer in the game. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | -143 @ bet365 (58.8%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | Bosnia have been blunt up front, with Dzeko yet to score, while the USA kept clean sheets in the group stage. A shutout is the percentage call. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐ | A controlled home win rather than a shootout, with Bosnia likely to sit in and the United States content to manage the tie. |
| Correct Score: USA 2-0 | +600 @ bet365 (14.3%) | ⭐⭐ | The natural shape of a comfortable home win, tying the result, the Under and the clean sheet into one line. |
Our approach: anchor on the USA to win at -223. Add Folarin Balogun anytime, and treat a 2-0 home win as the natural scoreline.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
Deposit required. Paid in Bonus Bets. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. New customers only. T&Cs, time limits, and exclusions apply.
World Cup Form & Standings
The USA reached the round of 32 as Group D winners on six points, with wins over Paraguay and Australia bracketing a final-day loss to Turkey that did not cost them top spot. Home advantage and a settled spine have made them one of the stories of the World Cup so far.
Bosnia and Herzegovina came through as one of the best third-placed teams from Group B, finishing on four points after a win over Qatar, a heavy loss to Switzerland and a draw with Canada. The USA World Cup 2026 odds and the Bosnia and Herzegovina World Cup 2026 odds reflect a clear gap between a host nation in form and a side that did well simply to reach the knockouts.
Potential Match-Winners
- Folarin Balogun (USA): The hosts’ first-choice striker, with two goals in the group stage off an xG of 0.88 and three shots on target. Their most reliable finisher.
- Weston McKennie (USA): The engine of the team, carrying a tournament-high xA of 1.54 and an xG of 1.04 from midfield. He creates more than anyone in this game.
- Edin Dzeko (Bosnia and Herzegovina): The veteran remains Bosnia’s focal point and chief threat, and although he is yet to score, his movement and hold-up play are central to everything they build.
- Kerim Alajbegovic (Bosnia and Herzegovina): One of the few Bosnia attackers to find the net in the group stage, the young midfielder offers a spark from deeper areas.
Recent Form
USA: L W W
- Jun 19, 2026: USA 2-0 Australia (W)
- Jun 12, 2026: USA 4-1 Paraguay (W)
The hosts had already done the hard work before a dead-rubber loss to Turkey, with the 4-1 win over Paraguay and a clean-sheet victory against Australia the standouts. Top spot was secured with a game to spare.
Bosnia and Herzegovina: W L D
- Jun 24, 2026: Bosnia and Herzegovina 3-1 Qatar (W)
- Jun 18, 2026: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-4 Switzerland (L)
- Jun 12, 2026: Bosnia and Herzegovina 1-1 Canada (D)
The win over Qatar got Bosnia over the line, but the 4-1 defeat to Switzerland exposed their limits against quality. They have been competitive without ever looking likely to spring a major surprise.
USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina Prediction
On home soil, with the better players and the louder crowd, the USA should have too much for a Bosnia side that has struggled to score. Expect a controlled performance rather than a thriller, with the hosts managing the tie and Bosnia chasing late. We’re going the USA to win at -223 with bet365, with Folarin Balogun anytime and a 2-0 scoreline the supporting plays. Our soccer predictions hub tracks every call across the tournament, the bet365 review has current terms, and our Netherlands vs Morocco preview covers another of the round-of-32 ties. Kickoff is 8:00 PM ET at Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
USA vs Bosnia and Herzegovina kicks off at 8:00 PM ET / 7:00 PM CT / 5:00 PM PT on Wednesday, July 1, 2026 at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, in the World Cup round of 32.
As a knockout tie, a level score after 90 minutes goes to 30 minutes of extra time, and to a penalty shootout if the teams are still level.
bet365 price the USA at -223 to win, the draw at +333, and Bosnia and Herzegovina at +650. Folarin Balogun is the shortest-priced anytime scorer at +130.
Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER