DR Congo and Uzbekistan close out Group K with their knockout hopes on the line, kicking off at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta on Saturday, June 27 at 7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT.
Colombia are through and Portugal look well placed to advance from second in this World Cup 2026 group, leaving DR Congo and Uzbekistan as likely third and fourth finishers. A win would lift DR Congo to four points and secure a best-third-place finish. Uzbekistan, beaten in both games, need a huge win to swing goal difference in their favour.
Goals have been the problem for both. DR Congo have managed just one in two matches, Uzbekistan the same, and neither attack has clicked against the better sides in the group. DR Congo carry the greater Premier League pedigree through Yoane Wissa and Aaron Wan-Bissaka, and that could tell on the night.
bet365 make DR Congo favorites at -138, with Uzbekistan at +333 and the draw at +310. The DR Congo World Cup 2026 odds never had them as contenders, but in this fixture the market sees a clear, if narrow, edge for the Leopards.
Market consensus: Kalshi traders price DR Congo at 56%, the draw at 23%, and Uzbekistan at 22%. Full breakdown below.
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan: Best Bets & Predictions
This is a low-event game between two sides who have struggled for goals. The value sits with a tight DR Congo win rather than a shootout.
| Our Prediction | Odds & Sportsbook | Confidence | Why We’re Backing It |
|---|---|---|---|
| DR Congo to Win | -138 @ bet365 (58.0%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The deeper, more experienced squad, with Wissa and Cédric Bakambu up front. Uzbekistan have lost both games and conceded eight goals along the way. |
| Yoane Wissa to score anytime | +140 @ bet365 (41.7%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | The Brentford striker scored DR Congo’s only goal of the group stage and is the joint-shortest price in the book. He is the most reliable route to a goal on the field. |
| Under 2.5 Goals | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐⭐ | One goal each across two games tells the story. Neither attack has shown the cutting edge to turn this into a high-scoring night. |
| Both Teams to Score: No | -111 @ bet365 (52.6%) | ⭐⭐ | Both sides have been blunt, and DR Congo keeper Lionel Mpasi made eight saves in the group stage. One end staying quiet is the percentage call. |
| Correct Score: DR Congo 1-0 | +650 @ bet365 (13.3%) | ⭐⭐ | The bookmaker’s shortest correct score, and the natural shape of a tight, low-scoring DR Congo win. |
Our approach: anchor on DR Congo to win at -138, take Wissa anytime as the lead scorer play, and treat DR Congo 1-0 as the natural scoreline in a game short on goals.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
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Win Probability & Tournament Outlook
The match-level read on Kalshi points firmly toward DR Congo. Traders are pricing DR Congo at 56% to win, the draw at 23%, and Uzbekistan at 22%.
Across the wider group, Kalshi has DR Congo at 59% to qualify from Group K and 1% to win it, with Uzbekistan at 2% / 1%.
Beyond the group, here is how Kalshi’s stage-of-elimination market prices each side’s tournament arc:
| Team | Group exit | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | Runner-up | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DR Congo | 46% | 48% | 9% | 1% | 5% | 1% | 1% |
| Uzbekistan | 97% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 4% |
Kalshi is the prediction-market platform available to US traders in all 50 states. Prices move with money, not a bookmaker’s margin, so the implied probabilities above read as a live market consensus.
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Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid/last). Markets move — not financial advice. 21+. T&Cs apply.
World Cup Form & Standings
The fight is for third place, and DR Congo will be confident of securing the win which would see them advance.
| Team | Pos | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| Portugal | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 4 |
| DR Congo | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| Uzbekistan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 0 |
The Uzbekistan World Cup 2026 odds always pointed to a tough debut group, and a 5-0 loss to Portugal underlined the gap. They have been competitive in patches without ever threatening to win a game.
Potential Match-Winners
- Yoane Wissa (DR Congo): The Brentford forward scored DR Congo’s only goal of the group stage, off an xG of 0.48, and remains the side’s clearest goal threat.
- Arthur Masuaku (DR Congo): The wing-back is DR Congo’s main creative outlet, with one assist and the team’s only big chance created across the group stage.
- Abbosbek Fayzullaev (Uzbekistan): Uzbekistan’s brightest attacker, with a goal, two shots on target and a group-leading xG of 1.06. If they create anything, it tends to run through him.
- Eldor Shomurodov (Uzbekistan): The Roma striker leads the line and offers Uzbekistan their most experienced finisher, though chances have been scarce.
Recent Form
DR Congo: L D
- Jun 23, 2026: DR Congo 0-1 Colombia (L)
- Jun 17, 2026: DR Congo 1-1 Portugal (D)
The 1-1 draw with Portugal was the high point — a creditable result against the group’s heavyweights. The narrow loss to Colombia followed the familiar pattern: solid enough at the back, too quiet in front of goal.
Uzbekistan: L L
- Jun 23, 2026: Uzbekistan 0-5 Portugal (L)
- Jun 17, 2026: Uzbekistan 1-3 Colombia (L)
Two defeats, eight goals conceded, and a chastening night against Portugal. Uzbekistan have found the step up steep, and the defense has been opened up too easily against quality movement.
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan Prediction
Neither side has much left to play for, which can make for a flat occasion. DR Congo are the stronger team and have the sharper attacking options, so a narrow win is the sensible call. We’re going DR Congo to win at -138 with bet365, with Wissa anytime and a 1-0 scoreline the supporting plays. For terms and the latest pricing, see the bet365 review, and our Colombia vs Portugal preview covers the game that settles top spot in the same group. Kickoff is 7:30 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta.
Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.
DR Congo vs Uzbekistan kicks off at 7:30 PM ET / 6:30 PM CT / 4:30 PM PT on Saturday, June 27, 2026 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.
Both teams are eliminated from the automatic top-two places in Group K. A DR Congo win would lift them to four points and keep a faint best-third-place hope alive, but only with help from other groups. Uzbekistan need a huge win to swing goal difference in their favour.
bet365 price DR Congo at -138 to win, the draw at +310, and Uzbekistan at +333. Yoane Wissa is among the shortest-priced anytime scorers at +140.
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