Our Patriots vs Seahawks prediction gives Seattle the narrowest of edges in a Super Bowl LX rematch staged barely seven months after the first one. New England visit Lumen Field on Wednesday, September 9 to begin the 2026 NFL season, against the side that beat them 29-13 for the title in February. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Signal rates all 16 Week 1 games the same way.
Both teams closed 2025 at 14-3, so the records offer no separation whatsoever. The defences do.
Seattle conceded 292 points across the season, fewer than any other side playing this week. New England allowed 320, moreover, and shipped 48 sacks in the process.
New England Patriots @ Seattle Seahawks
New England PatriotsWin prob43%
Seattle SeahawksWin prob57%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Patriots vs Seahawks: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Patriots vs Seahawks: 2025 season form
Both finished 14-3. Seattle took the conference, however, and their points differential of plus 191 was the best mark anywhere on this slate.
| 2025 regular season | Patriots | Seahawks |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 14-3 | 14-3 |
| Points for | 490 | 483 |
| Points against | 320 | 292 |
| Point differential | +170 | +191 |
| Sacks recorded | 35 | 47 |
| Sacks allowed | 48 | 27 |
| Interceptions made | 10 | 18 |
| Third-down offence | 42.9% | 39.8% |
| Red-zone offence | 57.1% | 54.2% |
| Red zone allowed | 67.5% | 50.0% |
| Opponent passer rating | 93.1 | 77.9 |
The defensive rows carry it. Seattle conceded 292 points to New England’s 320, and their 47 sacks against 48 allowed is the cleanest illustration of where February was decided.
Patriots vs Seahawks injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, both teams expect their first-choice quarterbacks.
Drake Maye starts for New England behind a rebuilt receiving group, with A.J. Brown the clear number one after arriving from Philadelphia. TreVeyon Henderson leads the backfield, moreover, following 911 rushing yards last season.
Sam Darnold starts for Seattle after 4,048 passing yards in 2025. Jaxon Smith-Njigba heads the receivers, meanwhile, having led the league with 1,793 yards.
New England PatriotsSeattle SeahawksThe matchup that settles it: the Seattle pass rush against a Patriots line that leaked
New England allowed 48 sacks last season, more than any other side in this fixture. Seattle recorded 47 at the other end.
That imbalance decided the Super Bowl. Indeed, Seattle reached Maye six times in February and New England still lost by 16 despite moving the ball.
The Patriots have answered by adding A.J. Brown. However, a receiver cannot fix protection, and Seattle’s 292 points conceded was the meanest defensive record on the slate.
Players to watch
- Sam Darnold (SEA, QB): 4,048 passing yards in 2025, notably for the conference champions.
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA, WR): 1,793 receiving yards, indeed the highest total in the league.
- Drake Maye (NE, QB): 4,394 passing yards, though behind a line that allowed 48 sacks.
- A.J. Brown (NE, WR): 1,003 receiving yards for Philadelphia, and New England’s marquee addition.
- TreVeyon Henderson (NE, RB): 911 rushing yards, moreover, leading the Patriots backfield.
How to watch Patriots vs Seahawks
The game kicks off at 8:20 PM ET on Wednesday, September 9 at Lumen Field in Seattle, WA. Notably this is a Wednesday, a night earlier than the NFL usually begins, so the Canadian television window differs from the regular Thursday pattern. DAZN carries every game of the season through NFL Game Pass regardless. Our full guide to watching the NFL in Canada confirms where each window lands. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Patriots vs Seahawks |
|---|---|
| Date | Wednesday, September 9, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 PM ET / 7:20 PM CT / 5:20 PM PT |
| Venue | Lumen Field, Seattle, WA |
| TV | See our Canadian viewing guide |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Patriots vs Seahawks prediction and score projection
Our Patriots vs Seahawks prediction is a narrow Seattle win, for much the same reason the Seahawks won it all in February.
Notably, Signal currently puts New England at 43% and Seattle at 57%, with a projected line of Seattle Seahawks -2.
New England will move the ball. They did so in the Super Bowl and still lost by 16, because Seattle’s rush turned drives into punts. Consequently the margin matters more than the winner here.
So we will take the Seahawks, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Patriots vs Seahawks FAQ
Seattle, narrowly. The Seahawks beat New England 29-13 in Super Bowl LX and conceded 292 points last season against the Patriots’ 320. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide: both teams finished 14-3, separated by 21 points of differential.
DAZN carries every game of the season through NFL Game Pass. Notably this is a Wednesday opener rather than the usual Thursday, so check our Canadian viewing guide for the television window. Kickoff is 8:20 PM ET on Wednesday, September 9.
In Super Bowl LX on 8 February 2026, which Seattle won 29-13. The Seahawks sacked Drake Maye six times in that game.
Seahawks 24-20. Seattle’s 47 sacks against a New England line that allowed 48 is the clearest edge, though both teams finished 14-3.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change