Our Packers vs Vikings prediction leans narrowly to Green Bay. The Packers visit U.S. Bank Stadium on Sunday, September 13, and this division game opens the NFL season for both. Squawka Signal’s live numbers, and the value read, sit in the block underneath. Signal rates the whole Week 1 card the same way.
Green Bay finished 9-7-1 and Minnesota 9-8, so a single game separated them. The Packers scored 391 points to Minnesota’s 344, however.
Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs in 2025, the best rate of any team playing this week. Minnesota managed 31.8%, the weakest.
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay PackersWin prob52%
Minnesota VikingsWin prob48%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Packers vs Vikings: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Packers vs Vikings: 2025 season form
Green Bay finished 9-7-1 at plus 31, Minnesota 9-8 at plus 11. The Vikings closed on five straight wins, though, while the Packers lost their last four.
| 2025 regular season | Packers | Vikings |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 9-7-1 | 9-8 |
| Points for | 391 | 344 |
| Points against | 360 | 333 |
| Point differential | +31 | +11 |
| Sacks recorded | 36 | 49 |
| Sacks allowed | 29 | 60 |
| Interceptions made | 7 | 8 |
| Third-down offence | 48.8% | 31.8% |
| Red-zone offence | 57.6% | 56.9% |
| Red zone allowed | 59.6% | 42.9% |
| Opponent passer rating | 92.7 | 86.0 |
The third-down rows are the widest gap on the page: 48.8% against 31.8%. Minnesota’s defence was the better one, however, allowing just 42.9% in the red zone.
Packers vs Vikings injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, one quarterback room is settled and the other is not.
Jordan Love starts for Green Bay after 3,381 passing yards at a 102.5 rating. Jayden Reed and Matthew Golden lead the receivers, moreover, with Josh Jacobs in the backfield.
The Vikings have not confirmed a starter. Kyler Murray arrived from Arizona and J.J. McCarthy remains on the roster, with Carson Wentz behind them. Justin Jefferson leads the receivers regardless, meanwhile.
Green Bay PackersMinnesota VikingsThe matchup that settles it: Green Bay on third down against a Minnesota defence that holds
Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs last season, the best rate on this weekend’s slate, and Jordan Love’s 102.5 passer rating was the highest here.
Minnesota’s answer is the red zone, where they allowed just 42.9% of opponent trips to become touchdowns. The problem was their own offence: 21 interceptions at a 75.3 rating, and 31.8% on third down.
Players to watch
- Jordan Love (GB, QB): 3,381 passing yards at a 102.5 rating, indeed the best mark here.
- Micah Parsons (GB, DE): 12 sacks, notably against a line that allowed 60.
- Justin Jefferson (MIN, WR): 1,048 receiving yards, moreover, despite unsettled quarterback play.
- Kyler Murray (MIN, QB): Arrived from Arizona and is competing with J.J. McCarthy to start.
How to watch Packers vs Vikings
The game kicks off at 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, MN. CTV carries a Sunday afternoon game in each region, meanwhile, with RDS on the French-language broadcast. The CTV selection is regional, so DAZN through NFL Game Pass is the dependable way to get this one. Our full guide to watching the NFL in Canada sets out every window. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Packers vs Vikings |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 4:25 PM ET / 3:25 PM CT / 1:25 PM PT |
| Venue | U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Packers vs Vikings prediction and score projection
Our Packers vs Vikings prediction is a narrow Green Bay win, and narrow is the right word. One game separated these teams last season.
Notably, Signal currently puts Green Bay at 52% and Minnesota at 48%, with a projected line of Green Bay Packers -1.
Green Bay’s edge is third down and the settled quarterback. However, Minnesota’s defence allowed the second-lowest red-zone rate in this round, and they won their last five.
So we will take the Packers, 23-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Packers vs Vikings FAQ
Green Bay, narrowly. The Packers finished 9-7-1 to Minnesota’s 9-8 and converted 48.8% of third downs, the best rate on this weekend’s slate. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide: one game separated these teams across the whole of 2025.
CTV carries a Sunday afternoon game in each region and RDS has the French-language coverage, while DAZN streams every game through NFL Game Pass. Kickoff is 4:25 PM ET on Sunday, September 13. Notably the CTV selection is regional.
Minnesota had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Kyler Murray arrived from Arizona, J.J. McCarthy remains on the roster and Carson Wentz is behind them.
Packers 23-20. Green Bay converted 48.8% of third downs to Minnesota’s 31.8%, though the Vikings allowed the second-lowest red-zone rate in this round.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change