Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction favours Pittsburgh. Atlanta visit Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, September 13 to open the 2026 NFL season, one of eight games in the early window. Squawka Signal’s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Signal rates all 16 Week 1 games the same way.
Pittsburgh won the AFC North at 10-7; Atlanta missed out at 8-9. The underlying numbers, however, sit closer than that.
Atlanta recorded 57 sacks last season, more than any team playing this week, and conceded only 26. Consequently the game may turn on how long Aaron Rodgers stays upright.
Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta FalconsWin prob35%
Pittsburgh SteelersWin prob65%Squawka Signal is our model’s read, updated after every result — not betting advice. How the NFL Signal works. 19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC). Please play responsibly. ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON). Full T&Cs & geo-restrictions apply: bet365.
Falcons vs Steelers: our editor’s prop
One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.
AT 
Our prop
An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC). Please play responsibly.
Falcons vs Steelers: 2025 season form
Pittsburgh finished 10-7 at plus 10. Atlanta went 8-9 at minus 48. Notably, though, the Falcons closed on a four-game winning run.
| 2025 regular season | Falcons | Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 8-9 | 10-7 |
| Points for | 353 | 397 |
| Points against | 401 | 387 |
| Point differential | -48 | +10 |
| Sacks recorded | 57 | 48 |
| Sacks allowed | 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions made | 16 | 15 |
| Third-down offence | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Red-zone offence | 62.0% | 58.8% |
| Red zone allowed | 54.9% | 50.9% |
| Opponent passer rating | 88.4 | 92.2 |
Notably, the sack rows tell it. Atlanta recorded 57 and allowed 26, both the better marks here, while Pittsburgh managed 48 and conceded 31 with a weaker 92.2 opponent passer rating.
Falcons vs Steelers injury report and team news
This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, the quarterback picture is settled on one side only.
The Falcons have not confirmed a starter. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster. Bijan Robinson leads the backfield regardless, moreover, with Drake London the primary target.
Aaron Rodgers starts for Pittsburgh. Moreover DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. lead a rebuilt receiving group, meanwhile, and Rico Dowdle joins Jaylen Warren in the backfield after arriving from Carolina.
Atlanta FalconsPittsburgh SteelersThe matchup that settles it: Atlanta’s pass rush against Pittsburgh’s protection
Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, ahead of every other side playing this week. James Pearce Jr. claimed 10 and Brandon Dorlus added eight. Consequently the pressure tilts one way.
Pittsburgh allowed 31, which is respectable rather than secure. However, Rodgers threw for 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, so the offence functions when the pocket holds. Atlanta’s own line conceded just 26.
Players to watch
- Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB): 1,478 rushing yards, indeed fourth in the league.
- James Pearce Jr. (ATL, DE): 10 sacks, notably for the slate’s most productive pass rush.
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB): 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, the better passer rating here.
- DK Metcalf (PIT, WR): Now leads the Pittsburgh receivers alongside Michael Pittman Jr.
How to watch Falcons vs Steelers
The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, PA. CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region, meanwhile, and RDS carries the French-language coverage. Because the CTV pick is regional, DAZN is the reliable route to this particular game through NFL Game Pass. Our full guide to watching the NFL in Canada sets out every window. Squawka may earn a commission if you subscribe through that link.
| Detail | Falcons vs Steelers |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, September 13, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 1:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM CT / 10:00 AM PT |
| Venue | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA |
| TV | CTV (regional) / RDS (French) |
| Live stream | DAZN (NFL Game Pass) / CTV.ca |
| Week | Week 1, 2026 NFL season |
Falcons vs Steelers prediction and score projection
Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction is a narrow Pittsburgh win. Home field and a settled quarterback carry it, although not by much.
Notably, Signal currently puts Atlanta at 35% and Pittsburgh at 65%, with a projected line of Pittsburgh Steelers -4.
Atlanta’s pass rush is the best unit on the field. Indeed, 57 sacks against a line allowing 31 decides close games. Nevertheless the Falcons still have to name a quarterback.
So we will take the Steelers, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.
Signal rates every game on our NFL picks page. Meanwhile the title race is priced through Super Bowl LXI odds, with both conferences on the NFC and AFC Championship pages. Finally, player markets sit with our NFL player props coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on NFL.com.
Falcons vs Steelers FAQ
Pittsburgh, narrowly. The Steelers finished 10-7 and won the AFC North, whereas Atlanta went 8-9. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.
Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model’s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide: Pittsburgh finished plus 10, Atlanta minus 48.
CTV shows a Sunday afternoon game in each region and RDS carries the French-language coverage, while DAZN has every game through NFL Game Pass. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13. Notably the CTV pick is regional.
Atlanta had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster.
Steelers 24-20. The Steelers have home field and a settled quarterback, though Atlanta’s 57 sacks were the most of any team playing this week.
19+ (18+ in AB, MB and QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change