Tunisia’s World Cup 2026 winner odds are +30000 at bet365, with an implied probability of 0.33%. That price puts the Eagles of Carthage at the far end of the board, and the sportsbook read is straightforward: this is a team measured by whether it can finally clear the group stage, not by any run at the trophy.
Tunisia carry one of the longer World Cup histories among the outsider tier, yet the recent cycles have not delivered the kind of result that would shorten a number like this. The talent is real and the experience is there. What is missing is the breakthrough, and the market is waiting to be shown otherwise before it moves.
You can trace Group F and the wider route to the final on the 2026 World Cup schedule page. Full bracket detail sits on FIFA’s official 2026 World Cup site.
Tunisia odds to win the World Cup
At 500/1, Tunisia would be the first African nation to lift the World Cup if they got there. Nobody is building a case for that. What the recent record does say is that they can hurt good teams on the day: they put France out in the group stage at Qatar 2022, and they held Brazil to a 1-1 draw in November. Both results tell you the floor is higher than the headline price suggests.
The honest goal sits much earlier in the tournament. Tunisia have never reached the knockout rounds, so the first job is getting out of a tough group, and everything else follows from there.
Tunisia odds to win Group F
The draw was not kind. Netherlands, Japan and Sweden share Group F, and the sportsbook line has Tunisia as the clear outsider to win it. Topping the group is not the play here. The expanded 48-team format is, though, because the wider qualification net keeps a third-place route firmly in reach even when the headline odds say the group is out of range.
Tunisia stage of elimination odds
A full stage-of-elimination market for Tunisia has not landed at the sportsbooks yet. We will fill this section in the moment those prices are posted.
The stage-reached markets are already live, and they line up with everything above. Tunisia are a shade over even-money at 21/20 to come through Group F, out to 14/1 to reach the quarter-finals and 40/1 to make the last four. From there the prices stretch fast: 300/1 to make the final and 500/1 to win it. The value, if there is any, sits on getting through the group rather than anything further on.
| Market | Latest odds |
|---|---|
| To be knocked out in the group stage | -150 |
| To qualify from the group | +210 |
Tunisia World Cup top goalscorer odds
Goals were not the problem in qualifying. Tunisia ran up 22 of them without conceding once on the way to topping their group. Mohamed Ali Ben Romdhane led the way with four, Elias Saad chipped in three, and Hazem Mastouri, Youssef Msakni and Ferjani Sassi each added a pair. That is scoring spread across the squad rather than leaning on one name.
No Tunisia player has been priced into the World Cup top-goalscorer market so far. That board is headed by the names you would expect: Kylian Mbappe of France, Harry Kane of England and Lionel Messi of Argentina.
You can find full World Cup top goalscorer odds here
Tunisia at the 2026 World Cup: FAQs
Tunisia are in Group F alongside Netherlands, Japan and Sweden. The draw was made in Las Vegas on 5 December 2025.
Tunisia play three group-stage matches between 11 June and 27 June 2026, with venues confirmed by FIFA across the United States, Mexico and Canada. The round of 32 follows from 28 June to 3 July, the round of 16 from 4 to 7 July, and the quarterfinals from 9 to 11 July.
Sami Trabelsi is Tunisian and took charge in 2024 in his second spell at the helm.
Tunisia’s odds to win the 2026 World Cup are around +25000 at leading US sportsbooks, an implied probability of about 0.5%. Tunisia sit in the outsider tier, aligned with African sides yet to escape the World Cup group stage. For full market context see our World Cup 2026 winner odds page.
Tunisia have never advanced past the group stage in six previous World Cups (1978, 1998, 2002, 2006, 2018, 2022) — the worst active record among regular qualifiers. The expanded 48-team format gives them their best chance in decades, though the Group F draw with the Netherlands, Japan and Sweden is demanding.
19+ (18+ in AB/MB/QC) | Please play responsibly | ConnexOntario: 1-866-531-2600 (ON) — see your province’s helpline for resources elsewhere.