Correct score is the boldest call in soccer betting: the market pays handsomely precisely because pinning an exact scoreline is hard. This page explains how we approach it, when a correct-score play makes sense, and the stats we lean on.
Our Correct Score predictions
Every preview we publish backs one exact scoreline, with our probability and the bet365 price beside it. The newest are below, and the list updates as each preview publishes.
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What are Correct Score predictions?
Correct Score is the market on the exact final scoreline of a fixture at the end of regulation time. Stakes are settled on whether the scoreline you backed is the result on the pitch when the referee blows the final whistle, with no extra time and no shootouts. Most operators price every plausible scoreline up to 5-5 or so, plus an Any Unquoted Score option that covers the long tail of high-scoring outcomes.
The market suits bettors who already have a view on the match shape: not just who wins, but how the goals are likely to come. If you fancy a heavy favourite to grind out a 1-0 against a deep block, Correct Score gives you the biggest payout per stake on that exact thesis. The trade-off is variance. One deflection or one late equalizer turns a winning 1-0 ticket into a losing 1-1.
How to spot Correct Score predictions value
Three signals shape our Correct Score calls. The first is the goals-for and goals-against rate across the last six competitive matches. Sides scoring more than 1.5 a game and conceding fewer than 1.0 tend to win by a goal or two, which points toward 1-0 and 2-0.
The second is shots-per-game profile. A team that creates a lot of low-quality shots from outside the box tends to convert at the long-run rate of those shots, which puts a soft ceiling on their attacking output. The third is the opposition’s defensive setup. A deep block compresses scorelines, and a high line opens them up.
Key stats behind our Correct Score predictions
The numbers explain why the market pays so well. Even the most common scoreline in Premier League history, 1-1, lands in only about one game in nine, with 1-0 and 2-1 just behind it. So a correct-score price is long for a reason, and stakes should stay small. We back one scoreline per preview, the one our read of the match makes most likely, rather than spreading stakes across several.
Browse other predictions
Looking at other markets? See our Both Teams to Score picks, Anytime Goalscorer picks and Over 2.5 Goals picks, or browse all of our soccer predictions.
Correct Score FAQs
Does Correct Score include extra time?
No. Correct Score settles on the scoreline at the end of regulation time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not count. If a knockout fixture goes to extra time, your Correct Score ticket has settled on the ninetieth-minute scoreline regardless of what happens after.
What is the “Any Unquoted Score” option?
Any Unquoted Score covers any scoreline not individually priced on the bet365 grid, usually anything 5-5 or above, plus less common high-scoring outcomes like 6-1. It is a useful catch-all if you fancy a particular high-scoring matchup but cannot call the exact scoreline.
Why do 1-0 and 2-1 come up so often?
Tight games are the norm. A favourite that controls a match tends to win it narrowly, and a side sitting deep keeps the total low. In Premier League history, 1-1, 1-0 and 2-1 are the three most common results, and together they account for close to three games in ten.
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