{"id":93015,"date":"2026-11-12T11:51:45","date_gmt":"2026-11-12T16:51:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=outright_markets&p=93015"},"modified":"2026-11-12T11:51:46","modified_gmt":"2026-11-12T16:51:46","slug":"nba-mvp-odds","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/nba-mvp-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"NBA MVP Odds 2026-27: Signal + Market"},"content":{"rendered":"

The prediction market makes Victor Wembanyama<\/strong> the 27% favorite for 2026-27 NBA MVP. Below is the full market, de-vigged to true probabilities, with a Squawka Signal twist: every contender is tagged with where their team sits in our power rankings, because the MVP almost always goes to a star carrying a winning team.<\/p>\n\n

\"SquawkaNBA MVP Race<\/span><\/div>

NBA MVP Odds<\/h2>

The live MVP market, de-vigged to true probabilities, each contender tagged by their team’s Squawka Signal power ranking — tap any name to back them. The favorite, Victor Wembanyama<\/strong>, plays for a team the model ranks #1<\/strong> — and voters reward winning. Updated November 12, 2026.<\/p>

#<\/span>Player · team<\/span>MVP<\/span><\/span><\/div>
1<\/span>\"SAS\"Victor Wembanyama<\/span>Spurs · Signal #1<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>27%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Victor Wembanyama<\/strong> a 27% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Spurs sit #1<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Victor Wembanyama on Kalshi27%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

2<\/span>\"LAL\"Luka Doncic<\/span>Lakers · Signal #7<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>24%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Luka Doncic<\/strong> a 24% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Lakers sit #7<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Luka Doncic on Kalshi24%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

3<\/span>\"OKC\"Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/span>Thunder · Signal #5<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>7%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Shai Gilgeous-Alexander<\/strong> a 7% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Thunder sit #5<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on Kalshi7%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

4<\/span>\"BOS\"Jayson Tatum<\/span>Celtics · Signal #3<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>4%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Jayson Tatum<\/strong> a 4% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Celtics sit #3<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Jayson Tatum on Kalshi4%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

5<\/span>\"DEN\"Nikola Joki\u0107<\/span>Nuggets · Signal #9<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>3%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Nikola Joki\u0107<\/strong> a 3% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Nuggets sit #9<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Nikola Joki\u0107 on Kalshi3%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

6<\/span>\"PHI\"Tyrese Maxey<\/span>76ers · Signal #12<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Tyrese Maxey<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his 76ers sit #12<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Tyrese Maxey on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

7<\/span>\"NYK\"Jalen Brunson<\/span>Knicks · Signal #2<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Jalen Brunson<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Knicks sit #2<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Jalen Brunson on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

8<\/span>\"MIA\"Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/span>Heat · Signal #18<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Giannis Antetokounmpo<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Heat sit #18<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Giannis Antetokounmpo on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

9<\/span>\"PHI\"Jaylen Brown<\/span>76ers · Signal #12<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Jaylen Brown<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his 76ers sit #12<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Jaylen Brown on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

10<\/span>\"ATL\"Jalen Johnson<\/span>Hawks · Signal #13<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Jalen Johnson<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Hawks sit #13<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Jalen Johnson on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

11<\/span>\"UTA\"Jaren Jackson Jr.<\/span>Jazz · Signal #30<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes Jaren Jackson Jr.<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his Jazz sit #30<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back Jaren Jackson Jr. on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details>

12<\/span>\"PHI\"VJ Edgecombe<\/span>76ers · Signal #12<\/b><\/span><\/span><\/span>1%<\/span>▾<\/span><\/summary>

The market makes VJ Edgecombe<\/strong> a 1% shot for MVP. Voters reward winning — his 76ers sit #12<\/strong> in our power rankings<\/a>.<\/p>Back VJ Edgecombe on Kalshi1%<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/details><\/div>

Trade MVP on Kalshi<\/a>Trade on Polymarket<\/a><\/div>

Odds are a de-vigged read of the live prediction market (Kalshi), not a Squawka projection — the MVP is a player award our team model doesn’t price; the Signal rank is each player’s team in our NBA Power Rankings<\/a>. How the model works<\/a>. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p><\/div><\/div>