{"id":829,"date":"2026-05-21T06:09:33","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T10:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=outright_markets&#038;p=829"},"modified":"2026-05-21T06:09:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T10:09:35","slug":"premier-league-2025-26-relegation-odds-which-teams-will-drop","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/premier-league-2025-26-relegation-odds-which-teams-will-drop\/","title":{"rendered":"Premier League Relegation Odds 2025-26: Final-Day Tottenham vs West Ham Decider"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>The Premier League relegation odds 2025-26 now sit on a single Sunday afternoon. Wolves and Burnley are mathematically down.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>The third drop spot runs between Tottenham (17th, 38 points) and West Ham (18th, 36 points) on the final day, May 24. The maths is clean: a point for Tottenham would secure Premier League survival unless West Ham manages to overturn Spurs&#8217;s superior goal difference. West Ham need to beat Leeds at the London Stadium AND Tottenham need to lose at home to Everton. That delivers West Ham 39 points to Spurs&#8217;s 38 and drops Spurs into the bottom three. Anything other than that combination and West Ham go down. A win for Spurs guarantees their Premier League status regardless of what goes on at the London Stadium.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chelsea&#8217;s 2-1 win over Tottenham at Stamford Bridge on Tuesday May 19 kept the relegation question alive into the closing weekend. Spurs lost a fixture they could have closed the survival maths with; West Ham, beaten 3-1 at Newcastle the Sunday before, get one last home game to make it count. Both clubs are at home on Sunday May 24. Both kick off at 16:00 BST (11:00 ET), simultaneously with the other eight Premier League fixtures.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-premier-league-relegation-odds-2025-26\">Premier League relegation odds 2025-26<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>The odds below are sourced from US sportsbooks and are subject to change as the final-day card approaches.<\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-outright-odds\" id=\"outright-odds-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"widget_type\":\"outright-odds\",\"show_title\":\"true\",\"competition\":\"68366ed42febbf834daccd02\",\"active_market\":\"To be Relegated\",\"items_to_show\":\"5\",\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"To be Relegated\",\"name\":\"To be Relegated\"}]}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-prediction-markets-futures pm-futures-root\" data-sport=\"Soccer\" data-league=\"EPL\" data-event-id=\"polymarket_333010\" data-market-types=\"[]\" data-provider-filter=\"all\" data-selected-market=\"all\">Loading futures&#8230;<\/div>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"3707\"\n            data-offer-id=\"3710\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Kalshi\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"77\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-300x77.png\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"Kalshi\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-300x77.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-1024x263.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-768x197.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-1536x394.png 1536w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-2048x525.png 2048w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-400x103.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-600x154.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-234x60.png 234w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-150x38.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Kalshi\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Kalshi<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Kalshi\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Kalshi\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Trade $10, Get $10 Bonus<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Kalshi\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"9.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Trade Markets<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">9.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). 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Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading involves high risk and may result in loss of your entire investment. See <\/i><i><span draggable=\"true\"><a href=\"http:\/\/polymarket.us\/tos\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">polymarket.us\/tos<\/a><\/span><\/i><i>\u00a0for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated derivatives exchange and clearing organization<\/i><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"9871\"\n            data-offer-id=\"9864\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ProphetX\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"3\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12062936\/ProphetX.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ProphetX\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"3\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">ProphetX<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ProphetX\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"3\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Up to $100 in Bonus Cash<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ProphetX\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"3\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Up to $100 in Bonus Cash<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ProphetX\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"3\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">PLAY NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.0<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/prophetx\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Get a 20% Purchase Match up to $100 in Prophet Cash. Prohibited in AZ, CT, ID, LA, MI, MT, NV, NJ, NY, TN, and WA. Players must be 19+ and be residents of the US. Once the bonus hits your balance, you can start using your ProphetX sign\u2011up bonus across eligible sports prediction markets. The bonus funds will expire after 14 days and cannot be withdrawn for real cash.<\/p>\n<p>21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"9873\"\n            data-offer-id=\"9869\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/us\/go\/foregate?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ForeGate\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"7.5\" data-position=\"4\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/06\/12063040\/foregate-logo.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/us\/go\/foregate?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ForeGate\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"7.5\" data-position=\"4\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">ForeGate<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/us\/go\/foregate?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ForeGate\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"7.5\" data-position=\"4\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Up to $500 Bonus + $1,000,000 World Cup Prize Pool<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/us\/go\/foregate?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ForeGate\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"7.5\" data-position=\"4\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Up to $500 Bonus + $1,000,000 World Cup Prize Pool<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/us\/go\/foregate?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"ForeGate\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"7.5\" data-position=\"4\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">PLAY NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">7.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/foregate\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Newbie Tasks will expire 7 days after registration. After the task completed, users are required to manually claim their rewards before the countdown ends on Rewards Centre. Users who need to complete at least total $200 volume to be valid for the Deposit Challenge on Weekly Tasks. Only trades made in the USDT markets will be counted for the trading reward. World Cup promo lasts until July 2, 2026, 12:00 AM (UTC). All requirements within the level must be met. Rewards will be calculated and distributed 5 working days after the event ends.<\/p>\n<p>21+ only. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2597\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2596\"\n    >\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/novig?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Novig\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"5\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#28b1ff\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"300\" height=\"56\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-300x56.png\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"novig\" srcset=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-300x56.png 300w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-1024x190.png 1024w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-768x143.png 768w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-400x74.png 400w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-600x112.png 600w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-323x60.png 323w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-150x28.png 150w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig-40x7.png 40w, https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/03\/17122731\/novig.png 1296w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/novig?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Novig\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"5\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Novig<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/novig?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Novig\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"5\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Spend 5 get $50 in Novig Coins CODE:SQUAWKA<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/novig?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Novig\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"5\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">Spend 5 get $50 in Novig Coins CODE:SQUAWKA<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/novig?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Novig\"data-placement=\"toplist-offers\" data-rating=\"8.0\" data-position=\"5\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">Get Offer<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.0<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/novig\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>must be 21+ No Purchase Necessary. Promo For New Users ONly. Void Where Prohibited. See Terms of Use For Eligibility.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-current-premier-league-standings-the-relegation-zone\">Current Premier League standings: the relegation zone<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>After Tuesday night&#8217;s catch-up games, the bottom of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/epl-standings\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">Premier League table<\/a> heading into the final day:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-sq-branded-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Team<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Played<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Points<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Leeds United<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">47<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Crystal Palace<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">45<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-9<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nottingham Forest<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">43<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-3<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">17<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Tottenham<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">38<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-10<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">18<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>West Ham United<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">36<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-22<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Burnley<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">21<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-37<\/td><\/tr><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">20<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><strong>Wolves<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-41<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Leeds (14th, 47 points) confirmed safety with a 1-0 home win over Brighton on Sunday May 17. Crystal Palace are safe on 45 points. Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 43; West Ham&#8217;s maximum of 39 cannot reach them. The third relegation spot runs between the two clubs immediately below the safety line.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-the-final-day-scenario\">The final day scenario<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>One result keeps West Ham up: a Spurs defeat at home to Everton AND a West Ham win at home to Leeds. That sequence leaves West Ham on 39 points and Tottenham on 38, and Spurs drop into the bottom three. Any other combination keeps West Ham down. A Spurs draw or win locks safety on points alone, and a West Ham draw or loss closes the survival route regardless of what Tottenham do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Both fixtures kick off simultaneously at 16:00 BST on Sunday May 24. There is no in-game cushion of seeing one result before the other \u2014 the two stadiums settle the question in parallel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-who-are-the-favorites-to-be-relegated\">Who are the favorites to be relegated?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-wolves-20th-19-points-relegated\">Wolves (20th, 19 points, relegated)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Wolves are mathematically relegated. Their season has been defined by a lack of goals: 26 scored across 37 league games, the fewest in the division by a wide margin. The defence has shipped 67. A 1-1 draw at Fulham on May 17 added a point of pride; the closing-day fixture is at relegated rivals Burnley on May 24.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-burnley-19th-21-points-relegated\">Burnley (19th, 21 points, relegated)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Burnley&#8217;s return to the Premier League has ended in relegation. A 1-0 defeat at Arsenal on May 18 leaves them on 21 points from 37 games with a goal difference of -37 and only the closing-day home fixture against Wolves on May 24 to play, a game of pride between two already-relegated sides.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-west-ham-united-18th-36-points\">West Ham United (18th, 36 points)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>West Ham close the season at home to Leeds at the London Stadium with their fate half in their own hands. A win there is the prerequisite; the other half is a Tottenham defeat at home to Everton. If both land, West Ham finish on 39 points, Spurs stay on 38, and the Hammers escape. If Spurs take any kind of result against Everton, West Ham go down. If the Hammers fail to beat Leeds, they go down regardless of the Tottenham scoreline.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The remaining schedule:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-west-ham-s-remaining-fixtures\">West Ham&#8217;s remaining fixtures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-sq-branded-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Date<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fixture<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Venue<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Sun May 24<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-west-ham-vs-leeds-24-05-26-premier-league\/\" type=\"news\" id=\"7735\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">vs Leeds United<\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Home (London Stadium)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Leeds, safe on 47 points, have nothing to play for. That makes the home half of the equation the more controllable one for West Ham. The harder part is what happens five miles north at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium at exactly the same time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Hammers have been priced in the relegation conversation since October \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/will-west-ham-be-relegated-2025-26\/\" type=\"news\" id=\"7851\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">our piece on how West Ham ended up here walks through the eight-month journey<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tottenham-17th-38-points\">Tottenham (17th, 38 points)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Tottenham&#8217;s 2-1 defeat at Chelsea on May 19 kept them at 38 points and left the survival maths open. Any result against Everton on the final day \u2014 a win or a draw \u2014 seals safety on points alone, regardless of what West Ham do. A defeat reopens the door for the Hammers but only if West Ham win their own game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Spurs&#8217; late-season swing from a 56% relegation shot in April to 15% today is the closest call in their Premier League history \u2014 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/will-tottenham-be-relegated-2025-26\/\" type=\"news\" id=\"7849\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">we&#8217;ve broken down the scenario that decides it<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-tottenham-s-remaining-fixtures\">Tottenham&#8217;s remaining fixtures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-sq-branded-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Date<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fixture<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Venue<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Sun May 24<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-tottenham-vs-everton-24-05-26-premier-league\/\" type=\"news\" id=\"7737\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">vs Everton<\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Home (Tottenham Hotspur Stadium)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Everton are 12th on 49 points with nothing left to play for beyond pride. Spurs lost to Chelsea in their last fixture and have not been at their best in front of a home crowd this season \u2014 nine league wins from 18 home games is below par for a side that started the campaign in the European chase. The closing fixture is winnable, but it is winnable in the same way Tuesday at Stamford Bridge was always winnable.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-nottingham-forest-16th-43-points\">Nottingham Forest (16th, 43 points)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Forest are safe on 43 points from 37 games. A 3-2 defeat at Manchester United on May 17 did not threaten their position; West Ham&#8217;s maximum of 39 cannot reach them. The closing-day fixture at home to Bournemouth on May 24 is played without relegation pressure, though Bournemouth carry their own stakes around sixth place.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-forest-s-remaining-fixtures\">Forest&#8217;s remaining fixtures<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-sq-branded-table\"><table><thead><tr><th class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Date<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Fixture<\/th><th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Venue<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td class=\"has-text-align-left\" data-align=\"left\">Sun May 24<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-nottingham-forest-vs-bournemouth-24-05-26-premier-league\/\" type=\"news\" id=\"7747\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">vs Bournemouth<\/a><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Home (The City Ground)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-leeds-united-14th-47-and-crystal-palace-15th-45\">Leeds United (14th, 47) and Crystal Palace (15th, 45)<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Both are safely clear of any drop scenario. Leeds confirmed survival with a 1-0 win over Brighton; Crystal Palace held a 2-2 draw at Brentford. Both face closing-day fixtures with no relegation consequences: Leeds travel to West Ham, Crystal Palace host Arsenal, a Gunners side closing out their title-winning season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Which teams are moving into and out of danger?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>In the drop zone:<\/strong> West Ham. Down to one game on 36 points, needing to beat Leeds at home AND have Tottenham lose at home to Everton at the same time. Anything short of both events and the Hammers are relegated.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Closer to safety:<\/strong> Tottenham. Two points clear with one game left, controlling their own survival. A point or three at home to Everton confirms safety. A defeat reopens the door, but only if West Ham also win their own fixture.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Safe:<\/strong> Leeds United (47), Crystal Palace (45), and Nottingham Forest (43) are all mathematically clear of the drop. West Ham&#8217;s maximum of 39 cannot reach any of them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-sq-branded-table has-medium-font-size\"><table><tbody><tr><td>When betting on the relegation market, finding a platform that offers competitive futures pricing is crucial. We recommend checking our guide to the <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">best sports betting apps<\/a><\/strong> to find the right fit for your EPL wagers.<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-key-terms-for-the-relegation-market\">Key terms for the relegation market<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Relegation market:<\/strong> Futures odds on which three teams will finish in the bottom three positions and drop to the Championship.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>The drop:<\/strong> A common term for being relegated to the lower division.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Simultaneous kickoff:<\/strong> The Premier League&#8217;s final day is played with all ten fixtures kicking off at the same time \u2014 16:00 BST (11:00 ET) on May 24 \u2014 specifically so that no side has the advantage of knowing earlier results. West Ham and Tottenham both play at home, five miles apart.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Points swing:<\/strong> West Ham&#8217;s only survival path is a three-point swing on Tottenham \u2014 a Hammers win combined with a Spurs defeat. With one game left for each side and Tottenham two points clear, that is the maths.<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Safety:<\/strong> Leeds, Palace, and Forest are safe on 47, 45 and 43 points. West Ham&#8217;s maximum of 39 cannot reach any of them. For Tottenham, a single point at home to Everton seals it.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO\/KY\/MD\/OH\/PA\/TN\/VA\/VT\/WV) or (888) 789-7777 or visit <a href=\"https:\/\/ccpg.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">ccpg.org<\/a> (CT), or visit <a href=\"http:\/\/www.mdgamblinghelp.org\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">www.mdgamblinghelp.org<\/a> (MD), (800)-327-5050 or <a href=\"https:\/\/gamblinghelplinema.org\/\">gamblinghelplinema.org<\/a> (MA), or visit <a href=\"http:\/\/1800gambler.net\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">1800gambler.net<\/a> (WV).<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Premier League relegation odds 2025-26 now sit on a single Sunday afternoon. Wolves and Burnley are mathematically down. The third drop spot runs between Tottenham (17th, 38 points) and West Ham (18th, 36 points) on the final day, May 24. The maths is clean: a point for Tottenham would secure Premier League survival unless&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":830,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"premier league relegation odds 2025-26","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Premier League Relegation Odds 2025-26: Final Day Decider | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Wolves and Burnley are down. West Ham (36pts) need to beat Leeds AND Tottenham (38pts) lose to Everton on Sun May 24. A Spurs point secures safety.","footnotes":""},"squawka-category":[],"class_list":["post-829","outright_markets","type-outright_markets","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Premier League Relegation Odds 2025-26: Final Day Decider | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Wolves and Burnley are down. West Ham (36pts) need to beat Leeds AND Tottenham (38pts) lose to Everton on Sun May 24. A Spurs point secures safety.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/premier-league-2025-26-relegation-odds-which-teams-will-drop\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Premier League Relegation Odds 2025-26: Final-Day Tottenham vs West Ham Decider\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Wolves and Burnley are down. West Ham (36pts) need to beat Leeds AND Tottenham (38pts) lose to Everton on Sun May 24. 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