{"id":6137,"date":"2026-06-16T20:10:28","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T00:10:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=outright_markets&#038;p=6137"},"modified":"2026-06-16T20:13:39","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T00:13:39","slug":"south-korea-world-cup-2026-odds","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/south-korea-world-cup-2026-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"South Korea World Cup Odds: Squad, Path to the Final &#038; Top Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"<!-- WC_COUNTRY_RESULT_LEAD_v1 -->\n\n<p><strong>South Korea opened the <a href=\"\/us\/world-cup-2026\/\">2026 World Cup<\/a> with a 2-1 win over Czech Republic at the Estadio AKRON.<\/strong> The three points are a strong start to their group stage campaign, with two matches still to come.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>South Korea World Cup 2026 odds price the Taeguk Warriors as outsiders for their <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fifa.com\/fifaplus\/en\/tournaments\/mens\/worldcup\/canadamexicousa2026\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">11th consecutive finals appearance<\/a>. Hong Myung-bo&#8217;s side arrive in North America with a manageable group, an experienced spine, and a market that does not see them as a serious champion. They will fancy a deep run if the right side of the bracket opens up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Taeguk Warriors topped their Round Three Group B without losing a game, but the squad does not feel like vintage South Korea. Lee Jae-sung and Son Heung-min are reaching the latter stages of their international careers, and the next generation has not yet pushed through fully.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Group A drew them alongside hosts Mexico, the Czech Republic and South Africa. They open the tournament in only the second match overall on June 11. A good start sets up the chance to go further than usual. Group A and the route through the knockouts are mapped on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/world-cup-2026-fixtures-results\/\">2026 World Cup schedule<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n<!--WC_COUNTRY_PATH_START-->\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-south-korea-world-cup-2026-path\">South Korea&#8217;s World Cup 2026 path<\/h2>\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Round<\/th><th>Date<\/th><th>Opponent<\/th><th>Result<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>MD1<\/td><td>2026-06-12<\/td><td>Czech Republic<\/td><td><strong>W 2-1<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n<!--WC_COUNTRY_PATH_END-->\n\n\n<!--KALSHI_COUNTRY_START-->\n<style>\n.sq-kalshi-block {\n  position: relative; overflow: hidden; border-radius: 18px;\n  margin: 28px 0; isolation: isolate;\n  background:\n    radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%, rgba(168,224,57,.22) 0%, rgba(168,224,57,0) 60%),\n    linear-gradient(135deg, #0e3f29 0%, #0a2c1f 60%, #08251a 100%);\n  box-shadow: 0 18px 44px rgba(10,44,31,.32);\n  font-family: 'Bricolage Grotesque', system-ui, -apple-system, sans-serif;\n  color: #f4f8f1;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__pattern {\n  position: absolute; 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font-weight: 700; }\n.sq-kalshi-block__cta-row {\n  display: flex; flex-wrap: wrap; gap: 10px; align-items: center;\n  margin-top: 22px;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__cta {\n  display: inline-flex; align-items: center; gap: 11px;\n  background: #a8e039; color: #0a2c1f !important;\n  font-weight: 900; font-size: 14px; letter-spacing: 1.2px; text-transform: uppercase;\n  padding: 12px 22px; border-radius: 10px;\n  text-decoration: none !important;\n  transition: transform .15s, background .15s, box-shadow .15s;\n  line-height: 1;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__cta-logo {\n  height: 18px; width: auto; display: inline-block;\n  filter: brightness(0); flex: 0 0 auto;\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__cta:hover { background: #c8f24c; transform: translateY(-1px); box-shadow: 0 0 26px rgba(168,224,57,.45); }\n.sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec {\n  color: rgba(255,255,255,.78); font-size: 13px; font-weight: 600;\n  text-decoration: underline; text-underline-offset: 3px;\n  text-decoration-color: rgba(255,255,255,.32);\n}\n.sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec:hover { color: #fff; text-decoration-color: #fff; }\n.sq-kalshi-block__foot { font-size: 11.5px; color: rgba(255,255,255,.45); margin: 18px 0 0; line-height: 1.5; }\n@media (max-width: 600px) {\n  .sq-kalshi-block__inner { padding: 24px 22px 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block__title { font-size: 22px; }\n  .sq-kalshi-block thead th, .sq-kalshi-block tbody td { padding: 9px 6px; font-size: 11.5px; }\n}\n<\/style>\n<section class=\"sq-kalshi-block\" id=\"prediction-markets\">\n  <div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__pattern\"><\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__inner\">\n    <span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__badge\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Prediction Markets &middot; Live Odds<\/span>\n    <h2 class=\"sq-kalshi-block__title\">Win Probability &amp; Tournament Outlook<\/h2>\n    <p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__meta\">Source: Kalshi prediction markets &middot; Updated minutes ago &middot; <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Read our full Kalshi review<\/a><\/p>\n      <p>Traders price them at <strong>94%<\/strong> to qualify from Group A, and <strong>34%<\/strong> to win it.<\/p>\n      <p>Kalshi&#8217;s stage-of-elimination market prices South Korea&#8217;s tournament arc as:<\/p>\n      <div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__table-wrap\"><table><thead><tr><th>Country<\/th><th>Group Exit<\/th><th>R32<\/th><th>R16<\/th><th>QF<\/th><th>SF<\/th><th>Runner-up<\/th><th>Winner<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>South Korea<\/td><td>8%<\/td><td>64%<\/td><td>30%<\/td><td>7%<\/td><td>2%<\/td><td>1%<\/td><td>6%<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/div>\n      <div class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-row\"><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-logo\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/13053924\/Kalshi_logo.svg-scaled.png\" alt=\"Kalshi\" width=\"68\" height=\"18\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><span class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-text\">Trade South Korea&#8217;s markets on Kalshi &middot; USE CODE SQUAWKA &rarr;<\/span><\/a><a class=\"sq-kalshi-block__cta-sec\" href=\"\/us\/news\/world-cup-2026-predictions\/#prediction-markets\">See the full live tracker &rarr;<\/a><\/div>\n      <p class=\"sq-kalshi-block__foot\">Probabilities derived from live Kalshi market prices (yes-side, mid\/last). Markets move \u2014 not financial advice. 21+. T&amp;Cs apply.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n<\/section>\n<!--KALSHI_COUNTRY_END-->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-south-korea-odds-to-win-the-world-cup-2026\">South Korea odds to win the World Cup 2026<\/h2>\n\n\n<div class=\"vcsw-sports-widgets shortcode vcsw-outright-odds\" id=\"outright-odds-1\"><script type=\"application\/json\">{\"sports_type\":\"football\",\"widget_type\":\"outright-odds\",\"show_title\":\"true\",\"competition\":\"667aabbb773e0180d8f74d65\",\"active_market\":\"Outright Winner\",\"items_to_show\":\"10\",\"data_markets\":[{\"_id\":\"Outright Winner\",\"name\":\"Outright Winner\"}]}<\/script><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p>South Korea are priced as high as +50000 to win the World Cup at some books, with a more typical +30000 from others. That is the longest band of contender pricing, sitting them as outsiders without the obvious Golden Boot ceiling that the dark-horse band carries.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The price reflects squad transition rather than draw difficulty. South Korea are not in a group with any of the genuine superpowers; Mexico are the top seed, and the rest are sides South Korea can beat on form. The market is essentially saying that even if they top Group A, the deeper rounds will price them out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>All in all, South Korea are a credible knockout qualifier at the wrong price for a deep run. Haiti and Jordan are priced longer, but the Taeguk Warriors are firmly in the outsider band.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-south-korea-odds-to-win-group-a\">South Korea odds to win Group A<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n<p>Group A is well-balanced. Mexico are home favorites, the Czech Republic the next-best in the contender band, and South Africa the outsiders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The Polymarket market in the widget below shows the live picture across Group A. South Korea are realistically third favorites, but the gap to Mexico and the Czechs is small enough that one strong opening result could move them up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-prediction-markets-futures pm-futures-root\" data-sport=\"Soccer\" data-league=\"FIFA World Cup\" data-event-id=\"polymarket_98252\" data-market-types=\"[]\" data-provider-filter=\"all\" data-selected-market=\"poly-futures-839357\">Loading futures&#8230;<\/div>\n\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p>Must be 18 years or older and have a legal, U.S. residential address within the applicable state, D.C., or U.S. territories. Not available in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV and OH. Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-south-korea-stage-of-elimination-odds\">South Korea stage-of-elimination odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Even as Group A&#8217;s third favorites, South Korea are comfortable odds-on to reach the knockouts. With eight of 12 third-placed sides progressing, one win could be enough to slip through.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>South Korea are -225 to qualify, +163 for a group exit. The latter is a fairer reflection of recent World Cup history than the squad pedigree alone: they have gone out at the group stage in seven of their 12 previous appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Market<\/th><th>Latest odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>To qualify from the group<\/td><td>-225<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>To be knocked out in the group stage<\/td><td>+163<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-south-korea-world-cup-top-goalscorer-odds\">South Korea World Cup top-goalscorer odds<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Son Heung-min remains the major Golden Boot threat in this squad. The 33-year-old former Tottenham forward sits at +12500, with a much shorter +5000 from BetMGM. The price gap captures the question on Son: still a top-tier finisher in patches, but unlikely to deliver the volume a Golden Boot run requires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Wolves striker Hwang Hee-chang is the long-odds outside name at +20000, despite a difficult start to his 2025-26 season at club level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Full market context lives on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-top-goalscorer-betting-odds\/\">World Cup 2026 top-goalscorer odds<\/a> page.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th>Player<\/th><th>Latest odds<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>Son Heung-min<\/strong><\/td><td>+12500<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Hwang Hee-chang<\/strong><\/td><td>+20000<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"faqs\">South Korea at the 2026 World Cup: FAQs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\">\n<div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1778489917272\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What group is South Korea in at the 2026 World Cup?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">South Korea are in Group A alongside <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/mexico-world-cup-2026-odds\/\">Mexico<\/a>, <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/morocco-world-cup-2026-odds\/\">Morocco<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/scotland-world-cup-2026-odds\/\">Scotland<\/a>. The draw was made in Las Vegas on 5 December 2025.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1778489917273\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">When does South Korea play at the 2026 World Cup?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">South Korea play three group-stage matches between <strong>11 June and 27 June 2026<\/strong>, with venues confirmed by FIFA across the United States, Mexico and Canada. The round of 32 follows from 28 June to 3 July, the round of 16 from 4 to 7 July, and the quarterfinals from 9 to 11 July.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1778489917274\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is South Korea&#8217;s manager at the 2026 World Cup?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\"><strong>Hong Myung-bo<\/strong> returns for a second spell after a previous Brazil 2014 stint, drawing on his playing legacy as captain of the 2002 fourth-place side.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1778489917275\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Are South Korea favorites to win the 2026 World Cup?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">South Korea&#8217;s odds to win the 2026 World Cup are around <strong>+15000<\/strong> at leading US sportsbooks, an implied probability of about 1%. South Korea sit in the outsider tier, with Son, Kim Min-jae and Lee Kang-in lifting the price above other AFC sides. For full market context see our <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-outright-betting-odds\/\">World Cup 2026 winner odds page<\/a>.<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-question-1778489917276\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Can South Korea repeat their 2002 fourth-place finish?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">South Korea finished fourth as host at Korea-Japan 2002, one of the great Asian World Cup results. Repeating that in North America is unlikely, but with Son Heung-min, Kim Min-jae and Lee Kang-in as an elite trident, reaching the quarterfinals is realistic with a favorable knockout draw.<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>South Korea opened the 2026 World Cup with a 2-1 win over Czech Republic at the Estadio AKRON. The three points are a strong start to their group stage campaign, with two matches still to come. South Korea World Cup 2026 odds price the Taeguk Warriors as outsiders for their 11th consecutive finals appearance. Hong&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":6135,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"south korea world cup odds","_yoast_wpseo_title":"South Korea World Cup Odds: Squad & Picks | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"South Korea World Cup 2026 odds: Group A Polymarket markets, Son Heung-min top-goalscorer prices, stage-by-stage outlook for Hong Myung-bo's Taeguk Warriors.","footnotes":""},"squawka-category":[],"class_list":["post-6137","outright_markets","type-outright_markets","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>South Korea World Cup Odds: Squad &amp; Picks | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"South Korea World Cup 2026 odds: Group A Polymarket markets, Son Heung-min top-goalscorer prices, stage-by-stage outlook for Hong Myung-bo&#039;s Taeguk Warriors.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/south-korea-world-cup-2026-odds\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"South Korea World Cup Odds: Squad, Path to the Final &amp; 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