{"id":251,"date":"2026-07-23T23:00:05","date_gmt":"2026-07-24T03:00:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=outright_markets&p=251"},"modified":"2026-07-23T23:00:06","modified_gmt":"2026-07-24T03:00:06","slug":"world-cup-2026-outright-odds","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-outright-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"World Cup 2026 Odds & Predictions: Favorites & Bracket"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n

Spain are the 2026 World Cup champions<\/a>, beating holders Argentina 1–0 after extra time in the final. Here is how the tournament finished — and how the Squawka Signal model’s season-long read held up.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

World Cup 2026 winner: how the Squawka Signal model called it<\/h2>\n\n\n

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Final result — updated July 20, 2026, after Spain beat Argentina in the final.<\/em><\/p>\n\n<\/p>\n\n\n

Spain lifted the trophy, and the Squawka Signal model had them at the top of its list from the group stage on. Through the tournament, Signal set our own model’s title probability for every nation against the live Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> prices. Below is the final picture: how the tournament finished, and how the model’s read matched it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The gaps were the point. Reputation and recent history set the market; our model weighed the route each nation actually had to navigate. In the end, Signal\u2019s two most-backed contenders, Spain and Argentina, were the two who reached the final. For the top-scorer race, see our World Cup 2026 Golden Boot page<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n

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