{"id":179,"date":"2026-07-22T11:00:14","date_gmt":"2026-07-22T15:00:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=outright_markets&p=179"},"modified":"2026-07-22T11:00:15","modified_gmt":"2026-07-22T15:00:15","slug":"world-cup-2026-golden-boot-odds","status":"publish","type":"outright_markets","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/outright-markets\/world-cup-2026-golden-boot-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Odds: Top Scorer Predictions"},"content":{"rendered":"\n\n

Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 won the World Cup 2026<\/a> Golden Boot with 10 goals — and, on 22 across three tournaments, overtook Miroslav Klose as the all-time leading World Cup scorer.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n

Squawka Signal called it. Through the tournament we set our own model’s top-scorer probability for every contender against the live Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> numbers — and from the group stage on, the model made Mbapp\u00e9 its clear favourite. Below is the final top 20, and how the model’s read matched it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

It was why a lethal finisher whose team faced an early exit could sit below a steady one in a side built to go deep. The model weighed the scoring and the schedule together, across the expanded 48-team format spread over the United States, Canada and Mexico, the deepest forward field a World Cup has carried.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

World Cup 2026 Golden Boot: the final standings<\/h2>\n\n\n\n\n

Final result — updated July 20, 2026. Kylian Mbapp\u00e9 finished top scorer with 10 goals.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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