{"id":70383,"date":"2026-10-13T13:01:32","date_gmt":"2026-10-13T17:01:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=nfl-news&#038;p=70383"},"modified":"2026-10-13T13:01:32","modified_gmt":"2026-10-13T17:01:32","slug":"bears-vs-falcons-prediction-picks-odds-week-6","status":"publish","type":"nfl-news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/bears-vs-falcons-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/","title":{"rendered":"Bears vs Falcons Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Chicago have run for 866 yards and Atlanta for 834. They are the two most productive ground games in the NFL, and our <strong>Bears vs Falcons prediction<\/strong> puts them in the same building.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/teams\/chicago-bears\/\">Chicago Bears<\/a> are 3-2 with a +23 point differential. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/teams\/atlanta-falcons\/\">Atlanta Falcons<\/a> are 2-3 despite scoring exactly as many points, 119 apiece, and Bijan Robinson leads the league with 580 rushing yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-nsig{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:18px;margin:28px 0;isolation:isolate;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(47,230,201,.14) 0%,rgba(47,230,201,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 60%,#040f1d 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(4,15,29,.5);font-family:'Bricolage 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a{color:#2FE6C9;text-decoration:underline}\n@media(max-width:560px){.sq-nsig__inner{padding:22px 16px}.sq-nsig__cmp{gap:10px}.sq-nsig__verd{min-width:0}.sq-nsig__name{font-size:14px}}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r{position:absolute;width:0;height:0;opacity:0;pointer-events:none}\n.sq-nsig__geo-tabs{display:inline-flex;border:1px solid rgba(47,230,201,.4);border-radius:999px;overflow:hidden;margin:0 0 14px}\n.sq-nsig__geo-tab{cursor:pointer;padding:6px 15px;font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(232,240,247,.6)}\n.sq-nsig__geo-a{display:contents}.sq-nsig__geo-b{display:none}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r--a:checked~.sq-nsig__geo-tabs .sq-nsig__geo-tab--a,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__geo-tabs .sq-nsig__geo-tab--b{background:#2FE6C9;color:#04121f}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cards .sq-nsig__geo-a,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cta-row .sq-nsig__geo-a{display:none}\n.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cards .sq-nsig__geo-b,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cta-row .sq-nsig__geo-b{display:contents}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sq-nsig\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__inner\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__tag\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Squawka Signal &middot; Model vs market<\/span><h3 class=\"sq-nsig__title\">Chicago Bears @ Atlanta Falcons<\/h3><p class=\"sq-nsig__meta\">Week 6 &middot; Sun Oct 18, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the <b>Chicago Bears<\/b> favorites by about <b>2<\/b> points, a 56% win probability.<\/p><div class=\"sq-nsig__cards\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/CHI.png\" alt=\"CHI\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Chicago Bears<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">56%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Market<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-mkt\">62%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__verd sq-nsig__verd--lay\">&#9660; Slight lay<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"ATL\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">44%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Market<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-mkt\">38%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__verd sq-nsig__verd--val\">&#9650; Value<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Projected line<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Chicago Bears -2<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Against the spread<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Atlanta Falcons +3 &mdash; model Chicago Bears -2 vs market Chicago Bears -3<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Value<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Atlanta Falcons &mdash; model 44% vs market 38%<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__cta-row\" style=\"margin-top:14px\"><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">ProphetX<\/a><\/div><p class=\"sq-nsig__foot\">Squawka Signal is our model&#8217;s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result &mdash; not betting advice. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/nfl-signal-methodology\/\">How the NFL Signal works<\/a>. 21+. Play responsibly. 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style=\"position:relative;z-index:1;display:flex;align-items:center;justify-content:space-between;gap:12px;flex-wrap:wrap;\"><span style=\"display:flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;flex-wrap:wrap;\"><span style=\"font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;background:#D50A0A;padding:3px 8px;border-radius:5px;\">Wear the Match<\/span><span style=\"font-size:15px;font-weight:600;\">Atlanta Falcons <span style=\"color:#ffffff80;font-weight:400;\">v<\/span> Chicago Bears<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size:11.5px;color:#ffffff99;\">Official jerseys via Fanatics<\/span><\/div><\/div><div style=\"display:flex;gap:12px;flex-wrap:wrap;padding:16px;\"><a 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class=\"sqp\" id=\"sqp-chiatl\">\n<div class=\"sqp__wrap\">\n<span class=\"sqp__kick\">Week 6 &middot; Editorial pick<\/span>\n<h2 class=\"sqp__ttl\">Bears vs Falcons: our editor&#8217;s props<\/h2>\n<p class=\"sqp__sub\" data-props=\"2\">Two calls from our editor, to read next to Signal&#8217;s live numbers.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sqp__crests\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/CHI.png\" alt=\"Bears\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<span class=\"sqp__at\">AT<\/span>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Falcons\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<\/div>\n<h3 class=\"sqp__h3\">Our props<\/h3>\n<div class=\"sqp__list\">\n<div class=\"sqp__row\" data-market=\"Player prop\" data-selection=\"Bijan Robinson 85+ rushing yards\" data-read=\"\">\n<div><span class=\"sqp__mkt\">Player prop<\/span><span class=\"sqp__pk\">Bijan Robinson 85+ rushing yards<\/span><span class=\"sqp__why\">Robinson leads the NFL with 580 rushing yards and Atlanta average 5.06 a carry. Chicago concede 4.40, and the Falcons have no comparable option through the air.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__pr\"><span class=\"sqp__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 4 of 5\">&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;<span class=\"o\">&#9734;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sqp__lab\">4\/5 confidence<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__row\" data-market=\"Total\" data-selection=\"Under 45.5 points\" data-read=\"\">\n<div><span class=\"sqp__mkt\">Total<\/span><span class=\"sqp__pk\">Under 45.5 points<\/span><span class=\"sqp__why\">Chicago hold opponents to 26.0% on third down, second-best in the league behind Minnesota. Both teams would rather run the ball than throw it.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__pr\"><span class=\"sqp__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 2 of 5\">&#9733;&#9733;<span class=\"o\">&#9734;&#9734;&#9734;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sqp__lab\">2\/5 confidence<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"sqp__foot\">An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs Falcons: 2026 form so far<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The two best ground games in the conference, against each other. The table measures each attack against what the opposite defense has conceded.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3>Bears attack against the Falcons defense<\/h3>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table>\n<thead><tr><th>Per game<\/th><th>Bears offense<\/th><th>Falcons allow<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td>Passing yards<\/td><td>219.2<\/td><td>248.4<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Rushing yards<\/td><td>173.2<\/td><td>80.2<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Yards per carry<\/td><td>4.7<\/td><td>3.8<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Passer rating<\/td><td>80.8<\/td><td>91.5<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Touchdowns<\/td><td>2.8<\/td><td>2.8<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Third-down conversion<\/td><td>43.7%<\/td><td>40.3%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Red-zone conversion<\/td><td>42.9%<\/td><td>60.0%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sacks conceded \/ recorded<\/td><td>2.2<\/td><td>2.2<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<h3>Falcons attack against the Bears defense<\/h3>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table>\n<thead><tr><th>Per game<\/th><th>Falcons offense<\/th><th>Bears allow<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td>Passing yards<\/td><td>195.0<\/td><td>215.4<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Rushing yards<\/td><td>166.8<\/td><td>96.0<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Yards per carry<\/td><td>5.1<\/td><td>4.4<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Passer rating<\/td><td>74.9<\/td><td>97.7<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Touchdowns<\/td><td>2.6<\/td><td>2.2<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Third-down conversion<\/td><td>41.7%<\/td><td>26.0%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Red-zone conversion<\/td><td>69.2%<\/td><td>58.3%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sacks conceded \/ recorded<\/td><td>2.0<\/td><td>2.4<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n<p><em>Figures are season to date, across 5 games.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago allow 26.0% on third down, second only to Minnesota across the league. Atlanta&#8217;s 74.9 passer rating is the third-lowest, so the Falcons will run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs Falcons quarterback matchup<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago rate 80.8 through the air and Atlanta 74.9. Both are well below the league average, which is why both lean so heavily on the run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table><thead><tr><th>Team<\/th><th>Quarterback<\/th><th>Last game<\/th><th>Season to date<\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td>Bears<\/td><td>Case Keenum<\/td><td>24\/34, 247 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 110.8 rtg<\/td><td>24\/34, 247 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 110.8 rtg (1 game)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Falcons<\/td><td>Michael Penix Jr.<\/td><td>18\/25, 256 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 101.4 rtg<\/td><td>33\/45, 479 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 113.1 rtg (2 games)<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><figcaption>Last game is Week 3. Season figures are 2026 to date, with games played in brackets.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs Falcons injury report and team news<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bijan Robinson has 580 rushing yards, the most of any player in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago have run for 866 yards, more than any team in the league, with D&#8217;Andre Swift on 354 and Kyle Monangai on 324.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta&#8217;s quarterback room will be confirmed on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-ninj{border:1px solid #123f5c;border-radius:14px;overflow:hidden;margin:24px 0;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,sans-serif;background:#0a2540;color:#e8f0f7}\n.sq-ninj__head{display:flex;align-items:baseline;justify-content:space-between;gap:10px;padding:13px 16px;background:#06182b;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;letter-spacing:.4px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#fff;border-bottom:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__head span{font-size:11px;font-weight:600;letter-spacing:0;text-transform:none;color:rgba(232,240,247,.6)}\n.sq-ninj__cols{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}\n.sq-ninj__col{flex:1 1 260px;padding:14px 16px}\n.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__team{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-weight:800;font-size:14px;color:#fff;margin-bottom:10px}\n.sq-ninj__team img{width:24px;height:24px;object-fit:contain}\n.sq-ninj__row{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;padding:6px 0;border-top:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.06);font-size:13.5px}\n.sq-ninj__nm{flex:1;min-width:0;color:#fff;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}\n.sq-ninj__pos{flex:0 0 auto;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);font-size:11px;font-weight:700}\n.sq-ninj__inj{flex:0 0 auto;color:rgba(232,240,247,.5);font-size:11px}\n.sq-ninj__st{flex:0 0 auto;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;text-transform:uppercase;padding:3px 9px;border-radius:999px}\n.sq-ninj__st--out{background:rgba(255,106,90,.16);color:#FF6A5A}\n.sq-ninj__st--doubt{background:rgba(255,194,75,.16);color:#FFC24B}\n.sq-ninj__st--ques{background:rgba(232,240,247,.1);color:rgba(232,240,247,.8)}\n.sq-ninj__st--lt{background:rgba(160,180,200,.14);color:rgba(232,240,247,.82);border:1px solid rgba(232,240,247,.18)}\n.sq-ninj__lt{margin-top:11px;padding-top:9px;border-top:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.12)}\n.sq-ninj__lt-h{font-size:10px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;color:rgba(232,240,247,.5);margin-bottom:3px}\n.sq-ninj__none{font-size:13px;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);padding:4px 0}\n@media(max-width:520px){.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid #123f5c}}\n<\/style><div class=\"sq-ninj\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__head\">Injury report &middot; Week 6<span>Official game-status report &mdash; updates through the week<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__cols\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/CHI.png\" alt=\"CHI\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Chicago Bears<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__lt\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__lt-h\">Out long-term<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Coby Bryant<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">DB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Kyler Gordon<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">DB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Shemar Turner<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">DL<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Nephi Sewell<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">LB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Tony Fields II<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">LB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Braxton Jones<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">OL<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Brittain Brown<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">RB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Hayden Large<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">TE<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Nikola Kalinic<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">TE<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"ATL\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Atlanta Falcons<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__lt\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__lt-h\">Out long-term<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">A.J. Terrell Jr.<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">CB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Da&#8217;Shawn Hand<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">DT<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">JD Bertrand<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">LB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Yasir Abdullah<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">LB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Jalon Walker<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">OLB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Cameron Williams<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">OT<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Trey Sermon<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">RB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Beaux Collins<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">WR<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">IR<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">Storm Norton<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">OL<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">PUP<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">DeAngelo Malone<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">OLB<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">PUP<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__row\"><span class=\"sq-ninj__nm\">James Pearce Jr.<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__pos\">DE<\/span><span class=\"sq-ninj__st sq-ninj__st--lt\">Susp<\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_END -->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Two run games, one field<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Eight hundred and sixty-six rushing yards for Chicago, 834 for Atlanta. They are first and second in the NFL, and the Bears do it by committee while the Falcons do it through Bijan Robinson&#8217;s league-leading 580.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Neither throws it well. Chicago rate 80.8 and Atlanta 74.9, the third-lowest figure in football, so whichever defense holds up against the run decides this.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">On that, Chicago have the edge. They concede 4.40 a carry against Atlanta&#8217;s 3.78, but the Bears&#8217; 26.0% third-down defense is the number that actually wins games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Players to watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB):<\/strong> 580 rushing yards, the most of any player in the NFL.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Drake London (ATL, WR):<\/strong> 488 receiving yards, fourth in the league.<\/li>\n<li><strong>D&#8217;Andre Swift (CHI, RB):<\/strong> 354 rushing yards in the NFL&#8217;s most productive ground game.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rome Odunze (CHI, WR):<\/strong> A primary target in an offense rating 80.8 through the air.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to watch Bears vs Falcons<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, which is 12:00 PM CT and 10:00 AM PT. FOX has the regional broadcast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Detail<\/th><th>Bears vs Falcons<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td>Sunday, October 18, 2026<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Kickoff<\/strong><\/td><td>1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 10:00 AM PT<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Venue<\/strong><\/td><td>Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>TV<\/strong><\/td><td>FOX<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Live stream<\/strong><\/td><td>NFL+ \/ Fubo<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Week<\/strong><\/td><td>Week 6, 2026 NFL season<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs Falcons prediction and score projection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Chicago win 23-20. Both teams want the same game, and the Bears have the better defense for it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The live spread and the model&#8217;s number for this one are worth checking again on Friday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Every Week 6 game, previewed<\/h2>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table>\n<thead><tr><th>Kickoff (ET)<\/th><th>Game<\/th><th>Our prediction<\/th><th>Preview<\/th><\/tr><\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td>Thu 8:15 PM<\/td><td>Seahawks @ Broncos<\/td><td>Seahawks 24-20<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/seahawks-vs-broncos-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 9:30 AM<\/td><td>Texans @ Jaguars<\/td><td>Jaguars 27-17<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/texans-vs-jaguars-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td>Ravens @ Browns<\/td><td>Ravens 27-16<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/ravens-vs-browns-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td>Panthers @ Eagles<\/td><td>Panthers 24-20<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/panthers-vs-eagles-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td><strong>Bears @ Falcons<\/strong><\/td><td>Bears 23-20<\/td><td><em>You are here<\/em><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td>Saints @ Giants<\/td><td>Giants 26-20<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/saints-vs-giants-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td>Jets @ Patriots<\/td><td>Patriots 24-17<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/jets-vs-patriots-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td>Steelers @ Buccaneers<\/td><td>Steelers 23-17<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/steelers-vs-buccaneers-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 1:00 PM<\/td><td>Titans @ Colts<\/td><td>Colts 23-13<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/titans-vs-colts-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 4:05 PM<\/td><td>Cardinals @ Rams<\/td><td>Rams 30-20<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/cardinals-vs-rams-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 4:25 PM<\/td><td>Bills @ Raiders<\/td><td>Bills 30-27<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/bills-vs-raiders-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 4:25 PM<\/td><td>Chargers @ Chiefs<\/td><td>Chiefs 31-13<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/chargers-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Sun 8:20 PM<\/td><td>Cowboys @ Packers<\/td><td>Packers 27-24<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/cowboys-vs-packers-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td>Mon 8:15 PM<\/td><td>Commanders @ 49ers<\/td><td>49ers 31-17<\/td><td><a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/commanders-vs-49ers-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\">Read<\/a><\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The rest of the round sits in <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/picks\/\">the full NFL picks page<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/\">the NFL homepage<\/a>. The outright markets are priced in <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/nfl-super-bowl-odds\/\">Super Bowl LXI odds<\/a>. Individual lines are covered in <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/props\/\">NFL player props<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Bears vs Falcons FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-chiatl-1\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is favored, the Bears or the Falcons?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Chicago. Both have scored 119 points, but the Bears are +23 on differential against Atlanta&#8217;s -3.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-chiatl-2\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What time is Bears vs Falcons?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">1:00 PM ET on Sunday, October 18, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-chiatl-3\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who leads the NFL in rushing yards?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Bijan Robinson, with 580 for Atlanta.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-chiatl-4\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Which team runs the ball most?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Chicago, with 866 rushing yards, just ahead of Atlanta on 834. They are first and second in the league.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chicago have run for 866 yards and Atlanta for 834. They are the two most productive ground games in the NFL, and our Bears vs Falcons prediction puts them in the same building. The Chicago Bears are 3-2 with a +23 point differential. The Atlanta Falcons are 2-3 despite scoring exactly as many points, 119&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":70382,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"bears vs falcons prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Bears vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Bears vs Falcons prediction, picks and odds for Mercedes-Benz Stadium, where the two most productive run games in the whole of the NFL meet head on.","footnotes":""},"tags":[371,355,350],"class_list":["post-70383","nfl-news","type-nfl-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-atlanta-falcons","tag-chicago-bears","tag-nfl"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.4) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bears vs Falcons Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Bears vs Falcons prediction, picks and odds for Mercedes-Benz Stadium, where the two most productive run games in the whole of the NFL meet head on.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/bears-vs-falcons-prediction-picks-odds-week-6\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bears vs Falcons Prediction, Picks &amp; 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