{"id":41302,"date":"2026-09-05T19:00:25","date_gmt":"2026-09-05T23:00:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=nfl-news&#038;p=41302"},"modified":"2026-09-05T19:00:26","modified_gmt":"2026-09-05T23:00:26","slug":"broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1","status":"publish","type":"nfl-news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our <strong>Broncos vs Chiefs prediction<\/strong> backs Denver. The Broncos travel to Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, September 14 for the game that closes the opening week of the <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/\">2026 NFL season<\/a>. ABC and ESPN have the 8:15 PM ET kickoff. Squawka Signal&#8217;s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Finally, Signal rates <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/picks\/\">all 16 Week 1 games<\/a> the same way.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Denver won the AFC last season at 14-3. Kansas City, by contrast, finished 6-11 and lost their final six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Broncos recorded 68 sacks in 2025 and allowed only 23. Consequently this is the sharpest contrast in recent form anywhere on the slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-nsig{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:18px;margin:28px 0;isolation:isolate;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(47,230,201,.14) 0%,rgba(47,230,201,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 60%,#040f1d 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(4,15,29,.5);font-family:'Bricolage 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.sq-nsig__geo-b,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cta-row .sq-nsig__geo-b{display:contents}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sq-nsig\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__inner\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__tag\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Squawka Signal &middot; Model vs market<\/span><h3 class=\"sq-nsig__title\">Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs<\/h3><p class=\"sq-nsig__meta\">Week 1 &middot; Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the <b>Denver Broncos<\/b> favourites by about <b>3<\/b> points, a 63% win probability.<\/p><div class=\"sq-nsig__cards\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/DEN.png\" alt=\"DEN\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Denver Broncos<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">63%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Market<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-mkt\">44%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__verd sq-nsig__verd--val\">&#9650; Strong value<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/KC.png\" alt=\"KC\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Kansas City Chiefs<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">37%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Market<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-mkt\">56%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__verd sq-nsig__verd--over\">&#9660; Overpriced<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Projected line<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Denver Broncos -3<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Against the spread<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Denver Broncos +2.5 &mdash; model Denver Broncos -3 vs market Kansas City Chiefs -2.5<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Value<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Denver Broncos &mdash; model 63% vs market 44%<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__cta-row\" style=\"margin-top:14px\"><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">ProphetX<\/a><\/div><p class=\"sq-nsig__foot\">Squawka Signal is our model&#8217;s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result &mdash; not betting advice. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/nfl-signal-methodology\/\">How the NFL Signal works<\/a>. 21+. Play responsibly.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<!-- sqstore:nfl-match home=kansas-city-chiefs away=denver-broncos -->\n<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:14px;margin:26px 0;display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:stretch;gap:0;min-height:168px;background:linear-gradient(100deg,#0b1e3b,#13284d);color:#fff;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;\"><div style=\"position:absolute;inset:0;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20preserveAspectRatio%3D%22xMidYMid%20slice%22%20viewBox%3D%220%200%203000%203000%22%3E%3Cdefs%3E%3Cpattern%20id%3D%22a%22%20width%3D%2278%22%20height%3D%22175.5%22%20patternTransform%3D%22rotate%28-45%29%22%20patternUnits%3D%22userSpaceOnUse%22%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%23D50A0A%22%20d%3D%22m-38.22%20157.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%23D50A0A%22%20d%3D%22M77.22%200%2078%2081.6l-78%20.78C-.45%2035.67%2034.12.45%2077.22%200%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%23D50A0A%22%20d%3D%22m37.78%20158.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fpattern%3E%3C%2Fdefs%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%22100%25%22%20height%3D%22100%25%22%20fill%3D%22url%28%23a%29%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E&quot;);background-size:180px 180px;opacity:.13;\"><\/div><div style=\"position:relative;z-index:1;flex:1 1 300px;min-width:0;padding:22px 24px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;justify-content:center;gap:9px;\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;\"><span style=\"background:#D50A0A;color:#fff;padding:3px 8px;border-radius:5px;\">NFL<\/span><span style=\"color:#fff;\">Squawka Store<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size:25px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.02em;line-height:1.06;\">Wear the Match<\/span><span style=\"font-size:14px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.78);max-width:42ch;\">Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos \u2014 pick up either team\u2019s official jersey, shipped from Fanatics.<\/span><span style=\"font-size:10.5px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);margin-top:2px;\">Affiliate links \u2014 Squawka may earn a commission on purchases.<\/span><\/div><div style=\"position:relative;z-index:1;flex:1 1 300px;display:flex;gap:12px;padding:16px 18px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fanatics.93n6tx.net\/c\/2650836\/669352\/9663?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanatics.com%2Fnfl%2Fkansas-city-chiefs&amp;subId1=wear-the-match&amp;subId2=broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1&amp;subId3=squawka-us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" style=\"flex:1;min-width:120px;text-decoration:none;display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:8px;background:#f4f2f6;border-radius:10px;padding:14px 10px 12px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/feeds.frgimages.com\/_ss5_p-201359827+u-stpymtuivmbwbqwc07uz+v-smgbzpe4qrfvjsnewbzh.png?_hv=2&amp;w=340\" alt=\"Shop Chiefs jerseys\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width:100%;max-height:118px;object-fit:contain;mix-blend-mode:multiply;\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;color:#141018;font-weight:800;font-size:12.5px;\">Shop Chiefs<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/fanatics.93n6tx.net\/c\/2650836\/669352\/9663?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanatics.com%2Fnfl%2Fdenver-broncos&amp;subId1=wear-the-match&amp;subId2=broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1&amp;subId3=squawka-us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" style=\"flex:1;min-width:120px;text-decoration:none;display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:8px;background:#f4f2f6;border-radius:10px;padding:14px 10px 12px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/feeds.frgimages.com\/_ss5_p-2001499025+u-9e3vp3kk8rzqsq4hvewi+v-yqbdelozvnfvd02nbjgp.png?_hv=2&amp;w=340\" alt=\"Shop Broncos jerseys\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width:100%;max-height:118px;object-fit:contain;mix-blend-mode:multiply;\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;color:#141018;font-weight:800;font-size:12.5px;\">Shop Broncos<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/sqstore:nfl-match -->\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_END -->\n\n\n\n<style>\n\/* Squawka NFL picks card - palette matched to the injected sq-nsig Signal units *\/\n.sqp{--cy:#2FE6C9;--val:#38D97A;--ovr:#FF6A5A;--fair:#FFC24B;--tx:#e8f0f7;--mut:rgba(232,240,247,.60);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#FFC24B;position:relative;overflow:hidden;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:14px auto 26px;border-radius:14px;background:linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 62%,#04121f 100%);box-shadow:0 14px 36px rgba(4,18,31,.34)}\n.sqp *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sqp__wrap{padding:22px 26px 20px}\n.sqp__kick{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__kick::before{content:'';width:7px;height:7px;border-radius:50%;background:var(--cy);box-shadow:0 0 9px 1px var(--cy)}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:24px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.3px;line-height:1.14;margin:12px 0 0;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__sub{margin:7px 0 0;font-size:14.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut);max-width:70ch}\n.sqp__crests{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin-top:14px}\n.sqp__crests img{width:28px;height:28px;display:block}\n.sqp__at{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:var(--mut);letter-spacing:.1em}\n.sqp__h3{margin:20px 0 0;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__list{margin-top:12px;border-top:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__row{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 126px;gap:14px;align-items:center;padding:14px 2px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__mkt{display:block;font-size:10px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.13em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy);margin-bottom:4px}\n.sqp__pk{font-size:15.5px;font-weight:800;line-height:1.25;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__top{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle;margin-left:8px;font-size:9.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:#3a2c00;background:var(--gold);padding:3px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__why{display:block;margin-top:5px;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut)}\n.sqp__pr{text-align:center}\n.sqp__val{display:block;font-size:23px;font-weight:800;color:var(--cy);line-height:1;text-decoration:none}\na.sqp__val:hover{text-decoration:underline}\n.sqp__stars{display:block;font-size:15px;line-height:1;letter-spacing:1px;color:var(--gold)}\n.sqp__stars .d{opacity:.24}\n.sqp__lab{display:block;font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--mut);margin-top:4px}\n.sqp__verd{display:inline-block;margin-top:6px;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;padding:2px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__verd--val{color:var(--val);background:rgba(56,217,122,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--ovr{color:var(--ovr);background:rgba(255,106,90,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--fair{color:var(--fair);background:rgba(255,194,75,.12)}\n.sqp__approach{margin:14px 0 0;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.55;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__foot{margin:16px 0 0;padding-top:13px;border-top:1px solid var(--line);font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.55;color:rgba(232,240,247,.5)}\n.sqp__foot a{color:var(--cy);font-weight:700;text-decoration:none;border-bottom:1px solid rgba(47,230,201,.35)}\n@media(max-width:640px){\n.sqp__wrap{padding:18px 15px 16px}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:20px}\n.sqp__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 100px;gap:10px}\n.sqp__val{font-size:20px}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sqp\" id=\"sqp-denkc\">\n<div class=\"sqp__wrap\">\n<span class=\"sqp__kick\">Week 1 &middot; Editorial pick<\/span>\n<h2 class=\"sqp__ttl\">Broncos vs Chiefs: our editor&#8217;s prop<\/h2>\n<p class=\"sqp__sub\">One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sqp__crests\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/DEN.png\" alt=\"Broncos\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<span class=\"sqp__at\">AT<\/span>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/KC.png\" alt=\"Chiefs\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<\/div>\n<h3 class=\"sqp__h3\">Our prop<\/h3>\n<div class=\"sqp__list\">\n<div class=\"sqp__row\" data-market=\"Player prop\" data-selection=\"Patrick Mahomes sacked two or more times\" data-read=\"\">\n<div><span class=\"sqp__mkt\">Player prop<\/span><span class=\"sqp__pk\">Patrick Mahomes sacked two or more times<\/span><span class=\"sqp__why\">Denver recorded 68 sacks in 2025, more than any other team in the league. Meanwhile Kansas City&#8217;s line allowed 47.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__pr\"><span class=\"sqp__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 4 of 5\">&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;<span class=\"d\">&#9733;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sqp__lab\">confidence<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"sqp__foot\">An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broncos vs Chiefs: 2025 season form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Denver finished 14-3 and clinched the conference. Kansas City went 6-11, and the Chiefs lost their last six.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>2025 regular season<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Broncos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Chiefs<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Record<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14-3<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">6-11<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points for<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">401<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">362<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points against<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">311<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">328<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Point differential<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+90<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+34<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks recorded<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">68<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">35<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">23<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">47<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Interceptions made<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Third-down offense<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">41.2%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">37.4%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red-zone offense<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">57.9%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">57.6%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red zone allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">42.6%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">52.9%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Opponent passer rating<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">78.7<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">89.9<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Denver leads almost every row. They recorded 68 sacks to Kansas City&#8217;s 35, allowed 23 to their 47, and conceded 42.6% in the red zone against 52.9%. Their 78.7 opponent passer rating was the best figure on this weekend&#8217;s slate.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broncos vs Chiefs injury report and team news<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, both sides expect their first-choice quarterbacks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Bo Nix starts for Denver after 3,931 passing yards in 2025. Courtland Sutton leads the receivers, meanwhile, with Jaylen Waddle arriving from Miami and Evan Engram at tight end. J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey share the backfield.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Patrick Mahomes starts for Kansas City. Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy lead the receivers, moreover, with Travis Kelce still at tight end and Kenneth Walker III joining from Seattle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-ninj{border:1px solid #123f5c;border-radius:14px;overflow:hidden;margin:24px 0;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,sans-serif;background:#0a2540;color:#e8f0f7}\n.sq-ninj__head{display:flex;align-items:baseline;justify-content:space-between;gap:10px;padding:13px 16px;background:#06182b;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;letter-spacing:.4px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#fff;border-bottom:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__head span{font-size:11px;font-weight:600;letter-spacing:0;text-transform:none;color:rgba(232,240,247,.6)}\n.sq-ninj__cols{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}\n.sq-ninj__col{flex:1 1 260px;padding:14px 16px}\n.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__team{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-weight:800;font-size:14px;color:#fff;margin-bottom:10px}\n.sq-ninj__team img{width:24px;height:24px;object-fit:contain}\n.sq-ninj__row{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;padding:6px 0;border-top:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.06);font-size:13.5px}\n.sq-ninj__nm{flex:1;min-width:0;color:#fff;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}\n.sq-ninj__pos{flex:0 0 auto;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);font-size:11px;font-weight:700}\n.sq-ninj__st{flex:0 0 auto;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;text-transform:uppercase;padding:3px 9px;border-radius:999px}\n.sq-ninj__st--out{background:rgba(255,106,90,.16);color:#FF6A5A}\n.sq-ninj__st--doubt{background:rgba(255,194,75,.16);color:#FFC24B}\n.sq-ninj__st--ques{background:rgba(232,240,247,.1);color:rgba(232,240,247,.8)}\n.sq-ninj__none{font-size:13px;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);padding:4px 0}\n@media(max-width:520px){.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid #123f5c}}\n<\/style><div class=\"sq-ninj\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__head\">Injury report &middot; Week 1<span>Official game-status report &mdash; updates through the week<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__cols\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/DEN.png\" alt=\"DEN\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Denver Broncos<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/KC.png\" alt=\"KC\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Kansas City Chiefs<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_END -->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The matchup that decides it: Denver&#8217;s pass rush against Kansas City&#8217;s protection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Denver recorded 68 sacks in 2025, the highest total in the league. Nik Bonitto had 14 of them and Jonathon Cooper added eight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kansas City allowed 47 sacks last season. Moreover, the Chiefs converted just 37.4% of third downs, so drives ended early more often than they used to.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Kansas City&#8217;s defense held up better than their record suggests, conceding 328 points. However, the offense scored 362, and that combination produced 6-11.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Players to watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Nik Bonitto (DEN, OLB):<\/strong> 14 sacks in 2025, notably for the league&#8217;s most productive pass rush.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bo Nix (DEN, QB):<\/strong> 3,931 passing yards, notably behind a line that allowed only 23 sacks.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Courtland Sutton (DEN, WR):<\/strong> 1,017 receiving yards last season, notably his fourth straight strong year.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Patrick Mahomes (KC, QB):<\/strong> 3,587 passing yards, notably against the best defense on this weekend&#8217;s slate.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Travis Kelce (KC, TE):<\/strong> Notably still the primary target in the Kansas City offense.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to watch Broncos vs Chiefs<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The game kicks off at 8:15 PM ET on Monday, September 14 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. ABC and ESPN have the broadcast, meanwhile, with ESPN+ streaming it. This is the Monday night game that closes Week 1, so it carries a national audience.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Detail<\/th><th>Broncos vs Chiefs<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td>Monday, September 14, 2026<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Kickoff<\/strong><\/td><td>8:15 PM ET \/ 7:15 PM CT \/ 6:15 PM MT \/ 5:15 PM PT<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Venue<\/strong><\/td><td>Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>TV<\/strong><\/td><td>ABC\/ESPN<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Live stream<\/strong><\/td><td>ESPN \/ ESPN+<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Week<\/strong><\/td><td>Week 1, 2026 NFL season<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broncos vs Chiefs prediction and score projection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Broncos vs Chiefs prediction<\/strong> is a Denver win, and the 2025 numbers are emphatic. A 14-3 conference winner against a 6-11 team is not a close reading.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Arrowhead and Patrick Mahomes are the counterweight. Indeed, Kansas City conceded only 328 points last season, so the defense was not the problem. Nevertheless the Chiefs lost their final six games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So we will take the Broncos to win, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Signal rates every game on our <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/picks\/\">NFL picks page<\/a>. Meanwhile the title race is priced through <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/nfl-super-bowl-odds\/\">Super Bowl LXI odds<\/a>, with both conferences on the <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/nfc-championship-odds\/\">NFC<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/afc-championship-odds\/\">AFC Championship<\/a> pages. Finally, player markets sit with our <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/props\/\">NFL player props<\/a> coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/schedules\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NFL.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Broncos vs Chiefs FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-denkc-1\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is favored to win, the Broncos or the Chiefs?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Denver, on last season&#8217;s evidence. The Broncos went 14-3 and won the AFC while Kansas City finished 6-11. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-denkc-2\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the spread for Broncos vs Chiefs?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model&#8217;s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: Denver finished 14-3 at plus 90, Kansas City 6-11 at plus 34.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-denkc-3\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Where can I watch Broncos vs Chiefs?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">ABC and ESPN have the broadcast and ESPN+ streams it. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Monday, September 14, 2026 from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. This is the Monday night game that closes Week 1.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-denkc-4\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who starts at quarterback for Denver?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Bo Nix, who threw for 3,931 passing yards in 2025. Meanwhile Patrick Mahomes starts for Kansas City.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-denkc-5\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the score prediction for Broncos vs Chiefs?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Broncos 24-20. Denver recorded 68 sacks last season to Kansas City&#8217;s 35, though Arrowhead and Mahomes keep it close.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our Broncos vs Chiefs prediction backs Denver. The Broncos travel to Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, September 14 for the game that closes the opening week of the 2026 NFL season. ABC and ESPN have the 8:15 PM ET kickoff. Squawka Signal&#8217;s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":41301,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"broncos vs chiefs prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our Broncos vs Chiefs prediction, picks and odds for the Monday night finale at Arrowhead. Denver went 14-3 last season, Kansas City 6-11. 8:15 PM ET.","footnotes":""},"tags":[381,382,350],"class_list":["post-41302","nfl-news","type-nfl-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-denver-broncos","tag-kansas-city-chiefs","tag-nfl"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Broncos vs Chiefs prediction, picks and odds for the Monday night finale at Arrowhead. 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We publish match previews, tactical analysis, player and team stats, outright odds, betting tips, streaming guides and long-form features for a committed football audience. Founded in the UK and part of OneTwenty Group, Squawka now runs localised editions for the UK (squawka.com\/en\/), United States (squawka.com\/us\/), Mexican-Spanish (squawka.com\/us-es\/), Ireland, Netherlands, Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, South Africa and Ghana. Each edition is editorially tailored to its market, with locale-specific competition focus, operator compliance and commercial partnerships. 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Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-2","position":2,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-2","name":"What is the spread for Broncos vs Chiefs?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model's projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: Denver finished 14-3 at plus 90, Kansas City 6-11 at plus 34.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-3","position":3,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-3","name":"Where can I watch Broncos vs Chiefs?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"ABC and ESPN have the broadcast and ESPN+ streams it. Kickoff is 8:15 PM ET on Monday, September 14, 2026 from Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. This is the Monday night game that closes Week 1.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-4","position":4,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-4","name":"Who starts at quarterback for Denver?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Bo Nix, who threw for 3,931 passing yards in 2025. Meanwhile Patrick Mahomes starts for Kansas City.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-5","position":5,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/broncos-vs-chiefs-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-denkc-5","name":"What is the score prediction for Broncos vs Chiefs?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Broncos 24-20. Denver recorded 68 sacks last season to Kansas City's 35, though Arrowhead and Mahomes keep it close.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"}]}},"yoast_title":"Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds | Squawka","yoast_description":"Our Broncos vs Chiefs prediction, picks and odds for the Monday night finale at Arrowhead. 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