{"id":41287,"date":"2026-09-05T19:00:37","date_gmt":"2026-09-05T23:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=nfl-news&#038;p=41287"},"modified":"2026-09-05T19:00:37","modified_gmt":"2026-09-05T23:00:37","slug":"falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1","status":"publish","type":"nfl-news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/","title":{"rendered":"Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks &#038; Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Our <strong>Falcons vs Steelers prediction<\/strong> favors Pittsburgh. Atlanta travels to Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, September 13, and FOX has the 1:00 PM ET kickoff. Both sides open the <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/\">2026 NFL season<\/a> here. Squawka Signal&#8217;s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Signal rates <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/picks\/\">all 16 Week 1 games<\/a> the same way.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh finished 10-7 and won the AFC North; Atlanta went 8-9 and missed out. However, the underlying numbers are closer than the standings suggest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, more than any team playing this weekend. Meanwhile Pittsburgh conceded 31. Consequently the game may turn on how long Aaron Rodgers has to throw.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-nsig{position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:18px;margin:28px 0;isolation:isolate;background:radial-gradient(70% 90% at 18% 0%,rgba(47,230,201,.14) 0%,rgba(47,230,201,0) 60%),linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 60%,#040f1d 100%);box-shadow:0 18px 44px rgba(4,15,29,.5);font-family:'Bricolage 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.sq-nsig__geo-b,.sq-nsig__geo-r--b:checked~.sq-nsig__cta-row .sq-nsig__geo-b{display:contents}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sq-nsig\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__inner\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__tag\"><span class=\"dot\"><\/span>Squawka Signal &middot; Model vs market<\/span><h3 class=\"sq-nsig__title\">Atlanta Falcons @ Pittsburgh Steelers<\/h3><p class=\"sq-nsig__meta\">Week 1 &middot; Sun Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET. Our Signal model makes the <b>Pittsburgh Steelers<\/b> favourites by about <b>4<\/b> points, a 65% win probability.<\/p><div class=\"sq-nsig__cards\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"ATL\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Atlanta Falcons<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">35%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Market<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-mkt\">36%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__verd sq-nsig__verd--fair\">&#9644; Fair<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__card\"><div class=\"sq-nsig__sum\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sq-nsig__crest\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/PIT.png\" alt=\"PIT\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"30\" height=\"30\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__name\">Pittsburgh Steelers<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Squawka<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-sig\">65%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-c\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-k\">Market<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__cmp-mkt\">64%<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__verd sq-nsig__verd--fair\">&#9644; Fair<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Projected line<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Pittsburgh Steelers -4<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__mc\"><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-k\">Against the spread<\/span><span class=\"sq-nsig__mc-v\">Pittsburgh Steelers -3 &mdash; model Pittsburgh Steelers -4 vs market Pittsburgh Steelers -3<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-nsig__cta-row\" style=\"margin-top:14px\"><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Kalshi<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Polymarket<\/a><a class=\"sq-nsig__cta2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/prophet-x?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">ProphetX<\/a><\/div><p class=\"sq-nsig__foot\">Squawka Signal is our model&#8217;s read against devigged market prices, updated after every result &mdash; not betting advice. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/nfl-signal-methodology\/\">How the NFL Signal works<\/a>. 21+. Play responsibly.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n<!-- sqstore:nfl-match home=pittsburgh-steelers away=atlanta-falcons -->\n<div style=\"position:relative;overflow:hidden;border-radius:14px;margin:26px 0;display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap;align-items:stretch;gap:0;min-height:168px;background:linear-gradient(100deg,#0b1e3b,#13284d);color:#fff;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;\"><div style=\"position:absolute;inset:0;background-image:url(&quot;data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%22http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%22%20preserveAspectRatio%3D%22xMidYMid%20slice%22%20viewBox%3D%220%200%203000%203000%22%3E%3Cdefs%3E%3Cpattern%20id%3D%22a%22%20width%3D%2278%22%20height%3D%22175.5%22%20patternTransform%3D%22rotate%28-45%29%22%20patternUnits%3D%22userSpaceOnUse%22%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%23D50A0A%22%20d%3D%22m-38.22%20157.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%23D50A0A%22%20d%3D%22M77.22%200%2078%2081.6l-78%20.78C-.45%2035.67%2034.12.45%2077.22%200%22%2F%3E%3Cpath%20fill%3D%22%23D50A0A%22%20d%3D%22m37.78%20158.05-.78-78%2078-.78c.45%2043.12-34.12%2078.33-77.22%2078.78%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fpattern%3E%3C%2Fdefs%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%22100%25%22%20height%3D%22100%25%22%20fill%3D%22url%28%23a%29%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E&quot;);background-size:180px 180px;opacity:.13;\"><\/div><div style=\"position:relative;z-index:1;flex:1 1 300px;min-width:0;padding:22px 24px;display:flex;flex-direction:column;justify-content:center;gap:9px;\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-size:11px;font-weight:700;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;\"><span style=\"background:#D50A0A;color:#fff;padding:3px 8px;border-radius:5px;\">NFL<\/span><span style=\"color:#fff;\">Squawka Store<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size:25px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.02em;line-height:1.06;\">Wear the Match<\/span><span style=\"font-size:14px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.78);max-width:42ch;\">Pittsburgh Steelers vs Atlanta Falcons \u2014 pick up either team\u2019s official jersey, shipped from Fanatics.<\/span><span style=\"font-size:10.5px;color:rgba(255,255,255,.5);margin-top:2px;\">Affiliate links \u2014 Squawka may earn a commission on purchases.<\/span><\/div><div style=\"position:relative;z-index:1;flex:1 1 300px;display:flex;gap:12px;padding:16px 18px;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/fanatics.93n6tx.net\/c\/2650836\/669352\/9663?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanatics.com%2Fnfl%2Fpittsburgh-steelers&amp;subId1=wear-the-match&amp;subId2=falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1&amp;subId3=squawka-us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" style=\"flex:1;min-width:120px;text-decoration:none;display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:8px;background:#f4f2f6;border-radius:10px;padding:14px 10px 12px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/feeds.frgimages.com\/_ss5_p-203513243+u-kpigmprl7fdcndeclgkt+v-pz4cpb12xunbptdhum07.png?_hv=2&amp;w=340\" alt=\"Shop Steelers jerseys\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width:100%;max-height:118px;object-fit:contain;mix-blend-mode:multiply;\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;color:#141018;font-weight:800;font-size:12.5px;\">Shop Steelers<\/span><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/fanatics.93n6tx.net\/c\/2650836\/669352\/9663?u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.fanatics.com%2Fnfl%2Fatlanta-falcons&amp;subId1=wear-the-match&amp;subId2=falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1&amp;subId3=squawka-us\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" style=\"flex:1;min-width:120px;text-decoration:none;display:flex;flex-direction:column;align-items:center;gap:8px;background:#f4f2f6;border-radius:10px;padding:14px 10px 12px;\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/feeds.frgimages.com\/_pi4301000_ff_4301173-6635919842fd0cbbbc3d_full.jpg?_hv=2&amp;w=340\" alt=\"Shop Falcons jerseys\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"width:100%;max-height:118px;object-fit:contain;mix-blend-mode:multiply;\"><span style=\"display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:6px;color:#141018;font-weight:800;font-size:12.5px;\">Shop Falcons<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div>\n<!-- \/sqstore:nfl-match -->\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_SIG_END -->\n\n\n\n<style>\n\/* Squawka NFL picks card - palette matched to the injected sq-nsig Signal units *\/\n.sqp{--cy:#2FE6C9;--val:#38D97A;--ovr:#FF6A5A;--fair:#FFC24B;--tx:#e8f0f7;--mut:rgba(232,240,247,.60);--line:rgba(255,255,255,.10);--gold:#FFC24B;position:relative;overflow:hidden;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;color:var(--tx);max-width:960px;margin:14px auto 26px;border-radius:14px;background:linear-gradient(135deg,#0a2540 0%,#06182b 62%,#04121f 100%);box-shadow:0 14px 36px rgba(4,18,31,.34)}\n.sqp *{box-sizing:border-box}\n.sqp__wrap{padding:22px 26px 20px}\n.sqp__kick{display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;font-size:11px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.14em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__kick::before{content:'';width:7px;height:7px;border-radius:50%;background:var(--cy);box-shadow:0 0 9px 1px var(--cy)}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:24px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:-.3px;line-height:1.14;margin:12px 0 0;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__sub{margin:7px 0 0;font-size:14.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut);max-width:70ch}\n.sqp__crests{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:10px;margin-top:14px}\n.sqp__crests img{width:28px;height:28px;display:block}\n.sqp__at{font-size:12px;font-weight:700;color:var(--mut);letter-spacing:.1em}\n.sqp__h3{margin:20px 0 0;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.16em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy)}\n.sqp__list{margin-top:12px;border-top:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__row{display:grid;grid-template-columns:1fr 126px;gap:14px;align-items:center;padding:14px 2px;border-bottom:1px solid var(--line)}\n.sqp__mkt{display:block;font-size:10px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.13em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--cy);margin-bottom:4px}\n.sqp__pk{font-size:15.5px;font-weight:800;line-height:1.25;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__top{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle;margin-left:8px;font-size:9.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.08em;text-transform:uppercase;color:#3a2c00;background:var(--gold);padding:3px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__why{display:block;margin-top:5px;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.5;color:var(--mut)}\n.sqp__pr{text-align:center}\n.sqp__val{display:block;font-size:23px;font-weight:800;color:var(--cy);line-height:1;text-decoration:none}\na.sqp__val:hover{text-decoration:underline}\n.sqp__stars{display:block;font-size:15px;line-height:1;letter-spacing:1px;color:var(--gold)}\n.sqp__stars .d{opacity:.24}\n.sqp__lab{display:block;font-size:10px;letter-spacing:.06em;text-transform:uppercase;color:var(--mut);margin-top:4px}\n.sqp__verd{display:inline-block;margin-top:6px;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;padding:2px 7px;border-radius:5px}\n.sqp__verd--val{color:var(--val);background:rgba(56,217,122,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--ovr{color:var(--ovr);background:rgba(255,106,90,.12)}\n.sqp__verd--fair{color:var(--fair);background:rgba(255,194,75,.12)}\n.sqp__approach{margin:14px 0 0;font-size:13.5px;line-height:1.55;color:var(--tx)}\n.sqp__foot{margin:16px 0 0;padding-top:13px;border-top:1px solid var(--line);font-size:11.5px;line-height:1.55;color:rgba(232,240,247,.5)}\n.sqp__foot a{color:var(--cy);font-weight:700;text-decoration:none;border-bottom:1px solid rgba(47,230,201,.35)}\n@media(max-width:640px){\n.sqp__wrap{padding:18px 15px 16px}\n.sqp__ttl{font-size:20px}\n.sqp__row{grid-template-columns:1fr 100px;gap:10px}\n.sqp__val{font-size:20px}\n}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"sqp\" id=\"sqp-atlpit\">\n<div class=\"sqp__wrap\">\n<span class=\"sqp__kick\">Week 1 &middot; Editorial pick<\/span>\n<h2 class=\"sqp__ttl\">Falcons vs Steelers: our editor&#8217;s prop<\/h2>\n<p class=\"sqp__sub\">One editorial call to sit alongside the live Signal numbers above.<\/p>\n<div class=\"sqp__crests\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"Falcons\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<span class=\"sqp__at\">AT<\/span>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/PIT.png\" alt=\"Steelers\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"28\" height=\"28\">\n<\/div>\n<h3 class=\"sqp__h3\">Our prop<\/h3>\n<div class=\"sqp__list\">\n<div class=\"sqp__row\" data-market=\"Player prop\" data-selection=\"Aaron Rodgers sacked two or more times\" data-read=\"\">\n<div><span class=\"sqp__mkt\">Player prop<\/span><span class=\"sqp__pk\">Aaron Rodgers sacked two or more times<\/span><span class=\"sqp__why\">Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, the highest total in this round of fixtures. Meanwhile Pittsburgh&#8217;s line allowed 31 across the season.<\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"sqp__pr\"><span class=\"sqp__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 4 of 5\">&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;&#9733;<span class=\"d\">&#9733;<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sqp__lab\">confidence<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p class=\"sqp__foot\">An editorial call, not a Signal model output. 21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers: 2025 season form<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh finished 10-7 at plus 10. Atlanta went 8-9 at minus 48, although the Falcons closed the season on a four-game winning streak.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>2025 regular season<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Falcons<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Steelers<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Record<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">8-9<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10-7<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points for<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">353<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">397<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Points against<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">401<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">387<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Point differential<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">-48<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+10<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks recorded<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">57<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">48<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Sacks allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">26<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">31<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Interceptions made<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">16<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">15<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Third-down offense<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">33.3%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">40.0%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red-zone offense<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">62.0%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">58.8%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Red zone allowed<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">54.9%<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">50.9%<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Opponent passer rating<\/strong><\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">88.4<\/td><td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">92.2<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The sack rows are the story. Atlanta recorded 57 and allowed only 26, both the better marks in this fixture. Pittsburgh, by contrast, generated 48 and conceded 31, and their 92.2 opponent passer rating was the weaker of the two.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers injury report and team news<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This section updates as soon as the Out, Doubtful and Questionable tags appear. For now, the quarterback picture is settled on one side only.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta has not confirmed a starter. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster, and the competition was still open at the time of writing. Bijan Robinson leads the backfield regardless. Similarly, Drake London and Kyle Pitts Sr. remain the primary targets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Aaron Rodgers starts for Pittsburgh. DK Metcalf and Michael Pittman Jr. lead a rebuilt receiving group, moreover, while Rico Dowdle joins Jaylen Warren in the backfield after arriving from Carolina.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_START -->\n\n<style>\n.sq-ninj{border:1px solid #123f5c;border-radius:14px;overflow:hidden;margin:24px 0;font-family:'Bricolage Grotesque',system-ui,-apple-system,sans-serif;background:#0a2540;color:#e8f0f7}\n.sq-ninj__head{display:flex;align-items:baseline;justify-content:space-between;gap:10px;padding:13px 16px;background:#06182b;font-weight:800;font-size:13px;letter-spacing:.4px;text-transform:uppercase;color:#fff;border-bottom:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__head span{font-size:11px;font-weight:600;letter-spacing:0;text-transform:none;color:rgba(232,240,247,.6)}\n.sq-ninj__cols{display:flex;flex-wrap:wrap}\n.sq-ninj__col{flex:1 1 260px;padding:14px 16px}\n.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:1px solid #123f5c}\n.sq-ninj__team{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:9px;font-weight:800;font-size:14px;color:#fff;margin-bottom:10px}\n.sq-ninj__team img{width:24px;height:24px;object-fit:contain}\n.sq-ninj__row{display:flex;align-items:center;gap:8px;padding:6px 0;border-top:1px solid rgba(255,255,255,.06);font-size:13.5px}\n.sq-ninj__nm{flex:1;min-width:0;color:#fff;white-space:nowrap;overflow:hidden;text-overflow:ellipsis}\n.sq-ninj__pos{flex:0 0 auto;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);font-size:11px;font-weight:700}\n.sq-ninj__st{flex:0 0 auto;font-size:10.5px;font-weight:800;letter-spacing:.04em;text-transform:uppercase;padding:3px 9px;border-radius:999px}\n.sq-ninj__st--out{background:rgba(255,106,90,.16);color:#FF6A5A}\n.sq-ninj__st--doubt{background:rgba(255,194,75,.16);color:#FFC24B}\n.sq-ninj__st--ques{background:rgba(232,240,247,.1);color:rgba(232,240,247,.8)}\n.sq-ninj__none{font-size:13px;color:rgba(232,240,247,.55);padding:4px 0}\n@media(max-width:520px){.sq-ninj__col+.sq-ninj__col{border-left:0;border-top:1px solid #123f5c}}\n<\/style><div class=\"sq-ninj\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__head\">Injury report &middot; Week 1<span>Official game-status report &mdash; updates through the week<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__cols\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/ATL.png\" alt=\"ATL\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Atlanta Falcons<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__col\"><div class=\"sq-ninj__team\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/wp-content\/themes\/squawka\/inc\/NFL\/assets\/team-logos\/PIT.png\" alt=\"PIT\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"24\" height=\"24\">Pittsburgh Steelers<\/div><div class=\"sq-ninj__none\">No game-status designations filed yet.<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n\n<!-- SQ_NFL_INJ_END -->\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The matchup that decides it: Atlanta&#8217;s pass rush against Pittsburgh&#8217;s protection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta recorded 57 sacks in 2025, ahead of every other team playing this weekend. James Pearce Jr. had 10 of them and Brandon Dorlus added eight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh allowed 31 sacks across the season, which is respectable rather than secure. However, Rodgers threw for 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, so the offense works when it stays upright.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta&#8217;s own line was the better of the two, conceding just 26. Therefore the pressure battle tilts one way, and Pittsburgh&#8217;s answer has to be the run.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Players to watch<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Bijan Robinson (ATL, RB):<\/strong> 1,478 rushing yards in 2025, indeed fourth in the league.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Drake London (ATL, WR):<\/strong> 919 receiving yards; indeed, he is Atlanta&#8217;s most reliable target.<\/li>\n<li><strong>James Pearce Jr. (ATL, DE):<\/strong> 10 sacks last season, notably for the slate&#8217;s most productive pass rush.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Aaron Rodgers (PIT, QB):<\/strong> 3,322 yards at a 93.8 rating, notably the better passer rating in this fixture.<\/li>\n<li><strong>DK Metcalf (PIT, WR):<\/strong> Notably now leads the Pittsburgh receivers alongside Michael Pittman Jr.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How to watch Falcons vs Steelers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The game kicks off at 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13 at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. FOX has the broadcast, meanwhile, with NFL+ carrying it on mobile. Because this is an early Sunday window, coverage is regional, so check your local listings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr><th>Detail<\/th><th>Falcons vs Steelers<\/th><\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr><td><strong>Date<\/strong><\/td><td>Sunday, September 13, 2026<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Kickoff<\/strong><\/td><td>1:00 PM ET \/ 12:00 PM CT \/ 11:00 AM MT \/ 10:00 AM PT<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Venue<\/strong><\/td><td>Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>TV<\/strong><\/td><td>FOX<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Live stream<\/strong><\/td><td>FOX \/ NFL+<\/td><\/tr>\n<tr><td><strong>Week<\/strong><\/td><td>Week 1, 2026 NFL season<\/td><\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers prediction and score projection<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Our <strong>Falcons vs Steelers prediction<\/strong> is a narrow Pittsburgh win. Home field and the settled quarterback situation carry it, although not by much.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Atlanta&#8217;s pass rush is the best unit on the field. Indeed, 57 sacks against a line that allowed 31 is the kind of edge that decides close games. Nevertheless the Falcons still have to name a quarterback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">So we will take the Steelers to win, 24-20. Which side carries the value, though, is a separate question from who wins, and the live read on that sits in the Signal block.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Signal rates every game on our <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/picks\/\">NFL picks page<\/a>. Meanwhile the title race is priced through <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/nfl-super-bowl-odds\/\">Super Bowl LXI odds<\/a>, with both conferences on the <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/nfc-championship-odds\/\">NFC<\/a> and <a href=\"\/us\/outright-markets\/afc-championship-odds\/\">AFC Championship<\/a> pages. Finally, player markets sit with our <a href=\"\/us\/nfl\/props\/\">NFL player props<\/a> coverage, and kickoff is confirmed on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nfl.com\/schedules\/\" rel=\"noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NFL.com<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Falcons vs Steelers FAQ<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"schema-faq wp-block-yoast-faq-block\"><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-1\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who is favored to win, the Falcons or the Steelers?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Pittsburgh, narrowly. The Steelers finished 10-7 and won the AFC North while Atlanta went 8-9. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-2\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the spread for Falcons vs Steelers?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model&#8217;s projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: Pittsburgh finished 10-7 at plus 10, Atlanta 8-9 at minus 48.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-3\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Where can I watch Falcons vs Steelers?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">FOX has the broadcast and NFL+ carries it on mobile. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. Notably, coverage is regional in the early window.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-4\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">Who starts at quarterback for Atlanta?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Atlanta had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster.<\/p><\/div><div class=\"schema-faq-section\" id=\"faq-atlpit-5\"><strong class=\"schema-faq-question\">What is the score prediction for Falcons vs Steelers?<\/strong> <p class=\"schema-faq-answer\">Steelers 24-20. The Steelers have home field and a settled quarterback; Atlanta&#8217;s 57 sacks, however, were the most of any team playing this weekend.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>21+ | Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER | Signal probabilities and odds approximate at time of writing and subject to change<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction favors Pittsburgh. Atlanta travels to Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, September 13, and FOX has the 1:00 PM ET kickoff. Both sides open the 2026 NFL season here. Squawka Signal&#8217;s live read on this game, including where the value sits, is in the block just below. Signal rates all 16 Week&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":394,"featured_media":41286,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"falcons vs steelers prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | Squawka","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction, picks and odds for Week 1 in Pittsburgh. Atlanta brought the slate's best pass rush to Acrisure. Kickoff 1 PM ET.","footnotes":""},"tags":[371,350,372],"class_list":["post-41287","nfl-news","type-nfl-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-atlanta-falcons","tag-nfl","tag-pittsburgh-steelers"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks &amp; Odds | Squawka<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction, picks and odds for Week 1 in Pittsburgh. Atlanta brought the slate&#039;s best pass rush to Acrisure. 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Atlanta brought the slate's best pass rush to Acrisure. 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We publish match previews, tactical analysis, player and team stats, outright odds, betting tips, streaming guides and long-form features for a committed football audience. Founded in the UK and part of OneTwenty Group, Squawka now runs localised editions for the UK (squawka.com\/en\/), United States (squawka.com\/us\/), Mexican-Spanish (squawka.com\/us-es\/), Ireland, Netherlands, Nigeria, Kenya, Uganda, South Africa and Ghana. Each edition is editorially tailored to its market, with locale-specific competition focus, operator compliance and commercial partnerships. Traffic skews toward high-intent football readers \u2014 supporters researching fixtures, form, odds and where to watch \u2014 making Squawka a strong fit for sportsbook, prediction-market, DFS, streaming and sports-merchandise brands across the UK, Europe and North America.","foundingDate":"2012-06-11"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-1","position":1,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-1","name":"Who is favored to win, the Falcons or the Steelers?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Pittsburgh, narrowly. The Steelers finished 10-7 and won the AFC North while Atlanta went 8-9. Ultimately the live win probability and the current market price both sit in the Signal block on this page.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-2","position":2,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-2","name":"What is the spread for Falcons vs Steelers?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Spreads move all week; therefore both the live line and our model's projected line sit in the Signal block rather than in this answer. As a guide to the gap: Pittsburgh finished 10-7 at plus 10, Atlanta 8-9 at minus 48.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-3","position":3,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-3","name":"Where can I watch Falcons vs Steelers?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"FOX has the broadcast and NFL+ carries it on mobile. Kickoff is 1:00 PM ET on Sunday, September 13, 2026 from Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh. Notably, coverage is regional in the early window.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-4","position":4,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-4","name":"Who starts at quarterback for Atlanta?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Atlanta had not confirmed a starter at the time of writing. Tua Tagovailoa, Michael Penix Jr. and Cooper Rush are all on the roster.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Question","@id":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-5","position":5,"url":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/nfl\/nfl-news\/falcons-vs-steelers-prediction-picks-odds-week-1\/#faq-atlpit-5","name":"What is the score prediction for Falcons vs Steelers?","answerCount":1,"acceptedAnswer":{"@type":"Answer","text":"Steelers 24-20. The Steelers have home field and a settled quarterback; Atlanta's 57 sacks, however, were the most of any team playing this weekend.","inLanguage":"en-US"},"inLanguage":"en-US"}]}},"yoast_title":"Falcons vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | Squawka","yoast_description":"Our Falcons vs Steelers prediction, picks and odds for Week 1 in Pittsburgh. Atlanta brought the slate's best pass rush to Acrisure. 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