{"id":91838,"date":"2026-11-10T06:51:53","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T11:51:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=91838"},"modified":"2026-11-10T07:07:14","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T12:07:14","slug":"jamaica-vs-mexico-concacaf-nations-league-prediction-11-14-26","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/concacaf-nations-league\/jamaica-vs-mexico-concacaf-nations-league-prediction-11-14-26\/","title":{"rendered":"Jamaica vs Mexico: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Jamaica host Mexico in the first leg of their Concacaf Nations League quarter-final on Saturday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET \/ 7:00 PM CT \/ 5:00 PM PT at the National Stadium in Kingston, with the return leg to come in Monterrey on November 17.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n<p>Our Jamaica vs Mexico prediction leans to the visitors, but with a real caveat: Mexico arrive in dreadful form. El Tri are winless in four, beaten in their last two \u2014 including a 3-0 loss to the United States \u2014 while Jamaica come through a Nations League group with wins in the bank and home advantage in Kingston. The market still makes Mexico favorites on pedigree and squad depth, and we&#8217;ll side with that, but this is far from the mismatch the names suggest. The game is free to watch on the official Concacaf YouTube channel.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Jamaica vs Mexico: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n\n<!-- v2 green sq-bpg block (Kalshi US panel). Result data-prob=60 (Kalshi); others \"% pending odds\". 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Odds &amp; offers below update to match.<\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__toggle\" role=\"tablist\">\n    <label class=\"sq-bpg__tab sq-bpg__tab--us\" for=\"sqbpg-us-jamaicamexico\">&#127482;&#127480; United States<span>Trade on Kalshi<\/span><\/label>\n    <label class=\"sq-bpg__tab sq-bpg__tab--row\" for=\"sqbpg-row-jamaicamexico\">&#127758; Outside the US<span>Odds via bet365<\/span><\/label>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__list\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Result\" data-selection=\"Mexico to Win\" data-prob=\"60\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"4\"><div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Mexico to win<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__top\">Top pick<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Mexico&#x27;s quality should tell over two legs, even with their recent results a worry.<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><a class=\"sq-bpg__prob\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">60%<\/a><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">win prob.<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Correct Score\" data-selection=\"Jamaica 1-2\" data-prob=\"\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"2\"><div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Correct score: Mexico 2-1<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Enough of an edge for the favorites, but Jamaica get on the board at home.<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 2 of 5\">\u2b50\u2b50<span class=\"d\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Over 2.5 Goals\" data-selection=\"Over 2.5 Goals\" data-prob=\"\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\"><div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Over 2.5 goals<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Both defenses have looked open this autumn, pointing to goals at either end.<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 3 of 5\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<span class=\"d\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Both Teams to Score\" data-selection=\"Yes\" data-prob=\"\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\"><div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Both teams to score: Yes<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">A leaky Mexico back line meets a Jamaica side that has found the net at home.<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 3 of 5\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<span class=\"d\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__row\" data-market=\"Anytime Goalscorer\" data-selection=\"Julian Quinones\" data-prob=\"\" data-odds=\"\" data-confidence=\"3\" data-player-id=\"8oysg1rd2ern90ef3pbxsuwo9\"><div><span class=\"sq-bpg__pk\">Juli\u00e1n Qui\u00f1ones anytime scorer<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__why\">Mexico&#x27;s sharpest finisher at the World Cup; their likeliest route to a goal.<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sq-bpg__pr\"><span class=\"sq-bpg__stars\" role=\"img\" aria-label=\"Confidence 3 of 5\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<span class=\"d\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/span><\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__prl\">chance<\/span><span class=\"sq-bpg__odd sq-bpg__odd--soon\">opening soon @ bet365<\/span><\/div><\/div>\n  <\/div>\n  <p class=\"sq-bpg__approach\"><b>Our approach:<\/b> back Mexico to edge the first leg, but with goals at both ends \u2014 a 2-1 with Qui\u00f1ones on the scoresheet.<\/p>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--us\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Trade these markets on Kalshi<\/b><span>New users get $10 &mdash; trade $10 to unlock. Prices update live.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--kal\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Trade on Kalshi &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Probabilities reflect live Kalshi market prices at time of loading. 21+. Prediction markets are CFTC-regulated event contracts, not sportsbook bets. Polymarket excluded in AZ, IL, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, OH. Please play responsibly. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. New Kalshi users: USE CODE SQUAWKA.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n  <div class=\"sq-bpg__panel sq-bpg__panel--row\">\n    <div class=\"sq-bpg__act\">\n      <div class=\"sq-bpg__act-txt\"><b>Back these with bet365<\/b><span>Odds shown in American format; your local odds may vary.<\/span><\/div>\n      <a class=\"sq-bpg__cta sq-bpg__cta--b365\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" rel=\"sponsored nofollow\" target=\"_blank\">Bet with bet365 &rarr;<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n    <p class=\"sq-bpg__disc\">Odds correct at time of writing and shown in American format for illustration; your local odds and offer are served on click. Eligibility, minimum age (18+\/21+) and T&amp;Cs vary by region. Please gamble responsibly.<\/p>\n  <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Form &amp; What&#8217;s at Stake<\/h2>\n\n<p>This is a two-legged quarter-final decided on aggregate, with the winner advancing to the 2027 Concacaf Nations League Finals in March and securing a 2027 Gold Cup place. Jamaica reached the last eight through the Nations League group stage; Mexico entered at the quarter-final round. The subplot is form: Mexico are winless in four warm-up games and were beaten 3-0 by the United States and 2-0 by Chile in October, scoring just twice in that run. Jamaica, by contrast, have been competitive and carry real belief at home in Kingston.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Jamaica vs Mexico Predicted Lineups<\/h2>\n\n<p><strong>Jamaica (predicted, from their last match):<\/strong> Blake; Lowe, King, Freckleton, Webster; Anderson, Ming, Clarke; East, Dixon, Campbell. Jamaica kept a settled group through the Nations League group stage and will back themselves to press Mexico early at home.<\/p>\n\n<p><strong>Mexico (predicted first-choice XI):<\/strong> Rangel; S\u00e1nchez, Montes, V\u00e1squez, Gallardo; Edson \u00c1lvarez, Lira; Alvarado, Romo, Qui\u00f1ones; Jim\u00e9nez. Mexico rotated through their autumn friendlies, so expect changes toward this senior core for a competitive knockout \u2014 we&#8217;ll update it once the team is confirmed.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Juli\u00e1n Qui\u00f1ones (Mexico):<\/strong> Mexico&#8217;s standout at the World Cup with four goals and six shots on target in five games, and the most likely man to settle a tight first leg.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Roberto Alvarado (Mexico):<\/strong> Created a team-high four big chances and laid on three assists at the tournament, the creative hub Mexico will lean on.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Javon East (Jamaica):<\/strong> Jamaica&#8217;s sharpest attacker in the group stage with two goals and three shots on target, he spearheads the home threat.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Kasey Palmer (Jamaica):<\/strong> A goal and an assist in the group, the experienced midfielder adds quality in the final third if he starts.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n\n<h3>Jamaica: W L W D<\/h3>\n\n<ul>\n<li>Oct 6: Honduras 1-1 Jamaica (D)<\/li>\n<li>Oct 3: El Salvador 0-2 Jamaica (W)<\/li>\n<li>Sep 29: Jamaica 0-1 Honduras (L)<\/li>\n<li>Sep 26: Jamaica 3-2 Guatemala (W)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p>Jamaica took seven points from their group and showed attacking intent, most notably in the 3-2 win over Guatemala. The home loss to Honduras is the blemish, but they have scored in three of these four and will fancy their chances of taking a result into the second leg.<\/p>\n\n<h3>Mexico: D D L L<\/h3>\n\n<ul>\n<li>Oct 6: Mexico 0-2 Chile (L)<\/li>\n<li>Oct 3: USA 3-0 Mexico (L)<\/li>\n<li>Sep 29: Mexico 1-1 Peru (D)<\/li>\n<li>Sep 26: Mexico 1-1 Colombia (D)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<p>Mexico&#8217;s autumn has been grim \u2014 four without a win, capped by heavy defeats to the United States and Chile, and just two goals scored across the four. The squad quality is not in doubt, but the form and the goals-against column are real concerns heading into a knockout tie.<\/p>\n\n<h2>Jamaica vs Mexico Prediction<\/h2>\n\n<p>On talent, Mexico should have enough over two legs, and the market agrees \u2014 but their form demands caution, and Jamaica at home are dangerous. We&#8217;ll take a narrow Mexico win with goals at both ends: <a rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\" href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\"><strong>back Mexico to win on Kalshi<\/strong><\/a>, with Qui\u00f1ones to score. Kick-off is 8:00 PM ET at the National Stadium in Kingston.<\/p>\n\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Jamaica host Mexico in the first leg of their Concacaf Nations League quarter-final on Saturday, November 14 at 8:00 PM ET \/ 7:00 PM CT \/ 5:00 PM PT at the National Stadium in Kingston, with the return leg to come in Monterrey on November 17. Our Jamaica vs Mexico prediction leans to the visitors,&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":393,"featured_media":91839,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"jamaica vs mexico","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Jamaica vs Mexico: Concacaf Nations League Lineups","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Predicted lineups and team news for Jamaica vs Mexico, plus our prediction, odds and best bets. Kick-off Sat, Nov 14, 8:00 PM ET.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[477,455],"class_list":["post-91838","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news-category-concacaf-nations-league","news-category-internationals"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":true},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.8 (Yoast SEO v28.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Jamaica vs Mexico: Concacaf Nations League Lineups<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Predicted lineups and team news for Jamaica vs Mexico, plus our prediction, odds and best bets. 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