{"id":8163,"date":"2026-06-03T17:37:26","date_gmt":"2026-06-03T21:37:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&p=8163"},"modified":"2026-06-03T17:37:27","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T21:37:27","slug":"match-preview-sweden-vs-tunisia-06-14-26-world-cup-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/world-cup\/match-preview-sweden-vs-tunisia-06-14-26-world-cup-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Sweden vs Tunisia: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"

The 2026 FIFA World Cup brings Sweden vs Tunisia on Sunday, June 14 at 10:00 PM ET \/ 9:00 PM CT \/ 7:00 PM PT, a Group F opener at Estadio BBVA in Monterrey.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Our Sweden vs Tunisia prediction leans on the gap in attacking talent between these two, even in a group where Netherlands and Japan are the headline names. Sweden carry the more dangerous front line, and that is the thread that runs through the markets here.<\/p>\n

This is also a chance for both sides to get points on the board before the heavyweights of Group F come into view. An opener like this can be tense, with neither team wanting to lose first, and that shapes how we read the goal lines.<\/p>\n

bet365 prices Sweden at -106 to win, with the draw at +230 and Tunisia out at +300. That is a clear favorite without being a runaway, which tells you the books still rate Tunisia’s organization and ability to frustrate.<\/p>\n

Sweden vs Tunisia: Best Bets & Predictions<\/h2>\n

We side with Sweden, but the price and the cagey nature of openers point us toward a low-scoring, controlled win rather than a goal rush.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Our Prediction<\/th>\nOdds & Sportsbook<\/th>\nConfidence<\/th>\nWhy We’re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Sweden to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n-106 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(51%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nSweden carry the sharper cutting edge in the final third and should have enough to break down a disciplined Tunisia side.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Correct Score: 1-0 Sweden<\/strong><\/td>\n+550 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(15%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTunisia defend in numbers and rarely concede in bunches, so a single Sweden goal settling a tight opener is very much in play.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Viktor Gy\u00f6keres<\/strong> anytime scorer<\/td>\nCheck bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nGy\u00f6keres scored 14 Premier League goals for Arsenal this season and is Sweden’s most reliable route to a goal.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Under 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n-163 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(61%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTournament openers tend to be careful, and Tunisia’s low block points to a game with fewer clear chances.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Both Teams to Score: No<\/strong><\/td>\n-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a>
(57%)<\/td>\n		\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\nTunisia carry little goal threat from open play, so backing Sweden to keep this clean fits the low-scoring read.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

<\/p>\n

Our approach: Anchor on Sweden to win, then lean Under 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score No for a correlated play on a controlled, low-scoring opener.<\/p>\n

Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n

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Prediction Markets: Live Odds & Win Probability<\/h2>\n

Match-specific prediction market pricing for Sweden vs Tunisia has not yet surfaced at time of writing. Kalshi<\/a> and Polymarket<\/a> are listing World Cup futures, but neither has posted a line on this Group F opener yet, so the sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match.<\/p>\n

Kalshi is the platform US users can fund and trade today, while Polymarket is currently early-access only for US accounts ahead of its post-QCX rollout. We will update here if and when Kalshi or Polymarket list the fixture.<\/p>\n\n

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Group F \u2014 2026 FIFA World Cup<\/h2>\n

Group F pairs Sweden and Tunisia with Netherlands and Japan. The table below reflects the draw rather than any played fixtures, with everyone level on zero before the opener. For the full bracket and group breakdown, see our World Cup 2026 hub<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Team<\/th>\nPos<\/th>\nGP<\/th>\nW<\/th>\nD<\/th>\nL<\/th>\nGF<\/th>\nGA<\/th>\nGD<\/th>\nPts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Netherlands<\/strong><\/td>\n1<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Japan<\/strong><\/td>\n2<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Sweden<\/strong><\/td>\n3<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Tunisia<\/strong><\/td>\n4<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n0<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n

Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n