{"id":7617,"date":"2026-05-23T20:30:00","date_gmt":"2026-05-24T00:30:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=7617"},"modified":"2026-06-09T05:06:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-09T09:06:11","slug":"match-preview-nashville-sc-vs-nycfc-05-23-26-mls","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-nashville-sc-vs-nycfc-05-23-26-mls\/","title":{"rendered":"Nashville SC vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds &#038; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- WP_TITLE: Nashville SC vs NYCFC: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats --><\/p>\n<p><strong>Nashville SC host NYCFC at Geodis Park on Saturday, May 23, at 8:30 PM ET \/ 7:30 PM CT \/ 5:30 PM PT, with the Supporters&#8217; Shield race and the East playoff bubble both on the line before the World Cup pause.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Our Nashville SC vs NYCFC prediction starts with table position. The Boys in Gold sit top of MLS on 30 points, a single point clear of Vancouver and San Jose Earthquakes, and have lost only once in 13. NYCFC arrive on 19 points and inside the East playoff cut, looking for one more result before the break to keep the bubble from popping.<\/p>\n<p>Bet365 prices Nashville SC at -145 to win, with the draw at +270 and NYCFC at +333. The market is reading a tight, controlled home win \u2014 backed up by NYCFC keeping clean sheets in two of their last three and Nashville scoring in each of their last seven.<\/p>\n<h2>Nashville SC vs New York City: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>This is a short-priced home favorite priced like a defensive grind, but the underlying form points to goals \u2014 and one Nashville name in particular.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Nashville SC to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-140 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">One defeat in 13, nine wins, and a +19 goal difference at the top of the league.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-134 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">NYCFC have scored in each of their last three; Nashville&#8217;s last home outing finished 3-2 with LAFC.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-125 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nashville&#8217;s home matches have averaged 3.5 goals per match this season.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Correct Score: Nashville SC 2-1<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>+750 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Matches the projected favorite, the BTTS read, and an over-2.5 line in one ticket.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><span data-player-id=\"8kfciybd6filv663ebckuerjd\">Sam Surridge<\/span> to Score Anytime<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>-138 @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nine goals in seven appearances and 15 shots on target \u2014 one of the league&#8217;s hottest finishers right now.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p><!-- odds checked: 2026-05-18 20:00 ET; Anytime Goalscorer market not yet priced --><\/p>\n<p>Our approach: Anchor with Nashville SC to win, layer in BTTS Yes for the parlay, and treat Surridge anytime as the player-prop add once bet365 prices it up.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Prediction Markets: Live Odds &amp; Win Probability<\/h2>\n<p>Match-specific prediction market pricing for Nashville SC vs New York City has not yet surfaced at the time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match \u2014 bet365&#8217;s -145 on the home win is the directional anchor. We&#8217;ll update here if and when <a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">Kalshi<\/a> or <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> list the fixture.<\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p><i>18+ Only. 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Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>Nashville SC are top of the Eastern Conference and top of the overall <a href=\"\/us\/mls-standings-2026\/\">MLS standings<\/a>, one point clear in the Supporters&#8217; Shield race. NYCFC sit on 19 points, two points clear of FC Cincinnati in the final East playoff spot.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Nashville SC<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">3<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">1<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">10<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">30<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>NYCFC<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">14<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">24<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Sam Surridge (Nashville SC):<\/strong> Nine goals in seven appearances, 15 shots on target, and the league&#8217;s standout finisher heading into the break.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hany Mukhtar (Nashville SC):<\/strong> Six goals and four assists across 13 outings, with 15 shots on target \u2014 the engine for the Boys in Gold from midfield.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Nicol\u00e1s Fern\u00e1ndez (NYCFC):<\/strong> Nine goals and three assists in 14 matches, 22 shots on target \u2014 far and away NYCFC&#8217;s most productive attacker this season.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Maxi Moralez (NYCFC):<\/strong> One goal and six assists in 14 outings \u2014 the creative pivot threading the chances NYCFC need to convert on the road.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>Eight meetings since 2021, split three wins apiece with two draws \u2014 and every result bar one (2-2, May 2025) has gone the way of the home team since the goalless one in October 2021. NYCFC won the last meeting 2-1 at Yankee Stadium in August 2025.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Aug 17, 2025<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">NYCFC 2-1 Nashville SC<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">May 31, 2025<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nashville SC 2-2 NYCFC<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Oct 6, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">NYCFC 3-1 Nashville SC<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Jun 22, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Nashville SC 1-0 NYCFC<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Apr 15, 2023<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">NYCFC 2-1 Nashville SC<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>Nashville SC: W W D D W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>May 17, 2026: Nashville SC 3-2 LAFC (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>May 13, 2026: New England 0-3 Nashville SC (W, away)<\/li>\n<li>May 9, 2026: Nashville SC 2-2 DC United (D, home)<\/li>\n<li>May 2, 2026: Philadelphia Union 0-0 Nashville SC (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 25, 2026: Nashville SC 4-2 Charlotte FC (W, home)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Nashville SC are unbeaten in seven, the last defeat a 0-1 loss at Chicago Fire FC on April 4. The Coyotes have been formidable both at home and on the road.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h3>NYCFC: D L L W W<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>May 16, 2026: NY Red Bulls 1-1 NYCFC (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>May 13, 2026: Charlotte FC 0-1 NYCFC (W, away)<\/li>\n<li>May 10, 2026: NYCFC 3-0 Columbus Crew (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>May 3, 2026: NYCFC 0-2 DC United (L, home)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 25, 2026: CF Montreal 1-0 NYCFC (L, away)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>NYCFC arrive on a three-game unbeaten run, most recently coming from behind to draw 1-1 away in the Hudson River derby.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h2>Nashville SC vs New York City Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>Nashville SC are the league&#8217;s form team and the cleanest read on the board: nine wins from 13, one defeat all season, and a striker in Surridge who has scored nine in seven. NYCFC are organized and on a roll, but the gap in points and goal difference is real. We&#8217;ll <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>back Nashville SC to win at -145 with bet365<\/strong><\/a> and add BTTS Yes for the parlay, with Surridge anytime the moment the market opens. For more in this matchday, see our <a href=\"\/us\/mls\/\">MLS hub<\/a> and the latest from our <a href=\"\/us\/soccer-predictions\/\">soccer predictions<\/a> page.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nashville SC host NYCFC at Geodis Park on Saturday, May 23, at 8:30 PM ET \/ 7:30 PM CT \/ 5:30 PM PT, with the Supporters&#8217; Shield race and the East playoff bubble both on the line before the World Cup pause. Our Nashville SC vs NYCFC prediction starts with table position. The Boys in&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":7619,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"nashville sc vs nycfc prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"Nashville SC vs NYCFC: Predictions, odds, picks & stats","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"Nashville SC vs NYCFC predictions, odds, picks & stats: Boys in Gold top MLS on 30 points, Sam Surridge in red-hot form, NYCFC chase a result before the World Cup pause.","footnotes":""},"tags":[306],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-7617","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","tag-mls"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Nashville SC vs NYCFC: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Nashville SC vs NYCFC predictions, odds, picks &amp; 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