{"id":7013,"date":"2026-05-15T05:50:37","date_gmt":"2026-05-15T09:50:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/?post_type=news&#038;p=7013"},"modified":"2026-05-27T12:05:47","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T16:05:47","slug":"match-preview-sj-earthquakes-vs-dallas-05-16-26-mls","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-sj-earthquakes-vs-dallas-05-16-26-mls\/","title":{"rendered":"San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas: Predictions, Picks, Odds &amp; Stats"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-san-jose-earthquakes-vs-fc-dallas-prediction\">San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas prediction<\/h3>\n\n\n<p><!-- WP_TITLE: San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas: Predictions, Picks, Odds & Stats --><\/p>\n<p><strong>San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas closes the West Coast late slot at PayPal Park on Saturday, May 16, at 10:30 PM ET, with both sides looking to clean up midweek defeats and steady the ship before the playoff cut-off tightens.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Our San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas prediction starts with two teams limping into this one. The Quakes are second in the <a href=\"\/us\/mls-standings-2026\/\">Western Conference<\/a> on 29 points but coughed up a 3-2 loss at Seattle on Wednesday. FC Dallas, seventh on 19 points, fell 3-2 at home to Vancouver in midweek and need to start banking road points before the chasing pack catches up.<\/p>\n<p>The headline difference is the league position rather than the form arrow. San Jose&#8217;s playoff place is intact; FC Dallas have to start manufacturing results to avoid falling out of contention. Bet365 will price the Quakes as home favorites once lines open.<\/p>\n<h2>San Jose Earthquakes vs Dallas: Best Bets &amp; Predictions<\/h2>\n<p>The angle here leans on the Quakes&#8217; attack and the goals pattern across both sides \u2014 San Jose have scored in nine straight, and FC Dallas have conceded in their last two.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Our Prediction<\/th>\n<th>Odds &amp; Sportsbook<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Confidence<\/th>\n<th>Why We&#8217;re Backing It<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>San Jose Earthquakes to Win<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Lines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(\u2014)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>The Quakes are 2nd in the West on 29 points with nine wins from 13, and FC Dallas have lost three of their last five.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Both Teams to Score: Yes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Lines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(\u2014)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Both teams scored in 7 of San Jose&#8217;s last 9 and in 6 of FC Dallas&#8217;s last 9, and the visitors have conceded in their last two on the bounce.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Over 2.5 Goals<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Lines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(\u2014)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Six of San Jose&#8217;s last 9 have gone over 2.5, FC Dallas have cleared the line in 6 of their last 9, and the last two head-to-heads have both produced four goals or more.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong><span data-player-id=\"92tu9nrx4fvg495ax3iiwfsic\">Preston Judd<\/span> Anytime Goalscorer<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Lines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(\u2014)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>Judd is on nine goals in 13 league games with 22 shots on target \u2014 the leading striker output in either squad.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>Correct Score: 2-1<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\"><a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>Lines opening soon @ bet365<\/strong><\/a><br \/>(\u2014)<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">\u2b50\u2b50<\/td>\n<td>San Jose&#8217;s home wins this season have come on tight scorelines, and <span data-player-id=\"bxcpii8qeyw2duignml45sc15\">Petar Musa<\/span> keeps FC Dallas relevant for at least one goal in most road games.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>Our approach: anchor the slip with San Jose to win, layer in Both Teams to Score for parlay value, and take Judd at anytime scorer to lengthen the price.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2>Prediction Markets: Live Odds &amp; Win Probability<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><em><strong>Note for US readers:<\/strong> Polymarket is now live for real-money trading in the US following its 2025 acquisition of QCX, a CFTC-regulated exchange, available in most states except Arizona, Illinois, Massachusetts, Maryland, Michigan, Montana, New Jersey, Nevada and Ohio. New US users can claim a 100% deposit match up to $50 with code ACQUIRE05. Market prices shown are real-money figures from the Polymarket platform. <a href=\"\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/kalshi\/\">Kalshi<\/a>, also CFTC-regulated, trades in all 50 states.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n<p>Match-specific prediction market pricing for San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas has not yet surfaced at the time of writing. The sportsbook read is the cleaner tool for this match. We&#8217;ll update here if and when <a href=\"\/en\/go\/kalshi?q=us-all-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">Kalshi<\/a> or <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\">Polymarket<\/a> list the fixture.<\/p>\n\n    <div class=\"sq-toplist\">\n        <div class=\"sq-toplist__items\">\n\t\t\t    <div\n            class=\"sq-toplist__item\"\n            data-entity-id=\"2923\"\n            data-offer-id=\"2928\"\n    >\n\t\t            <span class=\"sq-toplist__label\">CODE: ACQUIRE05<\/span>\n\t\t        <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-container\">\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"logo\" class=\"sq-toplist__logo\" style=\"background:#ffffff\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/media.squawka.com\/images\/sites\/13\/2026\/04\/06101144\/polymarket-1.svg\" class=\"attachment-medium size-medium\" alt=\"\" \/><\/a>\t\t\t\t                <div class=\"sq-toplist__offer-box\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__bookmaker\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"brand_name\">Polymarket<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-tablet-visible\">\n                        <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                    <\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <span class=\"sq-toplist__offer-title is-mobile-visible\">\n                    <a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"offer\">100% up to $50 with Code: ACQUIRE05<\/a>                <\/span>\n            <\/div>\n            <div class=\"sq-toplist__buttons\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"\/en\/go\/polymarket?q=us-sg1-all-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" data-brand=\"Polymarket\"data-placement=\"bookmaker-offers-content-toplist\" data-rating=\"8.5\" data-position=\"1\" data-placement-details=\"cta\" class=\"sq-btn sq-btn--secondary sq-btn--full\">TRADE NOW!<\/a>                <div class=\"sq-rating\">\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__text\">Our Score<\/span>\n                    <span class=\"sq-rating__value\">8.5<\/span>\n                <\/div>\n                <a href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/bet\/betting-sites\/polymarket\/\" class=\"sq-review-link\">\n                    <span>Read our review<\/span>\n                <\/a>\n            <\/div>\n\t\t\t        <\/div>\n\t\t            <div class=\"sq-toplist__item-tc\"><p><i>18+ Only. 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Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2573). Chat available at\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/na0messaging.icarol.com\/ConsumerRegistration.aspx?org=65800&amp;pid=57&amp;cc=en-US&amp;RIF1=651580\">ncpgambling.org\/chat<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n\t\t    <\/div>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<h2>Season Form &amp; Standings<\/h2>\n<p>San Jose hold second in the Western Conference on 29 points with a +18 goal difference, while FC Dallas are seventh on 19 \u2014 inside the <a href=\"\/us\/mls-standings-2026\/\">playoff places<\/a> but with very little margin if the chasing pack tightens up.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Team<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pos<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GP<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">W<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">D<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">L<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GF<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GA<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">GD<\/th>\n<th class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Pts<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>San Jose Earthquakes<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">9<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">2<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">11<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+18<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">29<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><strong>FC Dallas<\/strong><\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">7<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">13<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">5<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">4<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">25<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">+6<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">19<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<p>The home side&#8217;s numbers stand out \u2014 29 goals scored in 13 games, only 11 conceded \u2014 and that profile sits at the top of the Supporters&#8217; Shield conversation. FC Dallas have scored a healthy 25 themselves, so the attacking talent isn&#8217;t the issue; the back four is.<\/p>\n<h2>Potential Match-Winners<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Preston Judd (San Jose Earthquakes):<\/strong> The Quakes&#8217; lead striker is on nine goals and two assists in 13 league games with 22 shots on target \u2014 the most prolific forward output in the home squad and the anchor of the attack.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ousseni Bouda (San Jose Earthquakes):<\/strong> Five goals and an assist in 13 from the front line, with 10 shots on target and 13 chances created. Bouda is the dribble threat alongside Judd and gets onto the end of cutbacks in the box.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Petar Musa (FC Dallas):<\/strong> 11 goals in 12 league games with 21 shots on target \u2014 the standout output among regular starters. If FC Dallas score on the road, it almost always runs through him.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Logan Farrington (FC Dallas):<\/strong> Five goals and two assists in 12 games, with nine shots on target. The second forward keeps Musa company and gives FC Dallas a transition outlet when the visitors break.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Head-to-Head<\/h2>\n<p>The two sides have split the recent record evenly \u2014 two wins each and a heavy six draws across the last 10 meetings. San Jose edged the two most recent results, and the home leg in October 2024 ended 3-2 to the Quakes.<\/p>\n<p>The overall series in all comps favors San Jose 13-7, but the draw has been the most common result at 16.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table is-style-stripes\">\n<table class=\"has-fixed-layout\">\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Date<\/th>\n<th>Score<\/th>\n<th>Competition<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Jul 16, 2025<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">San Jose Earthquakes 2-2 FC Dallas<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Jun 25, 2025<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">FC Dallas 2-4 San Jose Earthquakes<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Oct 2, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">San Jose Earthquakes 3-2 FC Dallas<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Feb 24, 2024<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">FC Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">Oct 7, 2023<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">FC Dallas 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes<\/td>\n<td class=\"has-text-align-center\" data-align=\"center\">MLS<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>Recent Form<\/h2>\n<h3>San Jose Earthquakes: W W D D L (oldest left to most recent right)<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>May 13, 2026: Seattle Sounders 3-2 San Jose Earthquakes (L, away)<\/li>\n<li>May 9, 2026: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps (D, home)<\/li>\n<li>May 2, 2026: Toronto 1-1 San Jose Earthquakes (D, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 25, 2026: St. Louis 2-3 San Jose Earthquakes (W, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 22, 2026: San Jose Earthquakes 5-1 Austin (W, home)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>San Jose are winless in three, the last win a 3-2 result at St. Louis on April 25. The Quakes are on a nine-match scoring run \u2014 a striking streak \u2014 but the back four has leaked across seven straight, so the goals supply is doing the heavy lifting.<\/p>\n<h3>FC Dallas: L W W L L<\/h3>\n<ul>\n<li>May 13, 2026: FC Dallas 2-3 Vancouver Whitecaps (L, home)<\/li>\n<li>May 9, 2026: FC Dallas 3-1 Real Salt Lake (W, home)<\/li>\n<li>May 2, 2026: New York Red Bulls 0-2 FC Dallas (W, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 25, 2026: Seattle Sounders 2-1 FC Dallas (L, away)<\/li>\n<li>Apr 22, 2026: FC Dallas 0-1 Minnesota United (L, home)<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>FC Dallas are on a four-match scoring run, the previous goalless outing at home to Minnesota United on April 22. The visitors have lost three of their last five and have conceded in their last two \u2014 the road profile is patchy and a Wednesday-to-Saturday turnaround on the West Coast will not help.<\/p>\n<h2>San Jose Earthquakes vs Dallas Prediction<\/h2>\n<p>The Quakes are the firmer side of the bet. San Jose lead FC Dallas by 10 points in the table, have scored more goals than any side in the league besides Vancouver, and FC Dallas&#8217;s away record reads patchy across their last five trips. We are taking <a href=\"\/en\/go\/bet365?q=us-sg1-con-wof-s-spo\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow sponsored noopener\"><strong>San Jose Earthquakes to win with bet365<\/strong><\/a> as the anchor pick, with Both Teams to Score the natural add-on given Petar Musa&#8217;s scoring rate for the visitors. See our full <a href=\"\/us\/soccer-predictions\/\">soccer predictions<\/a> hub for the rest of the weekend, and the <a href=\"\/us\/mls\/\">MLS hub<\/a> for further reading.<\/p>\n<p><small>Odds correct at the time of writing. Please gamble responsibly.<\/small><\/p>\n<p><em>Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas prediction San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas closes the West Coast late slot at PayPal Park on Saturday, May 16, at 10:30 PM ET, with both sides looking to clean up midweek defeats and steady the ship before the playoff cut-off tightens. Our San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":56,"featured_media":6983,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_yoast_wpseo_focuskw":"san jose earthquakes vs fc dallas prediction","_yoast_wpseo_title":"San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas: Predictions, odds, picks & stats","_yoast_wpseo_metadesc":"San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas preview, predictions, picks and bet365 odds for the Saturday MLS late game at PayPal Park on May 16, 2026 \u2014 best bets and analysis.","footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[],"class_list":["post-7013","news","type-news","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry"],"acf":{"external_featured_image_url":"","hide_featured_image_pattern":false},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.1 (Yoast SEO v27.1.1) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas: Predictions, odds, picks &amp; stats<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas preview, predictions, picks and bet365 odds for the Saturday MLS late game at PayPal Park on May 16, 2026 \u2014 best bets and analysis.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.squawka.com\/us\/news\/match-preview-sj-earthquakes-vs-dallas-05-16-26-mls\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"San Jose Earthquakes vs FC Dallas: Predictions, Picks, Odds &amp; 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